International BREXIT: Leave/Remain Referendum on June 23 Will Change Europe, No Matter the Outcome.

[ncordless]

If you think Brexit is a good idea, are you buying into the plummetung pound sterling right now? Or is there to much risk to put money there?

 

[JadeOwl]

If Britain leaves, but Scotland votes to stay, do we get another Scottish Independence vote in near future?

Also, how fucked is Gibraltar?

Probably, yeah. On both counts.

 

[Zankou]

"No longer certain" has to be one of the great catchphrases.

 

[Rimbaud82]

If Britain leaves, but Scotland votes to stay, do we get another Scottish Independence vote in near future?

Also, how fucked is Gibraltar?

Almost certainly. We are also likely to see an Irish referendum if the result is leave.

 

[in the]

LATEST: Leave now favourite on betting market
Leave has now become the favourite on Betfair.

'This has gone.. Leave to win'
A tweet from the BBC's political editor Laura Kuennsberg:

 

[scoopj]

London and Scotland are going to be big problems for the Leave supporters

London has about 6000 voters.

 

[in the]

If you think Brexit is a good idea, are you buying into the plummetung pound sterling right now? Or is there to much risk to put money there?

You always buy when blood is on the streets.

 

[in the]

"No longer certain" has to be one of the great catchphrases.

"Everything else is virtually identical."

 

[ncordless]

Almost certainly. We are also likely to see an Irish referendum if the result is leave.

Ouch. So just little ole Rngland on its own, huh? I could see this being good for US, as England will have to turn somewhere. I can probably afford that vacation to London soon the way this is going down.

 

[TheStruggle]

Leave: 1,438,695
Remain: 1,292,093

41/ 382 Declared

 

[ncordless]

You always buy when blood is on the streets.

Sure. Seems like a good opportunity if you don't think this will have severe long term consequences for the pound.

 

[hoonosewot88]

London has about 6000 voters.

What?! Try 8 million on for size. Are you talking about City of London? Cos that's only 1 counting station out of like 30 in London, and it's by far the smallest.

 

[Rimbaud82]

Ouch. So just little ole Rngland on its own, huh? I could see this being good for US, as England will have to turn somewhere. I can probably afford that vacation to London soon the way this is going down.

Well it's a little tricky, certain areas of Northern Ireland, generally the ones with a stronger unionist vote, are all favouring leave. Likewise nationalist areas are favouring stay. But in the event of brexit it is reasonably likely that nationalist politicians will call for a referendum on a united Ireland. For similar reasons to Scotland, though perhaps a tad less likely. We'll see how it all goes though.

 

[Arkain2K]

London has about 6000 voters.

 

[Madmick]

This is nuts. In a way, this feels like a referendum on Trump by proxy.

 

[TheStruggle]

If Leave pulls this off that means despite all the media pandering for Remain the people saw right through the BS. Hopefully Americans follow suit and kick Clinton.

 

[hoonosewot88]

Massive Remain boost from Lambeth, if the rest of London pans out like that it might save them.

 

[in the]

Pound dives as City reckons with Leave probability
Sterling is heading ever lower against the dollar - on track for its worst losses against the US currency in at least the last three decades.

It is currently trading down more than 4.2pc as traders contemplate the likelihood of a Brexit victory. That puts the pound on track for a greater fall than that of "Black Wednesday", when the UK left the ERM in 1992. On that day, the pound dropped by just 4.1pc.

Meanwhile, Asian markets are waking up and reckoning with the consequences. Expect to see some fall out in bourses there once they open up for trading.

Latest forecast: Leave to win
Another forecast just in from the experts at the University of East Anglia - things are definitely shifting in favour of Leave:

• Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0.03
• (33 of 382 areas reporting.)
• Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.5 percent.
• (90% prediction interval: 45.5 to 49.6 percent)

 

[ncordless]

This is nuts. In a way, this feels like a referendum on Trump by proxy.

If Trump had strongly endorsed leave, it would have doomed the campaign. He is not a well liked guy there, or anywhere really outside of rural America and perhaps Russia and satellites.

 

[JDragon]

This is taking an unexpected turn. I believe the results mean that many people who would have voted remain lazily stayed at home in light of polls.