100% agree, brothers; but with an asterisk. Where I agree is tactically, she doesn't seem to feel comfortable throwing enough variety on the feet (or just hasn't faced enough adversity to have to mix it up).
However, Manon's been striking since a very young age. And although her IQ/strike selection hasn't shown this in MMA, you can tell by the way she strikes, her quickness, and the fact she can (and does) throw double the amount of strikes that Rose does in a fight.
Rose has fought (striking) at a higher level in MMA while fresh (e.g., trapping Zhang, Joanna; she didn't look great against Andrade in round 3) but Manon actually has greater striking pedigree.
This is exactly how I think the fight will go after first round or so if Rose can't reliably get it to the ground.
Even if Rose lands the better strikes early; my thinking is that Manon can drown her with 1-2 kicks (assume Manon makes no adjustments or doesn't show us something more) and this could win her the fight.
I don't know enough about Manon's grappling, this is the X factor for me and what makes the match-up intriguing. Their BJJ could be lightyears apart for all I know. However, she's so much bigger that the gap's going to have to be fairly sizable to win the fight.