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International China expands defence budget by 7.2% amid Sino-US rivalry, geopolitical tensions

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This is the 10th straight year of single-digit growth in China’s military budget, which analysts say reflects the country’s long-term security objectives in balancing deterrence with modernisation.

Lee Gim Siong

05 Mar 2025 08:47AM
BEIJING: China has announced a 7.2 per cent hike in its defence budget for this year, keeping pace with its 2024 figure as the country marches on with its military modernisation drive amid a troubled geopolitical landscape.

The pot is set to grow to 1.78 trillion yuan (US$245.6 billion), according to a draft budget report on Wednesday (Mar 5), as Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report at the opening session of the National People’s Congress (NPC).

The headline figure is announced annually at the Two Sessions, which comprises the NPC gathering and the meeting of the country’s top political advisory body.

The latest amount marks the 10th straight year of single-digit growth in the national military budget. China raised its defence budget by 7.2 per cent last year.

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Addressing some 3,000 NPC delegates at the cavernous Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Li reaffirmed the Chinese government’s commitment to military modernisation, emphasising its role in safeguarding national interests.

Li further stated that efforts would be intensified to accelerate defence-related projects, enhance military-civilian integration and refine the framework for defence science, technology, and industries.

“We in government at every level will provide strong support for the development of national defence and the armed forces, and refine the mechanisms for strengthening mutual support between civilian sectors and the military,” Li added.

China’s defence spending is closely watched as a measure of how Beijing will expand its military capabilities, especially as it faces brewing tensions in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait, along with a growing Sino-US rivalry.
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EXPANDING MILITARY CAPABILITIES​

Analysts see the steady rise in China’s military expenditure as a reflection of the country’s long-term security objectives, balancing deterrence with modernisation.

Professor Kerry Brown, director of the Lau China Institute at King’s College London, told CNA that China’s increased defence budget comes at a “strategically critical” moment, as competition with the United States escalates under the Trump administration and security threats grow more complex.

“The world is becoming extremely chaotic, with America picking fights with its allies and its competitors, (and) in this kind of environment, most countries will be extremely defensive,” he noted.

“China is defensive at the best of times, and now even more so because of the heightened insecurity that it probably feels from its environment and from America, which is very hard to predict.”

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Beijing has long highlighted how its military budget remains significantly lower than Washington’s. The US logged a defence budget request of US$842 billion for FY2024, more than three times higher than China’s.

Analyses by Western think tanks and research institutions have suggested that China’s actual military expenditure exceeds what it puts down on paper.

For instance, a joint research paper published in August 2024 by the Texas National Security Review calculated that after accounting for off-budget expenditures and economic factors like purchasing power parity, China’s real defence spending in 2024 could be more than double its stated budget of 1.67 trillion yuan.

Even so, that would still place Beijing’s military expenditure considerably below Washington’s, stated the report, which estimated US defence spending that year to be US$1.3 trillion using similar calculations.

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China’s growing defence budget is not about competing in a “defence spending race” with the US, said Chinese foreign policy observer Chong Ja Ian from the Department of Political Science at the National University of Singapore (NUS).

“The point is not about keeping pace with US military spending. It is to develop and maintain capabilities that enable the PLA (People’s Liberation Army) to fight and win conflicts at various levels, including so-called ‘high-end’ ones that involve able adversaries like the United States,” the associate professor told CNA.

On how China might allocate its 2025 defence budget, Brown from King’s College London said China is increasingly aware of its growing capacity for innovation.

“It’s aware that it’s got far greater innovation now than ever before. It’s creating significant things, like a stealth fighter - the J-35 - and (in more recent times), AI.”

“These (innovations) have military implications … that is where it’s focusing its efforts, trying to spend more, of course, but also be more efficient and more effective in spending it.”
 
the final question mark

Everyone knows about usa and russias militaries but this one is still a mystery
 
China needs to be stopped. Our focus needs to be nearly 100% on them.
Stopped how? And about their ally Russia? We aren't supporting Ukraine in anticipation for engagement with China?
 
the final question mark

Everyone knows about usa and russias militaries but this one is still a mystery
They need all the tech they could get and just push buttons. Inexperienced military who's only good for putting the down the local rabble or fighting with sticks with the Indian Army in the mountains.
 
In 2022, Chinese President Xi Jinping stated that China aims to "basically complete” the “modernisation of national defence and the military” by 2035 and to build a "world-class military” by the mid-century.

He has also emphasised that military modernisation is key to "safeguarding national sovereignty, security, and development interests".
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Why, Xing? Because i am american and you're chinese?
-No, John. Because i lost my glasses today!

Speaking at a news conference on Tuesday (Mar 4), NPC spokesperson Lou Qinjian highlighted that “(China’s) defence budget has remained below 1.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) for many years, lower than the global average”.

Global defence spending jumped nearly 10 per cent to US$2.46 trillion last year, according to a report by the International Institute for Strategic Studies. Released in February, it linked the rise in spending to increasing geopolitical tensions.

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The two largest spenders, the US and China, made up around half the total expenditure. Russia was the third largest military spender.

China said late last month that its defence spending was “entirely necessary” after Russian President Vladimir Putin backed a suggestion by US counterpart Donald Trump that the three countries cut their defence budgets in half.

"China has always adhered faithfully to the path of peaceful development," Foreign ministry spokesman Lin Jian told a regular press briefing.

"Limited defence spending is entirely necessary to defend national sovereignty, security and development interests and to maintain world peace," he said.

Earlier in February, the Chinese foreign ministry said that the US, in line with its “America First” policy under Trump, should "take the lead" in any proposed reduction to military spending.
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SIGHTS TRAINED ON SOUTH CHINA SEA, TAIWAN(i misread tighs! Sorry!)
Observers say China's increasing assertiveness in the South China Sea in recent years has further driven the need for a larger defence budget.

Beijing has deployed navy and coast guard vessels in a bid to bar Manila from strategically important reefs and islands in the area. China - which claims almost all of the South China Sea - has accused the Philippines of encroaching on its territory.

The Philippines and the US are bound by a mutual defence pact, and recent clashes have sparked fears that the US military could be drawn into an escalation.

Other claimants with overlapping claims include Brunei, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam.

At the same time, analysts note that Taiwan remains the central focus for China’s strategic planning.

Chong from NUS noted that the growing defence budget is closely tied to China's long-term goal of unification with the self-governed island, which Beijing claims as its own and has not ruled out reclaiming by force.
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China has ramped up military activity around Taiwan, sending ships and planes near it on a near-daily basis.

“Apart from coercion, such use of force includes a whole spectrum of possibilities ranging from blockades to limited strikes to some sort of full-scale conflict … the increased spending allows the PLA to build up such capabilities,” he said.
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“Ongoing coercive moves (by China) seek to put pressure on Taiwan’s military, society, and political leaders. They intend to erode (the island’s) will to resist and accept PRC domination. A bigger military budget supports such an end.”

Delivering his annual work report to the NPC on Tuesday, Premier Li said China would "firmly advance" the push for "reunification" with Taiwan while opposing external interference, and strive to work with regular Taiwanese to realise the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

Brown from King’s College London said that while forcibly reclaiming Taiwan is not China’s immediate or near-term priority, it remains a key focus of military preparations in case of a future contingency.

“It's got to constantly be prepared for issues or possibilities where the outside world forces it,” he said.

“So, (China) shouldn't be lazy about this issue of Taiwan. If the opportunity arose because of uncertainty and no real kind of commitment from Taiwan's allies, including the US, China might take the opportunity (to invade). It's unlikely at the moment, but it's possible.”

"

A POTENTIAL MILITARY PARADE?

According to news reports, China is expected to hold a high-profile military parade later this year, in what analysts view as a strategic display aimed at reinforcing both domestic and international perceptions of the country’s military strength.

The parade is to mark the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II, with Russian President Vladimir Putin likely to attend, the South China Morning Post reported on Feb 28, citing diplomatic sources.

Hong Kong Satellite Television reported on Mar 4 that it would take place in early September. It cited confirmation from NPC delegate Zhang Yihu, a Chinese air force lieutenant general.

Brown from King’s College London noted that such an event serves multiple purposes, including bolstering morale within the armed forces and asserting firm control over the military.

"It's expected to fuel patriotism and nationalism for people to see the extraordinarily well-equipped and modern army that China now has,” he said.

“It's (also considered) part of the political theater in the country, for the leaders, particularly Xi Jinping, to brandish themselves as being completely in control of the party, which they are.”

SCRUTINY AMID GRAFT CRACKDOWN​

As China grows its defence spending pot, analysts expect it to maintain a military anti-corruption campaign as part of a sweeping anti-graft push that has been ongoing for years.

“The purge is going to be continuous - because the budget amounts are so huge, there will always be people who will be corrupted by this,” Brown noted.

“(But) maybe the intensity will slow down now, because you don’t want to demoralise the army, but on the other hand, you don’t want it to get lazy and complacent.”

At least 14 PLA personnel in senior leadership positions have been removed from their posts as NPC delegates, leading to a reduced military presence at this year’s session, according to Hong Kong news outlet Sing Tao Daily.

Miao Hua, head of the political work department at the apex Central Military Commission, was suspended in November 2024 for alleged serious disciplinary violations.

While the NPC has yet to formally revoke Miao’s delegate status, his attendance at the meetings is considered unlikely.

The attendance of several other senior military officials at the Two Sessions is also in question.

In December last year, a promotion ceremony was held for army Political Commissar Chen Hui, who was promoted to general.

Army commander Li Qiaoming, former army political commissar Qin Shutong, navy political commissar Yuan Huazhi, and People’s Armed Police commander Wang Chunning were absent from the event, Singapore Chinese-language daily Lianhe Zaobao reported, citing footage from state broadcaster CCTV.

Li, Yuan, and Wang are NPC delegates.

A Sing Tao Daily report on Mar 4 cited CCTV news footage as showing Li among the PLA and Armed Police delegation to the NPC on Mar 3. Yuan and Wang were not seen alongside him, the outlet reported.

Chong from NUS noted that China’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign also serves to reinforce the government’s control over the military.

“The PLA is a huge organisation and highly opaque. This creates permissive conditions for corruption. Some of such action may also have to do with control of the military rather than just addressing corruption,” he said.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/eas...itary-modernisation-regional-tensions-4975981
 
- Sorry guys. The eletricity here, felt for some reason and i condt finish!
 
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