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bruthead said:
Charles Martin now 11/2 +550 versus Anthony Joshua and the fight is confirmed. Martin needs to survive the first three rounds when Joshua is a beast, fast and powerful, but if he survives that Joshua will slow down and I think is beatable. Martin is a southpaw as well, could be tricky.
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Martin absolutely stinks though.
 
Anyone like Afolabi over Huck? 2.44 on my book (+144?).
 
Forgot to post this but took Afolabi over Huck the other day at +205 for like 1.75u. These two have had three really close fights, Huck is coming off of a ko loss and that could be a concern for him, Afolabi had a tough loss, got his ass kicked pretty bad, a couple fights ago but he showed a hell of a chin and a ton of heart, was a pretty brutal fight but he bounced back with a ko over Chakhkiev in November, Huck still hasn't fought since the loss in August so it'll be interesting to see what kind of shape he comes back in not a long layoff or anything though. All in all I think there's solid value on Afolabi here, nothing points to him looking like a 2-1 dog in this fight, imo. I think he's got a solid shot at the upset here. Also took a stab at Afolabi itd at +580, the ko loss for Huck could just be a fluke against a tough young fighter but it could also mark a loss in his durability. only .25u but I also see a bit of value on that line, too.

Took Quigg against Frampton. Not a strong lean but threw a unit down on him at +155. I think his size could play a big factor here, he goes to the body well, think if he goes about it right that size advantage could wear Frampton down and give him a lot of issues. Frampton is the more skilled all around fighter but I think this is gonna be more competitive than the line suggests, had to take a shot on the dog, see this closer than the line suggests.

Also had to bite on Not Crawford itd +186 for 1u. I don't love this line but I think it's worth a stab. Lundy doesn't have the greatest chin in the world but, despite being hurt/dropped in several fights, he's only been stopped once in five losses. I'm still not completely sold on Bud's stopping power, I always found him to be more of a boxing oriented guy rather than a finisher, that being said it wouldn't surprise me if he did get the stoppage so a bit risky to go the Dec route. The ov11.5 and the fight goes distance aren't much better than the Not Crawford itd line so I just took the latter incase some crazy shit happens and Lundy somehow gets a draw or something. Lundy's pretty skilled and he's mentally tough, I can see him toughing it out for the full 12rds, even if he gets his ass kicked in the process lol.
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
Forgot to post this but took Afolabi over Huck the other day at +205 for like 1.75u. These two have had three really close fights, Huck is coming off of a ko loss and that could be a concern for him, Afolabi had a tough loss, got his ass kicked pretty bad, a couple fights ago but he showed a hell of a chin and a ton of heart, was a pretty brutal fight but he bounced back with a ko over Chakhkiev in November, Huck still hasn't fought since the loss in August so it'll be interesting to see what kind of shape he comes back in not a long layoff or anything though. All in all I think there's solid value on Afolabi here, nothing points to him looking like a 2-1 dog in this fight, imo. I think he's got a solid shot at the upset here. Also took a stab at Afolabi itd at +580, the ko loss for Huck could just be a fluke against a tough young fighter but it could also mark a loss in his durability. only .25u but I also see a bit of value on that line, too.

Took Quigg against Frampton. Not a strong lean but threw a unit down on him at +155. I think his size could play a big factor here, he goes to the body well, think if he goes about it right that size advantage could wear Frampton down and give him a lot of issues. Frampton is the more skilled all around fighter but I think this is gonna be more competitive than the line suggests, had to take a shot on the dog, see this closer than the line suggests.

Also had to bite on Not Crawford itd +186 for 1u. I don't love this line but I think it's worth a stab. Lundy doesn't have the greatest chin in the world but, despite being hurt/dropped in several fights, he's only been stopped once in five losses. I'm still not completely sold on Bud's stopping power, I always found him to be more of a boxing oriented guy rather than a finisher, that being said it wouldn't surprise me if he did get the stoppage so a bit risky to go the Dec route. The ov11.5 and the fight goes distance aren't much better than the Not Crawford itd line so I just took the latter incase some crazy shit happens and Lundy somehow gets a draw or something. Lundy's pretty skilled and he's mentally tough, I can see him toughing it out for the full 12rds, even if he gets his ass kicked in the process lol.
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tempted to follow on Afolabi but the german judges is so corupt man.. he would most likely have to dominate from start to finish to win a decision over there =/ might do something on itd and or the draw +2000
 
bruthead said:
Quite like Frampton by UD 3/1 +300 with Ladbrokes. Still think he's the better fighter.
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Dang, SD for Frampton. Could see the draw as a card but scoring for Quigg was slightly weird. Disappointing fight, glad I sold my tickets to go to Bisping-Silva.
 
Fight in Russia this weekend, Lucas Browne versus Ruslan Chagaev.

Like o8.5 rounds at 11/10 +100, goes the distance at 11/8 +137, Chagaev points 21/10 +210 and the draw 33/1 +3300.

Chagaev is not a big puncher historically despite a KO1 of Pianeta last time and he's now 37. Browne's power is overrated, I think, I saw him go 12 rounds with Andrey Rudenko and he couldn't stop a 44-year-old overweight James Toney. Browne has been knocked-down twice but he is a big lump and has never been knocked out, and Chagaev has only ever been stopped by prime Wlad, a fight I think he took on relatively short notice.

Think Chagaev probably takes this on points as he is the better boxer but given he had a very close fight with Fres Oquendo recently, the overs might be the best value here.
 
Thoughts on Vargas/Ali:

Bit on Vargas at +260 last night, added more when I saw him at +270 today. Ali has one solid win on his record and it was an impressive stoppage over Abregu, but I feel like this is an overreaction to that win. I've mentioned in the past that I've never been high on Vargas, but this is gonna be the toughest match up to date for Ali, Vargas has arguably lost a few fights that he's won on the cards but he's also been in there with tough guys and showed a lot of heart when he was clearly losing to Bradley last time out then came back and almost stopped him late.

The experience factor is well in Vargas's favor and he's only 26, he's definitely had the tougher road coming up and that experience could very well carry him through. Fighting a guy like Tim Bradley, who's one of the top fighters in the sport, then facing a younger, much less experienced/skilled fighter in Ali can only be encouraging for Vargas here too. Vargas is a competent, if somewhat predictable, boxer but is also underrated as an inside fighter. He tends to stay away from mixing it up on the inside but he's shown that he's actually pretty good in the pocket and at close range. His power is better than his record indicates as well, he's not a big puncher, but he possesses more pop than a guy with only 9 ko's in 26 wins. I really like the 260 or better here, he very well might lose but I see solid value on him in that price range. I'm in for 2u, which is most likely the highest I'm gonna go unless the line climbs even higher to like 3-1 or something. Think Ali's stock is too high coming off that Abregu win therefore the value's shifted to Vargas.
 
Browne/Chagaev thoughts:

Took Lucas Browne at +180 over Chagaev for a unit. Not a strong lean but still think it's worth a shot. He was way higher than that awhile back but I fucked up and waited too long so a lot of the value is gone. Still see a little value though, Browne is nothing special, he hasn't been tested against anybody legit, but he's big and he hits hard which could very well be enough to beat Chagaev at this point in his career. Chagaev is a small hw, only 5'11" compared to 6'5" for Browne and although both guys are old, Chagaev has many more miles on him and went to a md with ancient Fres Oquendo in his second to last fight, which isn't a great look for him.

He's a more skilled fighter than Browne, no doubt, Browne admittedly doesn't have a ton of skill and has only fought bums for the most part ( for example the best names on his record are a ud over old ass James Toney, retirement win against Travis Walker, tko over Jason Gavern, all meh at best) just no special wins on his record, but he's still a live body against a small, undersized and rundown hw in Chagaev so I think Browne's worth a small bet in this spot. He's basically just a big dumb oaf with a lot of power in his right hand, a guy Chagaev probably would've handled several years ago, but don't think he's anywhere near that level now and Browne could very well ko him or just out muscle him here and grind him down for a win on the cards (although a Dec could be an issue b/c the fight is in Chagaev's backyard in Russia, just another reason I'm keeping this bet small). So yeah, might be reaching here, but 1u Browne +180.
 
Browne bet cashes. Didn't see the fight but apparently Chagaev almost ko'd him in the 6th but Browne came back to ko him in the 10th. Good start to the day just need Vargas to come through later.
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
Browne bet cashes. Didn't see the fight but apparently Chagaev almost ko'd him in the 6th but Browne came back to ko him in the 10th. Good start to the day just need Vargas to come through later.
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Congrats on the wins. Browne/Chagaev was probably one of the best HW fights I've seen in a while. Browne should great heart after nearly being KOed.
 
thanks, yeah hope some of you made some money on those. I went square and chased pretty hard on Conor and Holly late and that costed me a lot of money. Boxing helped though.
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
thanks, yeah hope some of you made some money on those. I went square and chased pretty hard on Conor and Holly late and that costed me a lot of money. Boxing helped though.
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Yeah I tailed for 2-0 thx
 
Had no idea we had our own forum until Jae Gibbz kindly inboxed me. Will definitely be posting boxing tips again in the near future. :)
 
A lot of gimme matches in the coming weeks to be honest. Will be watching more footage on Jose Pedraza vs Stephen Smith, Smith is game but I still favour Pedraza and feel he's faced the better competition.

1.44 odds on Scott Cardle is great in my opinion, will definitely be lumping on that.
 
Eubank/Blackwell starts round 8 is 4/5 or -120, goes the distance 9/4 or +225.
 
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