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Contender Series - Week 6

svmr_db

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Really tough betting card tbh.

Pretty set on betting Naito. They both lack great experience. The only person Gautier's beaten with any experience is a 47 year old, and his lone loss was to an aging amateur guy doing his first pro MMA fight. His kickboxing looks solid but not very special, seems to have decent TDD but hasn't been tested that well. Naito hasn't done anything special, kinda meh standup, but I think he has great takedown entries, knows how to hold people down and smother.

I don't find Elijah Smith that impressive, and same with Tau, but Tau's decent enough that I'm tempted to dog bet him.

Bennett & Hart is the interesting fight to me. I really like Hart, but Bennett's extremely experienced if you consider all his amateur fights against UFC and PFL guys. Looks like a coinflip and might just stab whoever's the dog before the fight.

I can't get the beatdown of Hassanzada out of my head from last time. It was bad. He otherwise looks okay, and Mantello's average enough that he can get the win, but I don't know.
 
Man, both of these guys aren't UFC level, they ain't getting a contract.

Okay, cool. Chris Leben is a judge.
 
Damn I saw Hassanzada around +900/+1000 going into round 3.
 
Lol couldn't have foreseen that any better. Hassanzada is not UFC level, but Mantello was just average enough for the W. Congrats to whoever took a livebet that last round.
 
Gauthier tryna use his ashy knees to his advantage. Man has straight hot sandpaper awaiting his opponent.
 
-0.75u

More than happy with today's result. Had absolutely no hope and expected to get destroyed, but didn't really. Upset that I didn't follow my own rules with that lone ITD. Everything says fights with close to evens like that should be bet the other way, and it wasn't even evens, it leaned GTD lol. Already knew this, but it's nice to have a card that swings to a loss purely as a result of that.

I just really wanted an ITD in there somewhere though haha.

Would have been nice if Mantello wasn't such a can and had held on a bit longer.


DWCS S8W60-0.75250
Mantello/Hassanzada GTDGTDl2.90.5-0.500
Naito/Gautier GTDGTDl2.80.5-0.500
Bennett/Hart ITDITDl1.781-100
Teixeira/Lopes GTDGTDl7.50.5-0.500
Tau/Smith GTDGTDW2.7511.7500
 
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Some of these signings are getting pretty bad. Look forwarding to fading guys like Hassanzada in the future.
 
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