Boxing Discussion VIII

[Broe.]

That's a very naive take. Paul is making far more than Silva, and he'll be making extra if he takes a dive. There's also speculation of a 'no KO clause' in Paul's fight contracts.

Hmm maybe I am naive but I trust Silva not to do such a thing. He is no Dillashaw.

 

[Tatra]

Hmm maybe I am naive but I trust Silva not to do such a thing. He is no Dillashaw.

Dillashaw was legitimately injured and turned up for a paycheck. I don't see the connection.

Anyway I still think Paul beats Silva even if it's a real fight. A 25 year old man isn't losing to a 47 year old.

 

[Broe.]

Dillashaw was legitimately injured and turned up for a paycheck. I don't see the connection.

Anyway I still think Paul beats Silva even if it's a real fight. A 25 year old man isn't losing to a 47 year old.

Silva is one of a kind. He hasn't looked slow to me at all in his last fights.

 

[Brockstar]

You're assuming this is a real fight. It's Jake Paul's own promotion. lol

I don’t put anything into conspiracy theories. Waste of time to go down those rabbit holes.

Let’s not lose perspective. We are talking about a +550 bet on Silva by decision in a 8 round fight. That’s the value side.

 

[Tatra]

I don’t put anything into conspiracy theories. Waste of time to go down those rabbit holes.

Let’s not lose perspective. We are talking about a +550 bet on Silva by decision in a 8 round fight. That’s the value side.

There's too much money involved in Paul for him to lose. A fight with Nate is likely to happen next. If the fight is close then he'll get the decision. I wouldn't risk much on Silva.

 

[Brockstar]

There's too much money involved in Paul for him to lose. A fight with Nate is likely to happen next. If the fight is close then he'll get the decision. I wouldn't risk much on Silva.

Lots of money is coming in on Jake Paul with the bookies as the line is moving in that direction. Maybe the big books will want Silva to win so they don’t lose money.

Do the big books have more influence than Jake Paul? Who knows?

Its so easy to play the what if game.

…….but it is boxing, sketchy shit does happen, so I will also bet the draw (+1400)

Silva by split decision (+1600) and Silva by majority decision (+2500) are very juicy as well.

I’ll probably put $100 on Silva by decision and $25 on each of the other bets I have mentioned in this post. I just think the odds will still get better.

Good luck whichever way you play it. I hope one or both of us somehow make money on it.

 

[Broe.]

https://www.mmafighting.com/2022/10...s-last-sparring-session-has-controversial-end

I am starting to regret my Silva bet now....Explains the line movement

 

[Brockstar]

https://www.mmafighting.com/2022/10...s-last-sparring-session-has-controversial-end

I am starting to regret my Silva bet now....Explains the line movement

I feel like Silva is playing possum.

Bookies are going to rig the fight.

 

[PuertoRican]

Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva

I found O6.5 rounds -139 in the Premier section of BAS, so I added as much as it would allow me to add: $124 for $89

If the other 2 betting sections of BAS lower the juice on O6.5 from -155 to -140 or better, I'll add more. I also want to bet the DRAW if it's juicy enough, as well as a little sprinkle on Anderson Silva decision, since it's currently between +475 to +750 on various books.

In Las Vegas, Circa has O6.5 at -165, and William Hill as O6.5 at -150.

 

[burge13]

Gorman +380 in a few weeks over Gorman looks overs. Wardley is very basic but admittedly havent seen all his fights

 

[Stat_Collector]

Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva

I found O6.5 rounds -139 in the Premier section of BAS, so I added as much as it would allow me to add: $124 for $89

If the other 2 betting sections of BAS lower the juice on O6.5 from -155 to -140 or better, I'll add more. I also want to bet the DRAW if it's juicy enough, as well as a little sprinkle on Anderson Silva decision, since it's currently between +475 to +750 on various books.

In Las Vegas, Circa has O6.5 at -165, and William Hill as O6.5 at -150.

i have a gut feeling that Jake Paul will win by robbery decision, the whole show is his promotion. It stinks of corruption, especially paul being the boss and self promoter.

 

[Mcgregorian]

I don’t put anything into conspiracy theories. Waste of time to go down those rabbit holes.

Let’s not lose perspective. We are talking about a +550 bet on Silva by decision in a 8 round fight. That’s the value side.

+1

I came on here to see if others feel the same. I was right. Yes it could be rigged but its worth the punt with Silva DEC. I see it as the most likely outcome. Paul is fucking slow.

For what its worth I had $500 at 10/1 on Paul DEC in the first Woodley fight....

 

[Brockstar]

+1

I came on here to see if others feel the same. I was right. Yes it could be rigged but its worth the punt with Silva DEC. I see it as the most likely outcome. Paul is fucking slow.

For what its worth I had $500 at 10/1 on Paul DEC in the first Woodley fight....

I bet Jake Paul by Decision in his first Woodley fight as well. I feel like it was +1200 or +1600 then. I didn’t have anything close to $500 on it. Good for you.

This is what I have bet:

 

[Mcgregorian]

I bet Jake Paul by Decision in his first Woodley fight as well. I feel like it was +1200 or +1600 then. I didn’t have anything close to $500 on it. Good for you.

This is what I have bet:

View attachment 950387 View attachment 950388

Very decent bets mate and well worth the risk.

Probably will go about the same around $200 on the Silva DEC. More If I win on some UFC fights beforehand....

 

[lefontes]

Paul will win this. Silva is going just for money.
Plus, Paul x Diaz will sell high ppv.
Paul ml is safe. Paul ko possible but i like Paul by easy decision.

 

[Brockstar]

Paul will win this. Silva is going just for money.
Plus, Paul x Diaz will sell high ppv.
Paul ml is safe. Paul ko possible but i like Paul by easy decision.

I feel like Paul only really has a punchers chance. His cardio is poor and he throws a hard right and then holds.

It’s going to be a shit fight with lots of holding.

 

[Stat_Collector]

I would laugh my ass off of Silva goes in there and sparks Jake in rnd 1.

 

[Stat_Collector]

interesting props on betonline.


Primary Color of Jake Paul Trunks Odds
Gold/Yellow
+200
Silver/Grey
+300
White
+500
Black
+500
Red
+700
Blue
+750
Green
+1000
Orange
+1000
Purple
+900
Pink
+1400

Who Will be Wearing Hood during Walkout? Odds
Silva Only
+200
Both Fighters
+175
Neither Fighter
+190
Paul Only
+375

Will The Fighters Touch Gloves? Odds
Yes
-800
No
+425

Will Either Fighter Get Knocked Unconscious? Odds
Yes
+350
No
-600

Will Either Fighter Lose Mouthpiece? Odds
Yes
+300
No
-500

Will Anderson Silva Bleed? Odds
Yes
+135
No
-175

Will Jake Paul bleed? Odds
Yes
+135
No
-175

Which Part of Jake Paul Will Bleed First? Odds
Lip/Mouth
+200
Eye/Socket/Brow
+275
Nose
+300
Ear
+550
Cheek
+700
Any Other Area on Head/Neck
+550
Anywhere Below Neck
+700

Higher Punch Percentage Odds
Paul
+110
Silva
-150

Will Either Corner Throw in The Towel? Odds
Yes
+800
No
-2500

Will Fight End in First 60 Seconds of Round 1? Odds
Yes
+700
No
-2000

Will There Be a Point Deduction? Odds
Yes
+350
No
-600

Thughts?

 

[Stat_Collector]

Watching tape and i dnt know if jake actually doesn't just gas himself and get tko. its either he gets the ko win early, which is less likely or silva pieces him up after rnd 4 and tko's him later.

 

[Captain Chesapeake]

Can’t bring myself to bet on this, I’m sure there are agreements in place

will be hoping Silva knocks him out

Silva should win, he’s actually a legit guy even if he’s old. Unlike woodley he won’t just stand there and look at him (unless they’ve agreed not to go hard)