International ***COVID-19 Breaking News v19: U.S. coronavirus deaths top 100,000***

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We have a host of deaths from contagious sicknesses every year. Since you've never been on here promoting lockdowns/other extreme measures to save the tens of thousands (in America) to hundreds of thousands and even into the millions (globally), it seems you're OK with a certain degree of preventable sickness related death, making your objections ones of degree and not kind. Our "normal" has been "We don't want to make further sacrifices to save those lives" so I would like some details on where you draw the line? What steps should we take to save a thousand lives from preventable non-covid sickness each year? What about tens of thousands? If another lockdown, or significantly increased taxation, or draconian measures concerning civil liberties (tracking, fines or incarceration for leaving the house sick, etc) were to cut down on these preventable deaths, would you be OK with them? Or, what's the threshold for how many deaths starts to rile you from your complacency and gets you going as an advocate for significant social and civil action to prevent it? Are we willing to make a depressed economy a new normal if it saves a few thousand lives from influenza and other sicknesses? What about tens of thousands?

I want to know where this goes. If we accept the reasoning of "significant social and civil action can lead to reductions of deaths, so we should do them" then why stop with covid related stuff? Seriously, why? Is there a soft range/line where you turn from "We must do this to save lives" to "Saving those lives isn't worth the other costs"? Does your concern for saveable lives stop when covid is over, or do you start demanding limiting freedoms to cut down on the tens of thousands of sickness related deaths that are likely preventable, if we just act in a firm enough manner?

It was more about the unknown, we didn't have any good data on the R0 and mortality rate and most importantly we didn't have (and still don't have) a vaccine or antiviral treatment. We do have these things with other pathogens so lock downs and other extreme measures aren't needed.
 
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Han Solo blowing his wad
Assuming he just crawled outta a crashed plane I'll allow it.
 
We have a host of deaths from contagious sicknesses every year. Since you've never been on here promoting lockdowns/other extreme measures to save the tens of thousands (in America) to hundreds of thousands and even into the millions (globally), it seems you're OK with a certain degree of preventable sickness related death, making your objections ones of degree and not kind. Our "normal" has been "We don't want to make further sacrifices to save those lives" so I would like some details on where you draw the line? What steps should we take to save a thousand lives from preventable non-covid sickness each year? What about tens of thousands? If another lockdown, or significantly increased taxation, or draconian measures concerning civil liberties (tracking, fines or incarceration for leaving the house sick, etc) were to cut down on these preventable deaths, would you be OK with them? Or, what's the threshold for how many deaths starts to rile you from your complacency and gets you going as an advocate for significant social and civil action to prevent it? Are we willing to make a depressed economy a new normal if it saves a few thousand lives from influenza and other sicknesses? What about tens of thousands?

I want to know where this goes. If we accept the reasoning of "significant social and civil action can lead to reductions of deaths, so we should do them" then why stop with covid related stuff? Seriously, why? Is there a soft range/line where you turn from "We must do this to save lives" to "Saving those lives isn't worth the other costs"? Does your concern for saveable lives stop when covid is over, or do you start demanding limiting freedoms to cut down on the tens of thousands of sickness related deaths that are likely preventable, if we just act in a firm enough manner?

I'm not a "shut everything down until there's a vaccine" guy. I believe that temporary shut-downs were necessary, and likely are the reason we are at 100,000 deaths instead of something even more devastating. I believe we should be in the process of reopening our economy, which is exactly what is happening all around the country. During that process, I think it is obvious that people need to continue using common sense, which means continuing some basic social distancing.

Yesterday, I went to a local nursery to buy some plants, I went for 3 mile walk with my dog, I did some backyard home improvements while hanging out with my next door neighbors. I am not locked in my house. All I did was stay a few extra feet away when I hung out with my neighbors, and wore a mask and maintained a bit of space when I was at the store. B

The problem is, this forum has been completely unaccepting of any moderate position on this. Just today, I've been told that 100,000 deaths is not much at all, and I've been told that it's genius for overweight middle aged people to pack crowded boardwalks shoulder to shoulder right now. I was also told that a 400+ billion dollar anti-Flu project is not significant, nor are the 160,000,000+ flu vaccines administered every year.

These are the types of things only somebody who is completely warped by some strange partisan agenda would say. It does not make sense. People have tossed aside their willingness to use their brain in favor of regurgitating memes and catchphrases, an unfortunate but common theme nowadays.
 
It was more about the unknown, we didn't have any good data on the R0 and mortality rate and most importantly we didn't have (and still don't have) a vaccine or antiviral treatment. We do have these things with other pathogens so lock downs and other extreme measures aren't needed.

Which, again, sounds like an issue of degree rather than kind. We can be pretty sure that various stern measures taken could lower the death rate for existing sicknesses. If the stance is "Since we know how many will die from that, further measures aren't worth pursuing" then we've adopted a stance of "We don't want to make sacrifices to save lives we know we could save, because the current normal is an acceptable death rate and the cost/lives saved ratio isn't one we're willing to endorse." I want to find out where people are drawing that line. If a study comes out in the US tomorrow suggesting that the 30k to 60k flu related deaths could be cut in half by significant measures being taken, are is that half (numbering in the tens of thousands) worth economic recession, civil liberties being cut, etc? What if it was only a quarter? What if only 10% (IE - 1500 to 3000 lives)? How many thousands (or tens of thousands) of lives saved versus lives lost are we willing to take measure for? The "normal" we have accepted prior to this has tens of thousands of deaths due to contagious disease built into it in the US alone - so where is the line where that must be crossed to either go back to the old normal and allow X thousand preventable deaths, versus go into lockdown to prevent X thousand deaths?
 
Which, again, sounds like an issue of degree rather than kind. We can be pretty sure that various stern measures taken could lower the death rate for existing sicknesses. If the stance is "Since we know how many will die from that, further measures aren't worth pursuing" then we've adopted a stance of "We don't want to make sacrifices to save lives we know we could save, because the current normal is an acceptable death rate and the cost/lives saved ratio isn't one we're willing to endorse." I want to find out where people are drawing that line. If a study comes out in the US tomorrow suggesting that the 30k to 60k flu related deaths could be cut in half by significant measures being taken, are is that half (numbering in the tens of thousands) worth economic recession, civil liberties being cut, etc? What if it was only a quarter? What if only 10% (IE - 1500 to 3000 lives)? How many thousands (or tens of thousands) of lives saved versus lives lost are we willing to take measure for? The "normal" we have accepted prior to this has tens of thousands of deaths due to contagious disease built into it in the US alone - so where is the line where that must be crossed to either go back to the old normal and allow X thousand preventable deaths, versus go into lockdown to prevent X thousand deaths?

Every situation has context and variables to it so there isn't one magical number or percent that will apply universally. Having a treatment and a vaccine are probably two of the biggest factors in determining if extreme measures are to be taken in protecting the populace, the other variables are based on the R0, hospitalization and mortality rates. I'd say if models showed that hospitals and emergency facilities could not handle the predicted rates then measures like social distancing and lock downs would be necessary.
 
Ok, let's see where you attempt to deal with the questions presented. For reference, here are the questions:

"Our "normal" has been "We don't want to make further sacrifices to save those lives" so I would like some details on where you draw the line? What steps should we take to save a thousand lives from preventable non-covid sickness each year? What about tens of thousands? If another lockdown, or significantly increased taxation, or draconian measures concerning civil liberties (tracking, fines or incarceration for leaving the house sick, etc) were to cut down on these preventable deaths, would you be OK with them? Or, what's the threshold for how many deaths starts to rile you from your complacency and gets you going as an advocate for significant social and civil action to prevent it? Are we willing to make a depressed economy a new normal if it saves a few thousand lives from influenza and other sicknesses? What about tens of thousands?"

I'm not a "shut everything down until there's a vaccine" guy. I believe that temporary shut-downs were necessary, and likely are the reason we are at 100,000 deaths instead of something even more devastating. I believe we should be in the process of reopening our economy, which is exactly what is happening all around the country. During that process, I think it is obvious that people need to continue using common sense, which means continuing some basic social distancing.

Nope - just talking about your stance on the covid lockdowns and even a catchphrase, "common sense" thrown in there.

Yesterday, I went to a local nursery to buy some plants, I went for 3 mile walk with my dog, I did some backyard home improvements while hanging out with my next door neighbors. I am not locked in my house. All I did was stay a few extra feet away when I hung out with my neighbors, and wore a mask and maintained a bit of space when I was at the store. B

Oh good, an anecdotal story about you and your dog and your social distancing habits. I was hoping to hear one of these.

The problem is, this forum has been completely unaccepting of any moderate position on this. Just today, I've been told that 100,000 deaths is not much at all, and I've been told that it's genius for overweight middle aged people to pack crowded boardwalks shoulder to shoulder right now. I was also told that a 400+ billion dollar anti-Flu project is not significant, nor are the 160,000,000+ flu vaccines administered every year.

Now you're getting to the heart of the issue - the problem with the forum! That's the real problem here! But hey, at least you mention the flu - though it is in the context of "someone in the forum said this about the flu".... And? Could you perhaps transition that dastardly forum comment someone else made about the flu into giving some ballpark on the questions asked above? Or do you figure that mentioning "common sense" once while telling me about you and your dog is the level of specificity that will satisfy the questions asked? You have one paragraph left - maybe you'll give at least one of those questions a crack in there!

These are the types of things only somebody who is completely warped by some strange partisan agenda would say. It does not make sense. People have tossed aside their willingness to use their brain in favor of regurgitating memes and catchphrases, an unfortunate but common theme nowadays.

... Nope. Back to bitching about the real problem, the forum. I will say, whatever aversion you have to the term "nothingburger" this was one of the most evasively self indulgent nothingburgers of a 300 word response to direct questions I could have hoped to receive. The ironic thing was that the closest you came to actually dealing with anything asked was using a cathprhase "common sense" and start to subtly direct it towards your own partisan politics (I bet your reading comprehension improves after it failed you in noticing the multiple direct questions asked and you don't waste the opportunity to deny this!).

For someone whose routine is to step into these threads with a stern demeanor and soberly ask people to take this seriously, it kinda seems like you just use the uproar over all of this as an excuse to put out catchphrases and subtly steer things towards your own partisan agenda. I generally ignore your longwinded posts. I suspect this illustrates why.
 
Every situation has context and variables to it so there isn't one magical number or percent that will apply universally. Having a treatment and a vaccine are probably two of the biggest factors in determining if extreme measures are to be taken in protecting the populace, the other variables are based on the R0, hospitalization and mortality rates. I'd say if models showed that hospitals and emergency facilities could not handle the predicted rates then measures like social distancing and lock downs would be necessary.

So just to clarify, it's a complex cost/benefit situation to be considered, treatment and vaccines are a bit part of it, and models showing that the hospital system won't be overwhelmed, are a good part of it? I'm going to assume that things like quality of life (economy, civil liberty, etc) and even things like related deaths due to the measures taken (IE - global famine that the UN has said it's expecting) are going to factor into that analysis. If I'm reading that wrong let me know.

Good. That's precisely what I'm looking for. Thanks for the straight response.
 
Ok, let's see where you attempt to deal with the questions presented. For reference, here are the questions:

"Our "normal" has been "We don't want to make further sacrifices to save those lives" so I would like some details on where you draw the line? What steps should we take to save a thousand lives from preventable non-covid sickness each year? What about tens of thousands? If another lockdown, or significantly increased taxation, or draconian measures concerning civil liberties (tracking, fines or incarceration for leaving the house sick, etc) were to cut down on these preventable deaths, would you be OK with them? Or, what's the threshold for how many deaths starts to rile you from your complacency and gets you going as an advocate for significant social and civil action to prevent it? Are we willing to make a depressed economy a new normal if it saves a few thousand lives from influenza and other sicknesses? What about tens of thousands?"



Nope - just talking about your stance on the covid lockdowns and even a catchphrase, "common sense" thrown in there.



Oh good, an anecdotal story about you and your dog and your social distancing habits. I was hoping to hear one of these.



Now you're getting to the heart of the issue - the problem with the forum! That's the real problem here! But hey, at least you mention the flu - though it is in the context of "someone in the forum said this about the flu".... And? Could you perhaps transition that dastardly forum comment someone else made about the flu into giving some ballpark on the questions asked above? Or do you figure that mentioning "common sense" once while telling me about you and your dog is the level of specificity that will satisfy the questions asked? You have one paragraph left - maybe you'll give at least one of those questions a crack in there!



... Nope. Back to bitching about the real problem, the forum. I will say, whatever aversion you have to the term "nothingburger" this was one of the most evasively self indulgent nothingburgers of a 300 word response to direct questions I could have hoped to receive. The ironic thing was that the closest you came to actually dealing with anything asked was using a cathprhase "common sense" and start to subtly direct it towards your own partisan politics (I bet your reading comprehension improves after it failed you in noticing the multiple direct questions asked and you don't waste the opportunity to deny this!).

For someone whose routine is to step into these threads with a stern demeanor and soberly ask people to take this seriously, it kinda seems like you just use the uproar over all of this as an excuse to put out catchphrases and subtly steer things towards your own partisan agenda. I generally ignore your longwinded posts. I suspect this illustrates why.

This is impressively shitty post. I should have expected this, but for some reason I thought you were going to be reasonable. If you could write a coherent post that is not scattershot, it would be easier to recognize what questions you want answers to. I'm not going to write you a novel, so I gave a general response. Your questions were asinine, so I thought they were rhetorical.

For example:

What steps should we take to save a thousand lives from preventable non-covid sickness each year?

You mean like massive anti-smoking campaigns? Massive moves to improve nutritional guidelines and education? PE? Health classes? Massive funding for flu vaccinations, measles, chickenpox, etc? Massive research with funding in the billions for Cancer, Heart Disease, AIDS?

How the hell is somebody supposed to provide a thorough answer to such an exhaustive question? Lol. Yeah, we take enormous measures constantly that require enormous research funding and manpower. I support that. I'm not going to write you a novel on it.

If another lockdown, or significantly increased taxation, or draconian measures concerning civil liberties (tracking, fines or incarceration for leaving the house sick, etc) were to cut down on these preventable deaths, would you be OK with them?

Our taxes already go towards combating these issues, as evidenced by the $400 million project just signed off on to combat the Flu, and the trillions of dollars spent on various projects at the NIH. So yeah, I'm okay with tax money going to combat illnesses.

No, I would not okay with incarceration for leaving your house while sick. Great questions! Lol.

Or, what's the threshold for how many deaths starts to rile you from your complacency and gets you going as an advocate for significant social and civil action to prevent it? Are we willing to make a depressed economy a new normal if it saves a few thousand lives from influenza and other sicknesses? What about tens of thousands?


Proportionality. The more severe the issue, the more severe the response needs to be. Each situation needs to be measured individually to determine the options available and the risks involved. In the case of Covid, we knew there was the possibility for devastation, and there was an unpredictability due to it being a novel virus we were not all that familiar with. We were looking at hundreds of thousands of deaths without action, and we just crossed 100,000 even with the measures taken.

No, a permanently depressed economy is not necessary. Which is why we are already opening the economy across the country in steps. But a temporary effort to slow a pandemic while we learn more about the disease, how to combat the disease, our healthcare limits, how it affects different age groups, etc, is reasonable to me.
 
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They are all obese

What's wrong with the South

Looks like a manatee convention

I knew this shit would happen. To be fair there are plenty of cows here, but there are probably plenty of people coming form PA and Jersey.

The eastern shore of Maryland has had a pretty low number of confirmed cases and now people are going to flock from cities to the beach. I'm sure we'll be seeing a spike in the coming weeks. Really dumb to flatten our curve here, which would have been already been flat relative to cities where seasonal traffic is coming from, only to let a bunch of sickos come over and fuck everything up.
 
COVID-19 may be the catalyst — not the cause — of a painful but useful economic transformation
https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/coronavirus-economic-change-1.5581084



Development of a wristband called Halo that tells employees when they are getting too close to one another was accelerated by a new division of the University of Toronto's Creative Destruction Lab that was launched to address health or economic recovery challenges created by the COVID-19 crisis.


You don't need guns or freedom, you need tracking devices, COVID-19 bracelets and unapproved vaccines. China is your friend and here to help. In exchange for your resources and sovereignty, you may still be allowed to buy useless crap that will impress douche bags you don't even like!

 
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In Philippine slums, heat, hunger take a toll under lockdown
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-philippines-slums-idUSKBN231150

This is what a meal can look like in the slums around the Philippine capital Manila. Under lockdown since March 16, many families have lost regular incomes and forced to survive on government aid that can be sporadic and often not enough.

“Every day we just wait for our ration but it only comes once or twice a week,” said Asinto, 42, whose plywood and tin house sits precariously on top of another, reachable only by ladder.
 
Yes, and they appeared to deny that herd immunity was their goal, at least on a national scale.

Yet it's not clear how to rate it, yet. I shared a University of Minnesota researcher's projection that predicted 60%-70% of Americans will contract the disease in the next 18-24 months. If that proves true, then it means that our entire lockdown has been nothing more than a way to prevent the health care system from being overwhelmed all at once, and buy us time to better learn how to fight the disease while also preparing a vaccine.

On the other hand, I also saw a report the other day that there was predictive models in Thailand or Taiwan (can't remember which) that predicted we will have eradicated the disease here in the USA as early as October or November. For unclear reasons, they were recently pulled. That could be because they decided they made a grave mistake, but it could also be political. So obviously there is a massive range of scientific estimates that don't agree.

Sweden has definitely done worse than neighboring countries, but if the spread of the disease is as inevitable as the first prediction, then it might be a wash, really. We'll all be bordering on a herd immunity penetration, at that point, and since Sweden, unlike the USA, was never overwhelmed anywhere in their medical system, then it will not have mattered a great deal that they didn't shut down, in terms of lives lost, and thus their decision to prioritize the economy while emphasizing social responsibility will be vindicated.

Mainly, I'm terrified by the possibility that 140m-160m Americans will be infected. Even with the CDC's latest "best-case scenario" IFR estimates released yesterday that I posted above, 0.4%, that will be 560K-640K total dead. Of those who don't die nearly as many face excruciating rehabilitation roads just to recover use of their limbs, and full lung capacity.

The longer this goes on the greater the politicization of its handling becomes an apparent exercise in idiocy. Nobody knew what to do, and even now we aren't yet capable to judge exactly what would have been the right thing to do at any given stage. The primary takeaway is that we should increase funding towards preparedness for public health disasters like this; though not with an absurd overreaction that wastes money by forgetting this is a once-in-a-century type of pandemic.


I don’t think we could ever hit those numbers so quickly.

that’s just my gut feeling.

Who knows,
 
Here's why the Canadian dollar's mini-rally is about to fizzle out
https://business.financialpost.com/...ian-dollars-mini-rally-is-about-to-fizzle-out

The Canadian dollar has emerged relatively unscathed from the collapse in crude oil prices over the past few months, and has even managed to enjoy a mini-rally amid the lockdown carnage.

But that’s about to come to an end.

The Canadian dollar gave up some of its gains against the greenback last week, falling 0.5 per cent to 1.40, or 71.30 U.S. cents, on Friday. This morning the loonie was trading 0.11 per cent higher to 71.48 U.S. cents, but there is near- universal consensus that there is weakness ahead for the Canadian dollar.
 
Lockdown 2.0? Case spikes could lead to more coronavirus restrictions
https://globalnews.ca/news/6968162/ontario-coronavirus-numbers-rising-restrictions/

For much of May, it seemed to help tame the virus, with the line marching reassuringly downward. But recently, Ontario’s daily new cases have stayed above 400, with the curve showing no sign of the hoped-for flattening.

Ontario’s R number, the number of people who an infected person will, in turn, infect on average, has remained stubbornly over one, University of Toronto epidemiologist Ashleigh Tuite wrote in an email.

….

“We all hope to go back to the way things were before the outbreak started, but we need to be ready, and prepare for the likely scenario that some of these layers actually have to be reinstated.”
 
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