- Joined
- May 15, 2022
- Messages
- 3,987
- Reaction score
- 3,045
You do realize that none of the covid measures had any statistically significant effect. There's no evidence that they did anything to slow the spread of covid.
Influence of Seasonality and Public-Health Interventions on the COVID-19 Pandemic in Northern Europe
Background: Most government efforts to control the COVID-19 pandemic revolved around non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccination. However, many respiratory diseases show distinctive seasonal trends. In this manuscript, we examined the contribution of these three factors to the...www.mdpi.com
Background: Most government efforts to control the COVID-19 pandemic revolved around non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccination. However, many respiratory diseases show distinctive seasonal trends. In this manuscript, we examined the contribution of these three factors to the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: Pearson correlation coefficients and time-lagged analysis were used to examine the relationship between NPIs, vaccinations and seasonality (using the average incidence of endemic human beta-coronaviruses in Sweden over a 10-year period as a proxy) and the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic as tracked by deaths; cases; hospitalisations; intensive care unit occupancy and testing positivity rates in six Northern European countries (population 99.12 million) using a population-based, observational, ecological study method. Findings: The waves of the pandemic correlated well with the seasonality of human beta-coronaviruses (HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-HKU1). In contrast, we could not find clear or consistent evidence that the stringency of NPIs or vaccination reduced the progression of the pandemic.
short of setting up an alternate reality where no measures were taken we can't have evidence, because we took the measures. However, this news is implicit evidence that measures were successful in reducing already recognized viruses, which indicates the measures had also reduced the covid rates. As a novel virus we didn't really have anything to test it against but knew it would be an aggressive spreader. Basically the 7 millions deaths would likely have been 4 fold and the same again for the 700 million infected. The lockdowns were preventative measures and if you prevent something from happening it is difficult to obtain data on something that didn't happen.