Boxing Discussion VIII

£90 (+10 free bet) Fury rds 7-12 +277 to win £277.50
£200 Fury points +290 to win £580


I was debating what which way to bet bigger but I think Wilder was caught off guard last time so will be a little more cautious this time and Fury still isn't a big puncher.

I may add £80 to Fury rds 7-12
 
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Fury O7.5 rounds -120
Fury Dec +300

Likely on Ajagba +144 & Helenius +224 but will have a better think about it. I think 7.5 in the main even is a round or 2 low though. Out 18 months, Fury traditionally goes rounds + Wilder making adjustments. Think it goes 9+
 
burge13 said:
Fury O7.5 rounds -120
Fury Dec +300

Likely on Ajagba +144 & Helenius +224 but will have a better think about it. I think 7.5 in the main even is a round or 2 low though. Out 18 months, Fury traditionally goes rounds + Wilder making adjustments. Think it goes 9+
Click to expand...

I was debating wether to bet Helenius KO +300, his ML +210 or Kowmacki decision +400.

Kowmacki gets hit too much but his chin normally gets him through it. I wouldn't be surprised to see Helenuis land the counter again but he isn't busy enough to likely win a decision.
 
You guys watch the first Kownacki vs Helenius fight? Helenius knocked him down but ref ruled it a slip and gave Kownacki no time to recover, that's part of what led Kownacki to get finished like that.

I think Kownacki has had more than enough time to evaluate & improve on everything that went wrong, I like his chances at the current price.
 
benebox said:
I was debating wether to bet Helenius KO +300, his ML +210 or Kowmacki decision +400.

Kowmacki gets hit too much but his chin normally gets him through it. I wouldn't be surprised to see Helenuis land the counter again but he isn't busy enough to likely win a decision.
Click to expand...
I don't mind the decision hedge either

You agree the main event goes rounds? I really think 7.5 is too low
 
svmr_db said:
You guys watch the first Kownacki vs Helenius fight? Helenius knocked him down but ref ruled it a slip and gave Kownacki no time to recover, that's part of what led Kownacki to get finished like that.

I think Kownacki has had more than enough time to evaluate & improve on everything that went wrong, I like his chances at the current price.
Click to expand...
Kownacki chin giving in though? Can't be relying on it long and have to take in to account the big price. I agree with Benebox though, hedge on decision sounds a solid way to play the fight.

Anyone strong lean on Ajagba/Sanchez?
 
burge13 said:
I don't mind the decision hedge either

You agree the main event goes rounds? I really think 7.5 is too low
Click to expand...

I do. Unless Wilder lands something big early (which I dont think he will) its very unlikely to end early.
 
Live dogs….

Helenius by KO/TKO +333
Jamie Mitchell +240 ML. Also like Mitchell by Decision +650
Effie by KO/TKO +333
Fury Rounds 7-12 +333 (not a dog, but dog odds on the prop).

I’m excited for tomorrow.
 
svmr_db said:
You guys watch the first Kownacki vs Helenius fight? Helenius knocked him down but ref ruled it a slip and gave Kownacki no time to recover, that's part of what led Kownacki to get finished like that.

I think Kownacki has had more than enough time to evaluate & improve on everything that went wrong, I like his chances at the current price.
Click to expand...

I watched it. Helenius seemed to recoup well and was getting a second wind. I think he will take Kownacki into deep waters and drown him.
 
£50 Kownacki decision +400 to win £200

Cashed out a small profit my ML bet and added...
£37.50 Helenius KO +350 to win £131.25 (boost offer)
 
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