Exactly. This is so overlooked.
For example, maybe there was a super intelligent civilization that existed for 2 million years. But that window was 30-32 million years ago so we never knew about it.
Yes, I was going to make this point also. It has the effect of greatly increasing the distance we likely need to cover to contact another extant intelligent species. They'll be few and far between. On the other hand, it's also possible that any such life could be ahead of us by millions or 100's of millions of years. It would possibly make us pretty insignificant to them although I contend we'd at least be interesting enough to be experimented upon (shiver).
We are being pulled toward The Great Attractor at a high velocity, or the Shapley Supercluster.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Attractor
Yes, there is a lot to clear up regarding the OP.
There are a lot of ways to detect the presence of a black hole without being able to detect it directly so I doubt that would be an obstacle to long distance space travel.
The main issue of the sheer amount of time, even at some kind of speed of light warp fantasy thing, has been mentioned and it's bang on. They're all likely to be really far away. The have to detect us and then start the trip. We've only been sending signals of various kinds out into the cosmos for about 75 years, give or take, so we're not likely to be noticed by any civilization more than 75 light years away from us.
I agree, this is an often overlooked observation and sounds very, very likely. I'm sure there will come a time (and I think pretty damn soon) when human civilizations and human beings are no more.
I disagree. As long as there's some eventual movement towards spreading out beyond Earth, I think we can vastly increase our long term chances for survival.
We have nothing to fear from the black hole at the center of the galaxy. The Sun is in orbit around it the same way we are in orbit around the Sun. A bigger issue is the Sun itself which will slowly get hotter until the surface of the Earth is no longer habitable, but we've got a billion or 2 years before that's an issue IIRC. [edit] There are lots of other things that are orders of magnitude more likely to end humanity, e.g. massive rocks, gamma ray bursts, that type of thing.
Finally, now that we have found the Higgs boson, it is only a matter of time imo before the whole mechanism of mass and therefore gravity is fully understood. This could lead to inertia-less travel and solve the distance problem a la Star Trek.
Of course, that is maybe several lifetimes away so I won't see any of it, but like I said, if we spread out instead of having all our eggs in one planetary basket, we'll have time to work it out.
Now, if we can do that, so can the other aforementioned civilizations. But they still have to notice us. We will need to get out of our local neighbourhood much more quickly than the speed of light can take us so we'll have to do it before we're likely to run into any other civilization.
Sorry for the long post.