Boxing Discussion II

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Alright on Kovalev-Chilemba ov7.5 +150 for 1u tomorrow. Not really confident in this pick but Chilemba's a tough sob and never been stopped, competent boxer, good stamina, etc. Think he can make it deep into the fight before he gets ko'd or even last the distance but like I said not too confident since Kovalev is an animal.
 
This is on Boxnation from about 5pm UK time. I am really hoping this fight doesn't start before 7pm as that's about the earliest I can get home from work. Looks like a good lb fight in terms of if this guy can last the distance.
 
Jeez think i looked at the wrong records y'day lol. Think Kovalev knocks this guy out still would like to lb it.
 
Kovalev knockdown in the 7th but Chilemba recovered. Think you guys are good with the over - congrats.
 
Hope somebody tailed that over. Almost pulled the trigger on the Dec line but pussed out. Didn't see the fight but heard Kov didn't look the greatest, but then again Chilemba is a tricky boxer so that could've played a role. Anyway another day in the black, on to the next one.
 
Like Terry Flanagan to finish 42-year-old Mzonke Fana early on Saturday, R1-3, R1-4, R1-6 props all looking decent.
 
Great lb opportunities on Sat night but gutted i am going to be at Bellator and miss this. No doubt id make more money lb on boxing then i will on the circus that is Bellator...
 
Brut, why you like Fana to be stopped? I know hes 42 but seems a durable experienced vet im tempted to hit dec line.
 
Taking a chance on former kickboxer and rising junior welterweight prospect Sergey Lipinets to maintain his undefeated record and be the first to stop veteran opponent Walter Castillo of Nicaragua tonight on ESPN, probably with body shots, before the middle of the 8th round where all of his KOs except for one have come. "I'm very thankful to be fighting on a great network like ESPN," he said. "I'm hoping to score a spectacular knockout and have it be shown on SportsCenter's Top 10 Plays. That would be great. One thing the fans watching can count on is me throwing a lot of hard punches. I want to have an electrifying performance."

Sergey Lipinets/Walter Castillo Under 7½ (+158) $63.29 for $100.00
 
As im at bellator tomo no lb for me so hit some pre bets off boxrec capping...

Liam Williams dec +275 £100. Williams is 14-0 9 KO's. His opponent Gary Corcoran is 15-0 6 KO's. Went with Williams as he is the favourite.

Flannagan unan dec +450 £100. Flannagan 30-0 12 KO's. Fanu 38-9 2 KO losses. He lost to a prime Barrera in 2005 by stoppage and the only other man to stop him was in 2013. Hes 42 so big red flag but he clearly knows his way around a boxing ring. Flannagan went 12 rounds with Matthews in his last fight who has been stopped 7 times. Impressive stoppage win before that but Zepeda stoppage was due to a discolated shoulder, the Ormond fight was going to go 12 by the looks of it until Ormond was dq'd and Gethin fight was stopped due to a swollen ear. Theres also another three itd wins on his record due to broken hands/cuts. Doesnt seem like a big puncher and im hoping the vet Fanu even at 42 is crafty enough to see 12 rounds thru.

Skeete dec +275 £100. Skeete 23-1 10 KO's. Last two fights went to a dec and fight before them two was stopped due to a discolated hip. Lepelley 19-6 1 KO loss. Lepelley stopped for first time last year by Rocco who we just saw Burns dismantle so bit of a concern. But he seems a crafty vet just took M'Baye to a split (i know M'Baye is past it) and took Burns the distance over 8 rounds less than two years ago. Hoping he can survive 10 here.

If one hits i break even if two or more do happy days.
 
On the under 5.5 for Wilder/Nipples at -142 tomorrow. Arreola is gonna get smacked here, he's past it, his chin seems to be going, and he has no defense. I don't think he'll last long against probably the hardest right hand in boxing. If he wins it'll most likely be early too so the under covers both. In for 2u on that. No more plays for me yet but still looking.
 
I added a small play on Lipinets inside the distance in case he gets a late stoppage tonight and tailed BT on the under for WIlder/Arreola:


Sergey Lipinets/Walter Castillo Under 7½ (+158) $63.29 for $100.00
Sergey Lipinets wins inside distance (-110) $44.00 for $40.00

Deontay Wilder/Chris Arreola Under 5½ (-142) $142.00 for $100.00
 
I added a small play on Lipinets inside the distance in case he gets a late stoppage tonight and tailed BT on the under for WIlder/Arreola:


Sergey Lipinets/Walter Castillo Under 7½ (+158) $63.29 for $100.00
Sergey Lipinets wins inside distance (-110) $44.00 for $40.00

Deontay Wilder/Chris Arreola Under 5½ (-142) $142.00 for $100.00

tailing on Lipinets/Castillo fight ends itd -105 @ unibet

Lipinets looks like he has some serious power and Castillo looks very hittable and moves slow but also has some decent power
 
As im at bellator tomo no lb for me so hit some pre bets off boxrec capping...

Liam Williams dec +275 £100. Williams is 14-0 9 KO's. His opponent Gary Corcoran is 15-0 6 KO's. Went with Williams as he is the favourite.

Flannagan unan dec +450 £100. Flannagan 30-0 12 KO's. Fanu 38-9 2 KO losses. He lost to a prime Barrera in 2005 by stoppage and the only other man to stop him was in 2013. Hes 42 so big red flag but he clearly knows his way around a boxing ring. Flannagan went 12 rounds with Matthews in his last fight who has been stopped 7 times. Impressive stoppage win before that but Zepeda stoppage was due to a discolated shoulder, the Ormond fight was going to go 12 by the looks of it until Ormond was dq'd and Gethin fight was stopped due to a swollen ear. Theres also another three itd wins on his record due to broken hands/cuts. Doesnt seem like a big puncher and im hoping the vet Fanu even at 42 is crafty enough to see 12 rounds thru.

Skeete dec +275 £100. Skeete 23-1 10 KO's. Last two fights went to a dec and fight before them two was stopped due to a discolated hip. Lepelley 19-6 1 KO loss. Lepelley stopped for first time last year by Rocco who we just saw Burns dismantle so bit of a concern. But he seems a crafty vet just took M'Baye to a split (i know M'Baye is past it) and took Burns the distance over 8 rounds less than two years ago. Hoping he can survive 10 here.

If one hits i break even if two or more do happy days.

tailed all of them. boxrec ftw :)

Flannagan dec +440 @ dansih bookie hedged with Fanu +7400 :eek: @ betfair exchange
Skeete dec +300 @ betfair
Williams dec +280 @ betfair
 
Taking flyers on a few dogs tonight.

.5U on Felix Diaz +360 against Sammy Vazquez
.5U on Wale Omotoso +265 against Jamal James
.5U on Enrique Quevedo +275 against Vic Darchinyan

Tailed you on the under last night Jim, thanks buddy!
 
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