As mentioned, Williams was slowing down heavily and there is no doubt Smith was off his game, he knows it himself and admits that a lot of domestic guys could have bettered him that night. His weight is much more under control this time and I expect he will look to have a much better start this time. I do expect Williams to win the early rounds but Smith's pressure doesn't so much come from his output but his ability to walk you down and keep you working.
We've talked about the cuts etc which in all honesty I see both guys bleeding again this time. A lot of people talk about Williams clearly winning but lets remember he was only 1 round up on all three scorecards (I had it wider) but the likelihood is Smith could have gone one to win that decision if it hadn't been stopped.
I think Smith 7-12 or DEC on Skybet @ 3.00 is fantastic value to be honest, I can see the argument for Williams after the first fight and it's by no means a silly bet but Smith as dog is the right play in my opinion.