When is the last time Usman won a fight by offensive wrestling? Maybe Masvidal when he held him against the cage for 5 rounds? No one knows how bad Usman's knees are, but the last time he won a fight mostly with TDs and ground control may have been vs. Woodley in 2019.
I don't think "wall-n-stall" will work against Buckley like it did vs. Masvidal years ago. Usman may be able to do do that for limited times, but not the entire fight.
- Masvidal was a former LW. Buckley, while much shorter than Usman, is a former MW who's also very strong
- Usman is much older now (38) and that kind of approach can be tiring against a younger, strong opponent