Boxing Discussion VIII

I like the most Loma dec + 200 or so

While Linares is big and strong enough to be there for 12 rounds, I don't think he has the speed to hurt Lomachenko. He has the power, but he will have a long night of being ran around.

i agree...but that linares paper skin. an unintentional and uncalled southpaw headbut, loma will piece linares up and jorge will get stopped due to cuts like he did against demarco and thompson
 
i agree...but that linares paper skin. an unintentional and uncalled southpaw headbut, loma will piece linares up and jorge will get stopped due to cuts like he did against demarco and thompson
that should still be a technical DEC then? as long as ref does his job
 
that should still be a technical DEC then? as long as ref does his job

it should be but if the head but is not called then the decision bet is fuked because loma is high output, is too accurate and will fight for the stoppage until the final bell

its a hard fight to bet. imo, if it wasnt for linares skin the loma dec would be a great bet at close to +200.
 
Taking Munguia dec +700 for 1.25u.
I think he takes this, but Ali is the best fighter he has faced. Lots of value on that imo.
 
sadam ali -125

unless ali gets caught early, like valenzuela jr who was fighting his fourth fight in seven months and took the munguia fight on one weeks notice, i think that this fight goes the way of cotto/margarito and there might be an opportunity to middle in live betting as sadam does have suspect punch resistance. the mexican is very east to hit and ali, who will be fighting at home in new york under the gbp banner, should have a signifigant speed advantage in the first part of the fight
 
Couple of value bets I like:

Ryan Ford to beat Avni Yildirim @ 7.95 with Betsafe, Ford is tough and was robbed last time out on away soil, can't see Yildirim knocking this guy out, he spent time in MMA so there's a 5 year gap in his boxing record, doubtful Ford will get a decision with it being in Germany but Ford is the bigger man having campaigned previously at 175 and I've just seen the weigh which confirms this. Eubank dropped Yildirim heavily and I can see Ford getting to him late as he knows he can't let it go to a decision to be robbed again.

Next Azat Hovhannisyan 6.55 @ betsafe, I like Rey Vargas however he likes a tear up and doesn't always box to his height & reach advantages, Vargas has stated he expects this to be "a wild war" Azat is quick, tough and carriers genuine power, he's relentless and won't stop throwing. If it does end up being a tear up with both trading blows up close, for me Azat isn't going anywhere so I'm taking that price. Azat by KO @ 9.0 with Unibet/888 is also attractive.
 
i was on the fence with azat but ended up betting the ml at +800 after the weigh in, +2500 12 round decision

the armenian claims that he fought both frias and carranza with broken hands and changed gloves for his ko win over rios that may or may not have been the result of a headbut.

the freddie roach fighter is also a golden boy fighter so he may get a fair decision should the fight go to the cards
 
I think Rios would've been ended without any contentions about a headbutt personally, any case the odds on a decision are ridiculous and definitely worth a play
 
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a couple azat knockdowns in seperate rounds and the fight goes the distance probably a middle opportunity.

one other angle on this fight is that vargas has a lot of back acne similar to fellow suspended mexican cuadras and maybe he cycled off early, if he was on peds, when fellow mexican ped cheat canelo was caught in february
 
Azat DEC @ 26.00 is crazy.

That coming from someone who happily freerolled from Vargas dec @ 2.88 and goes to distance @ 2.62 for loads at Betfair this week...
 
Dwyer likes Linares ML even at +650 (terrible price) hedged with the over 9½.

 
Jorge Linares (+1000) vs Vasyl Lomachenko $50.00 for $500.00
Jorge Linares/Vasyl Lomachenko Over 7½ (-235) $235.00 for $100.00
Jorge Linares/Vasyl Lomachenko Over 9½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
 
Jorge Linares (+1000) vs Vasyl Lomachenko $50.00 for $500.00
Jorge Linares/Vasyl Lomachenko Over 7½ (-235) $235.00 for $100.00
Jorge Linares/Vasyl Lomachenko Over 9½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
He'll quit
 
WTF is that befuddled Roach talking about? Linares never fought Pacquiao and he beat Gesta. Freddie must have been drunk when he gave this interview.
But you heard the stuff about Linares having his GF in the locker room before the fight. And then quitting during the fights because he doesn't like blood. Roach does seem like a salty hater though
 
But you heard the stuff about Linares having his GF in the locker room before the fight. And then quitting during the fights because he doesn't like blood. Roach does seem like a salty hater though
The non-nonsensical stuff Freddie said made me take the rest with a grain of salt indeed.
 
But you heard the stuff about Linares having his GF in the locker room before the fight. And then quitting during the fights because he doesn't like blood. Roach does seem like a salty hater though

most every fighter wouldve lost with the amount of blood covering linares face at the time of the stoppage in the demarco fight. heres the fight, since you obviously have never watched it.



funny that roach mentiones linares losing due to of the sight of his own blood because thats essentially what paq did in the first morales fight when he was cut



linares skin is a big issue here, but if he doesnt get cut, the +900 could be a bad line as well as linares +2000 decision. if loma runs into trouble in this fight hes not getting kod, his footwork and defense is just too good
 
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