Boxing Discussion VIII

piglord said:
is david price even worth a stab or is he going to explode like a tomato can as usual?
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Glass jaw + Heavyweight =
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josh kelley decision +137

molina came into the UK on saturday so i dont think hes coming for a paycheck and still has his never been kod before to protect. josh also has never been over six rounds and first time fighting at 147 so im hoping he might gas from the weight cut
 
Love fight goes to distance for Kelly-Molina @ 2.50 at Betfair. 1.5u on that
Also, 1.25u Burnett UD @ 2.50 at Ladbrokes with daily boost.
 
pytycrys said:
Love fight goes to distance for Kelly-Molina @ 2.50 at Betfair. 1.5u on that
Also, 1.25u Burnett UD @ 2.50 at Ladbrokes with daily boost.
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will be on discord for this, i'm sure stretch will be as well.
 
Will certainly be there, back from holiday and ready to make some money.
 
CR0W said:
Sure does.
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do you have any input on morgan jones?

i think hes going to be taller, longer and naturally the bigger man against aumatagi jr who is the favorite. imo, the aussie looks like a 160, he does have big calves but looks undersized at 168. with presumably only one UK judge or referee deciding this fight jones looks like he could be a good dog and might be able to win this six round fight behind his jab. iirc, the aussie also has a 9-5 job
 
quincy k said:
do you have any input on morgan jones?

i think hes going to be taller, longer and naturally the bigger man against aumatagi jr who is the favorite. imo, the aussie looks like a 160, he does have big calves but looks undersized at 168. with presumably only one UK judge or referee deciding this fight jones looks like he could be a good dog and might be able to win this six round fight behind his jab. iirc, the aussie also has a 9-5 job
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Not watched anything as of yet but will try take a look tomorrow and see what I think.
 
Don't normally bet unders but Price-Povetkin under 4.5 rounds -120 with William Hill looks good.
 
quincy k said:
do you have any input on morgan jones?

i think hes going to be taller, longer and naturally the bigger man against aumatagi jr who is the favorite. imo, the aussie looks like a 160, he does have big calves but looks undersized at 168. with presumably only one UK judge or referee deciding this fight jones looks like he could be a good dog and might be able to win this six round fight behind his jab. iirc, the aussie also has a 9-5 job
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Just watched all the fights of both that I could find this morning and I agree with you.

Jones has a very active jab, jabs the body a lot too. He relies a lot on his head movement as opposed to a tight guard which could get him in trouble against a swarming pressure fighter or someone with big power but from what I've watched; Auimatagi isn't that guy.

Jones doesn't carry a lot of power but he does slowly break guys down with the accumulation. I think he definitely does slow down a little in rounds 4-6 but gets away with it due to his punch selection and movement. Favours the lead uppercut followed by straight right.

Auimatagi feet are pretty slow which makes me think he'll struggle to cut Jones off or land anything significant. Most of his punches are just looping shots, hooks and uppercuts to the body whilst moving forward. He doesn't seem to have concussive power or a very high output to make Jones struggle here, however he does have experience over 10 rounds which bodes in his favour but since this fight is only over 6 I don't think he'll get the chance to try and test Jones' gas tank.

Jones ML looks solid as dog, if we do get any more markets Jones DEC would be good too.
 
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Anyone like Joshua dec? I've seen a few Parker fights and apparently hes never been down as an amateur or pro but i don't think hes every really fought a big puncher.
 
Sham5916910 said:
Anyone like Joshua dec? I've seen a few Parker fights and apparently hes never been down as an amateur or pro but i don't think hes every really fought a big puncher.
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The more I look into this the more I am feeling wary not to fall into the same trap I did last week betting Lucas Browne which was trying to convince myself that the dog was as good as the hype.
Parker really is quite poor, I think he is on the same level as Molina or Breazeale. I believe Joshua wins by KO in the mid rounds.
I will be looking for price boost specials on round betting and not a lot else I don’t expect.
 
CR0W said:
Not watched anything as of yet but will try take a look tomorrow and see what I think.
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i bought the ml at +115 and going to play the draw as well. i think what could be the most important factor is that since the fight is in all likelihood going to the cards and determined by one UK judge or UK ref the aussie might have a hard time winning a decision.
 
I think I actually like the draw more than Jones ML.
Williamhill has it @ 21 and this will probably be a close fight...If the aussie seems to edge it, the draw may be very possible.
 
pytycrys said:
I think I actually like the draw more than Jones ML.
Williamhill has it @ 21 and this will probably be a close fight...If the aussie seems to edge it, the draw may be very possible.
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Defo taking some of that draw line.
 
quincy k said:
i bought the ml at +115 and going to play the draw as well. i think what could be the most important factor is that since the fight is in all likelihood going to the cards and determined by one UK judge or UK ref the aussie might have a hard time winning a decision.
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2.3 on Paddy Power.

Playing that and tiny cover on the draw but I expect the hometown Jones gets anything close. Especially if it's the referee scoring the bout, no idea if it is but we've seen it before in 6 rounders.
 
CR0W said:
2.3 on Paddy Power.

Playing that and tiny cover on the draw but I expect the hometown Jones gets anything close. Especially if it's the referee scoring the bout, no idea if it is but we've seen it before in 6 rounders.
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Great spot will hit that on way home
 
CR0W said:
2.3 on Paddy Power.

Playing that and tiny cover on the draw but I expect the hometown Jones gets anything close. Especially if it's the referee scoring the bout, no idea if it is but we've seen it before in 6 rounders.
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all his other fights were scored by one UK official including his last six rounder against adam jones. regardless, i think its a pick em on skillset alone and were getting plus money so theoretically you have to buy it.

pretty big line movement on parker last night. i have him on any decision at +2800 as well as aj dec +550, draw +6500
 
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