Elections Clinton vs Trump Polls thread (Clinton's Bounce Larger than Trump's)

Prediction on Win Margin for Election Night (Electoral College)

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The XL said:
Every one of them are standard establishment outlets. So yeah.
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The better to claim a conspiracy with later. Sorry mister, so many polls don't lie.
Things can change on a dime, but right now that is what it is.
 
At this point if you actually think Trump will win you should go look in the mirror. You're looking at an idiot.

Obama's approval ratings are near an all-time high, Unemployment is low, Trump is openly cupping Putin's balls while fellating him and undermining America.

This is all over. Trump will lose worse than Romney did.
 
The XL said:
Every one of them are standard establishment outlets. So yeah.
Click to expand...

Let me guess...you're one of those guys who was all excited after Trump's convention bump gave him a 1 point lead (absolutely pathetic bump, BTW) but is now questioning the accuracy of the polls because Hilary has a huge lead.

Here is a tip: the polls aren't biased, you are.
 
Thought I would share this with everyone so we stop falling for the skewed RCP polls.

This website, meant to take polls and re-weight them so they represent an accurate number of voters in comparison to the general election.

As of today, Trump is actually ahead of Clinton on average by less than a percent... and this mainly comes from Clinton's convention bump (as you can see in the screenshot, is far less than the media made it out to be)

LINK: http://www.longroom.com/polls/

WhBPHFK.png



Since it began, through unbiased polls, the last 3 elections were predicted accurately to less than a half a percent!

drNvs47.png
 
Gabkicks said:
Two more unbiased survey/polling sites, which also show Trump in the lead or virtually tied.


https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/...us-presidential-election-daily-tracking-poll/

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-daybreak-poll-methodology-20160714-snap-story.html

These surveys are also updated almost daily too and have bigger samples than the RCP polls.
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He's gonna win, man! You can triple your life savings by betting on it. Take advantage of idiots who think that August is later than July or who don't read the People's Pundit Daily.
 
Jack V Savage said:
He's gonna win, man! You can triple your life savings by betting on it. Take advantage of idiots who think that August is later than July or who don't read the People's Pundit Daily.
Click to expand...

I agree and if Trump losses it's only because the election was rigged. Not because demographics and who Trump largely appeals to with his narrow message.
 
I still say it is way too early to accurately predict the presidential election.
 
Gabkicks said:
Thought I would share this with everyone so we stop falling for the skewed RCP polls.

This website, meant to take polls and re-weight them so they represent an accurate number of voters in comparison to the general election.

As of today, Trump is actually ahead of Clinton on average by less than a percent... and this mainly comes from Clinton's convention bump (as you can see in the screenshot, is far less than the media made it out to be)

LINK: http://www.longroom.com/polls/

WhBPHFK.png



Since it began, through unbiased polls, the last 3 elections were predicted accurately to less than a half a percent!

drNvs47.png
Click to expand...

Interesting thanks.

i know there was controversy with Reuters changing their method so that it favored Hillary more (and she got a huge bump)

I do think that Trump responding in an idiotic manner towards Gold Star parents hurt him in the polls though.

I can see Reuters being inaccurate (because of the controversial change) but what about the other polls?
 
SouthoftheAndes said:
I agree and if Trump losses it's only because the election was rigged. Not because demographics and who Trump largely appeals to with his narrow message.
Click to expand...

Trump's going to win. If you take the real polls and adjust them to increase the proportion of Trump voters--in line with the assumption that Trump is winning--you can prove mathematically that Trump is winning the race. It's science, bro.
 
Texas isn't going blue this election but it's inevitable.

Their demographics are certainly there. Just over 50% of the total population is nonwhite and they vote more or less the way minorities vote in other parts of the country. Latinos about 2/3 to 3/4 and blacks at over 80% Democrat.

The only difference is that whites go Republican at rates similar to West Virginia, Mississippi, etc. White Texans are unbelievably Republican, especially for such a large, rich state with several big and cosmopolitan cities. It's really pretty impressive. I only know a few white liberals here in Houston and most of them are transplants from somewhere else.

But the numbers will eventually catch up to them.
 
From 2008:
-USA Today Poll- McCain Leading by 10 Points Over Obama ...
-Poll shows McCain in 5-point lead over Obama - Reuters

From 2012:
-Gallup: Romney extends lead over Obama to 5 points - TheHill
-Romney 49%, Obama 48% in Gallup's Final Election Survey

From 2016:
-Unbiased polling site shows Trump currently leading Hillary (Predicted past 3 elections)
-Man Gets Shock Of His Life When He Buys 2 Toy Poodles for $150 Only To Be Told By Vet That They Are Actually Giant Rodents Pumped Up With Steroids To Look Like Dogs
 
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