Chavez Jr by DEC at +1000 is a steal. Theres value for sure on Chavez Jr's ML as well but the way his decision prop is being priced seems particularly egregious.
JP doesn't have a ton of punching power and do we really think Chavez Jr. cant outbox him? JP couldn't outbox Tommy Furry, yet the market is giving him over six times (9<55) as much decision equity as a former WBC belt holder, in a fight shaded to go the distance? The Anderson fight will always be a stain on Chavez Jr's record but if he takes this fight seriously, and hasn't relapsed, then I don't see how there isn't significant value.
I've noticed JP's boxing career receive a lot of unearned legitimacy from the media, even legacy boxing media, since the Tyson fight. Make no mistake beating 58 year old Mike Tyson in no way suggests he has the ability to beat a 39 year old former belt holder. Anthony Pettis in his 2023 pro boxing debut beat 54 year old Roy Jones Jr, one of the greatest boxers of all time, once boxers hit a certain age even young hobbyists can be competitive with them. Chavez Jr, as long as he is clean, is not washed yet to that level.