Canelo vs Crawford: the weight issue debunked

[Kovalev's "Man Bag"]

They may be close in weight on fight night but there's a reason Canelo is the betting favorite. He's the bigger man. A natural middleweight while Crawford's naturally a welterweight when you look at his frame. Canelo is already accustomed to fighting at SMW. The highest Crawford's gone up is to JMW and he looked quite vulnerable. Now have him jump up 2 more divisions in one fell swoop? That's a recipe to be shell-shocked on fight night against a bigger, stronger, and more powerful opponent like Canelo.

On the other hand, Crawford could be highly competitive with him. He does have the skills and attributes that've beaten or at least troubled Canelo in the past. Ultimately it will depend on how well he's able to take Canelo's shots and whether he has enough pop himself to keep Canelo off. It's true that Canelo couldn't finish Charlo but he did dominate and drop him. Charlo was in survival mode the whole fight. Finishing guys that care only to survive isn't easy. They refuse to open up and even when they do they won't commit to their shots.

 

[MayweatherisTBE]

I think Crawford wins, size won't be an issue. Canelo has had an extremely short "prime". Maybe he peaked early? Anyway, he looks washed. You know it's bad when you can't even stop the tomato cans at 168 anymore. You telling us Crawford ain't better than Berlanga?

 

[StopDucking]

You do realize it took Canelo years to put on weight before he fought Golovkin? It's fine to have an opinion or make a prediction but you're acting like you're Punxsutawney Phil or some kind of big shot.

I didn't bother posting it in the other thread this subject came up but even your source thinks Canelo will have a substantial weight advantage.

Eddie Hearn Reveals What The 'Massive' Canelo vs Crawford Weight Difference Will Be On Fight Night - Seconds Out

Pound-for-pound stars Canelo Alvarez and Terence Crawford look set to clash in a mega-fight later this year.

www.secondsout.com

And do you realize Crawford has more than 2 years to prepare for Canelo since the last time he fought at 147? That's literally years of preparation.

My source was Canelo's promoter, yours is just some boxing fan making guesses. Sure, it's the same guy but he's no longer Canelo's promoter and has no inside knowledge.

 

[Kovalev's "Man Bag"]

I think Crawford wins, size won't be an issue. Canelo has had an extremely short "prime". Maybe he peaked early? Anyway, he looks washed. You know it's bad when you can't even stop the tomato cans at 168 anymore. You telling us Crawford ain't better than Berlanga?

Size won't be an issue, you say, but without explaining why that is. What about physical strength? According to Crawford, Madrimov felt really strong in there and that guy is only a junior middleweight. That was a close fight. Crawford wasn't able to create separation until the championship rounds.

 

[LangfordBarrow]

And do you realize Crawford has more than 2 years to prepare for Canelo since the last time he fought at 147? That's literally years of preparation.

My source was Canelo's promoter, yours is just some boxing fan making guesses. Sure, it's the same guy but he's no longer Canelo's promoter and has no inside knowledge.

Canelo fought at JMW for 5 years, moved up to MW and then back down to JMW for another 2 years before he fought Golovkin at MW, and that's just one weight class. 7 years ago Bud was just moving up to WW so that's a full 3 weight classes.

It's funny how you think anyone that disagrees with you is just making guesses but that your own guesses must be written on stone tablets by the finger of God. Crawford winning would be a historic achievement and would bring a lot of attention to boxing so good luck to him. There is a reason though why we have the actual fights so let's wait to see how this one turns out.

Hopefully your prediction doesn't end up like this...

 

[StopDucking]

Hopefully your prediction doesn't end up like this...

It’s a good thing I have a track record of predicting fights correctly then.

 

[MayweatherisTBE]

Size won't be an issue, you say, but without explaining why that is. What about physical strength? According to Crawford, Madrimov felt really strong in there and that guy is only a junior middleweight. That was a close fight. Crawford wasn't able to create separation until the championship rounds.

I don’t think it will be a huge deal. It wasn’t against Floyd. Canelo is not a clincher, he’s not a big puncher, he’s not an overly aggressive fighter. Canelo is a counterpuncher and Crawford is good at not being countered. It’s not so easy to time a guy that can switch stances. And let’s not forget, Canelo is a small 168er. He’s probably a little smaller than Madrimov.

 

[LangfordBarrow]

I don’t think it will be a huge deal. It wasn’t against Floyd. Canelo is not a clincher, he’s not a big puncher, he’s not an overly aggressive fighter. Canelo is a counterpuncher and Crawford is good at not being countered. It’s not so easy to time a guy that can switch stances. And let’s not forget, Canelo is a small 168er. He’s probably a little smaller than Madrimov.

Have to disagree here. This fight would be like Floyd fighting GGG with no catchweight or rehydration clause. Canelo is a big puncher, and even though I don't put him on Floyd's level he is a HOFer, and considering he's fought at LHW I don't think it's reasonable to call him a "small" SMW. Maybe a "short" SMW but weight wise on fight night after cutting I think he'll be the bigger man. Too bad it's not happening in May but let's wait and see.

 

[Kovalev's "Man Bag"]

I don’t think it will be a huge deal. It wasn’t against Floyd. Canelo is not a clincher, he’s not a big puncher, he’s not an overly aggressive fighter. Canelo is a counterpuncher and Crawford is good at not being countered. It’s not so easy to time a guy that can switch stances. And let’s not forget, Canelo is a small 168er. He’s probably a little smaller than Madrimov.

Canelo is quite physically strong. He picked up Bivol like he was a child, put him over his shoulder, and paraded him around the ring. Physical strength comes in handy in a lot of situations. For example, if/when he hurts Crawford and Crawford looks to immediately tie-up to recover he can use his superior physical strength to deny the clinch. Beterbiev has made a career out of this (like against a prime Gvozdyk). Canelo isn't a big puncher? I disagree. He's one of the better punchers in the sport. Canelo has explosive power in both hands. Ask Billy Joe Saunders. He had his orbital bone shattered in multiple places with one shot. Canelo isn't just a counterpuncher he also knows how to apply pressure and break guys down.

It isn't easy to time a guy that can switch stances? Switch-hitting isn't magical. Canelo can anticipate him switching stances and time the transition itself. If you can catch a guy in the midst of doing it then that's when they'll be most vulnerable. Canelo probably has a similar frame to Madrimov but he's going to feel physically stronger to Crawford than Madrimov did. Let's not forget that Canelo's fought at light heavyweight and won a world title there. Madrimov is strong for a JMW but that's not saying much.

 

[MayweatherisTBE]

I think both of you guys are making good arguments. I'm probably underestimating Canelo, but you have to admit he hasn't impressed in his last couple of fights. He's looked beatable.

And unlike a lot of people, I don't hate this fight. I think it's a good matchup. It'll be a good test for Canelo. Gonna be close, but I still have Crawford winning.

 

[Kovalev's "Man Bag"]

I think both of you guys are making good arguments. I'm probably underestimating Canelo, but you have to admit he hasn't impressed in his last couple of fights. He's looked beatable.

And unlike a lot of people, I don't hate this fight. I think it's a good matchup. It'll be a good test for Canelo. Gonna be close, but I still have Crawford winning.

I agree. Canelo hasn't performed all that well since at least 2021. He's been showing wear & tear over the last several years but he's still a world class operator. It's a dangerous fight for Crawford but he does have the type of skills & attributes to potentially beat Canelo. If Crawford's able to keep him off and can handle the power then it's a fight that he should win. I'm just not sure that he can.

 

[JC615]

I think too many people are putting too much stock into Bud's performance against Madrimov who is probably underrated. Not to mention he was gonna come back down to earth after the Spence performance. I assure you you'll see a closer version to the Crawford that fought Spence vs. the version that fought Madrimov. The primary concern was how many straight right hands Madrimov was landing on Bud. Maybe Crawford loses but either way, there would be most likely be a rematch if it's close and he won't get killed like Khan did where they're sweeping up particles of shattered glass at T-Mobile in the after hours.

 

[StopDucking]

It’s a good thing I have a track record of predicting fights correctly then.

AND… still the undefeated, undisputed, lineal champion of boxing prediction. I guess having eyes and brain is really paying off.

 

[MayweatherisTBE]

Hey I called it. Also called correct on saying Canelo was washed before the fight.