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EA Sports UFC 280 prediction thread

Paolo Delutis

Paolo Delutis

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Hello, everyone ..

With this weekends mega card coming up with two major title fights , i decided to do something different and create a new thread using the latest CPU engine of UFC game to predict this weekend's fights .

How i did it

I set the matches up for 5 rounds championship fights, with CPU vs CPU set to Legendary difficulty and the time was set to real time no accelerated clock. I alternated between Charles vs Islam and Stirling vs Dillashaw each match to keep from the game creating patterns . i did a total of 10 fights each . I took those results and extrapolated them to represent 100 fights instead of 10 .


The results

Charles vs Islam
FXzxVA5VEAAqAZY.jpeg

The fight will not last longer then 1 round, all 10(100) fights ended in the first round.


Someone is getting submitted each fighter won by submission in the first in the 10(100) matches

Islam won 60 matches out of 100 (60%)
Charles won 40 matches out of 100 ( 40%)

Charles won 20 matches by armbar , including mounted triangle armbar (50%) and 10 (25%) matches by heel hook and 10 matches(25%) by kimura

Islam won 50 matches (90%) by Armbar including mounted triangle armbar

Islam won 10 matches by Americana/keylock (10%)


Average fight time 3:28

Conclusion/Prediction: Islam will become UFC LW champion by submitting Charles by armbar around 3:30 seconds mark of the first round.



Stirling vs Dillashaw
FVWJ5vVX0AAf7oh.jpg_large.jpg
This fight will not make it past 2 rounds. 80 % of the matches ended in the first round.


Someone is getting submitted in this fight all the fight stoppages were by submission.

Stirling won 90 matches out of 100 ( 90%)
Dillashaw won 10 matches out of 100 ( 10%)

Stirling won 30 matches by armbar (33%)
Stirling won 20 matches by north/south choke (22%)
Stirling won 30 matches by keylock/Americana (33%)
Stirling won 10 matches by uma plata (11%)


Dillashaw won 10 matches by kimura (100%)

Average fight time : 4:20


Conclusion/Prediction: Stirling defends his title against Dillashaw by submitting him by armbar at 4'20 seconds of the first round



Well there you have it sherbros do you agree with the computer analysis's predictions?


Is this something youd like me to do in the future or for other matches currently let me know ?


I will check this against the actual fights after this Saturday to see how close the computer got it.

My Personal predictions : I think Charles taps Islam but in the later rounds perhaps the 4th or 5th but i can see Islam crushing it in the first as predicted here.

I think Stirling wins by decision, 49-46 .

download (1).jpeg

Thanks for stopping by!
 
Might as throw something on an Islam/Aljo both by round 1 sub parlay. About +12,500 odds, so $100 =$12,500, $10 = 1,250. I could see each one happening too, although I don't think either will hit an armbar. Probably Aljo by RNC & Islam by kimura
 
JoeRowe said:
Might as throw something on an Islam/Aljo both by round 1 sub parlay. About +12,500 odds, so $100 =$12,500, $10 = 1,250. I could see each one happening too, although I don't think either will hit an armbar. Probably Aljo by RNC & Islam by kimura
Click to expand...


Wow thats quite the pay out wish you luck sir if you do, perhaps the game sees something we can not that A.I bet knowledge
 
giphy.gif

I've heard the newest game is worth even less of a damn than the previous ones.
 
I wouldn't be relying on a game that has has a sped up clock, missing gameplay features (elbows in full guard and full mount for example) and a bunch of other questionable stuff going on. It's rare and difficult to go to decisions in that game when it's hugely common irl

Islam by Dec or late sub
Sterling by Dec
 
Dude Incredible said:
giphy.gif

I've heard the newest game is worth even less of a damn than the previous ones.
Click to expand...


Cuz im a Rocky Balboa fan and they did a computer fight in the last one before Creed so i thought i do it for this also im a fan of the deadliest warrior show. ..


Is that a good enough reason bro!!
 
Lights Out 101 said:
I wouldn't be relying on a game that has has a sped up clock, missing gameplay features (elbows in full guard and full mount for example) and a bunch of other questionable stuff going on. It's rare and difficult to go to decisions in that game when it's hugely common irl

Islam by Dec or late sub
Sterling by Dec
Click to expand...


I switched the clock to real time and yes this is mostly just for fun to see if the A.I can come close to real life...my own prediction mirrors closer to yours ..

Just an experiment for fun in anticipation for the big show
 
Paolo Delutis said:
Cuz im a Rocky Balboa fan and they did a computer fight in the last one before Creed so i thought i do it for this also in a fan of the deadliest warrior show. ..


Is that a good enough reason bro!!
Click to expand...
uh, no. but you do you do and be happy.


deadliest warrior was fun to watch.
 
Paolo Delutis said:
All in good fun brah...i wish i could use Undisputed 3 but i cant...now that was an MMA game
Click to expand...

Undisputed was goated. I miss that Lesnar GnP. You could really get into a rhythm with the ground n pound on those games, almost felt like you were making a beat sometimes
 
You know that the game is more like a arcade Mortal Kombat game than a simulation right? Tried to get into it but fighting people in the rankings with their created character is trash. They all look like they jumped out of a cartoon.
 
Paolo Delutis said:
Hello, everyone ..

With this weekends mega card coming up with two major title fights , i decided to do something different and create a new thread using the latest CPU engine of UFC game to predict this weekend's fights .

How i did it

I set the matches up for 5 rounds championship fights, with CPU vs CPU set to Legendary difficulty and the time was set to real time no accelerated clock. I alternated between Charles vs Islam and Stirling vs Dillashaw each match to keep from the game creating patterns . i did a total of 10 fights each . I took those results and extrapolated them to represent 100 fights instead of 10 .


The results

Charles vs Islam
View attachment 948706

The fight will not last longer then 1 round, all 10(100) fights ended in the first round.


Someone is getting submitted each fighter won by submission in the first in the 10(100) matches

Islam won 60 matches out of 100 (60%)
Charles won 40 matches out of 100 ( 40%)

Charles won 20 matches by armbar , including mounted triangle armbar (50%) and 10 (25%) matches by heel hook and 10 matches(25%) by kimura

Islam won 50 matches (90%) by Armbar including mounted triangle armbar

Islam won 10 matches by Americana/keylock (10%)


Average fight time 3:28

Conclusion/Prediction: Islam will become UFC LW champion by submitting Charles by armbar around 3:30 seconds mark of the first round.



Stirling vs Dillashaw
View attachment 948707
This fight will not make it past 2 rounds. 80 % of the matches ended in the first round.


Someone is getting submitted in this fight all the fight stoppages were by submission.

Stirling won 90 matches out of 100 ( 90%)
Dillashaw won 10 matches out of 100 ( 10%)

Stirling won 30 matches by armbar (33%)
Stirling won 20 matches by north/south choke (22%)
Stirling won 30 matches by keylock/Americana (33%)
Stirling won 10 matches by uma plata (11%)


Dillashaw won 10 matches by kimura (100%)

Average fight time : 4:20


Conclusion/Prediction: Stirling defends his title against Dillashaw by submitting him by armbar at 4'20 seconds of the first round



Well there you have it sherbros do you agree with the computer analysis's predictions?


Is this something youd like me to do in the future or for other matches currently let me know ?


I will check this against the actual fights after this Saturday to see how close the computer got it.

My Personal predictions : I think Charles taps Islam but in the later rounds perhaps the 4th or 5th but i can see Islam crushing it in the first as predicted here.

I think Stirling wins by decision, 49-46 .

View attachment 948709

Thanks for stopping by!
Click to expand...
Ha! Must've taken you a whole day to do this.
Actually ust played it last night.
Definitely not definitive but still pretty interesting Considering the game does take into account significant attributes
 
Dirty Frank said:
Ha! Must've taken you a whole day to do this.
Actually ust played it last night.
Definitely not definitive but still pretty interesting Considering the game does take into account significant attributes
Click to expand...


Naw it was done in an hour lol cuz the matches where quicker then i expected ...but it could of been much longer indeed LOL...it just to see ... another way to get to ready for the weekend who knows maybe the game knows..

I only did 10 fights each and then converted the data into 100 matches so it displays better and more consistent
 
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