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I agree with your takes on AA and Mir for the most part but I do think Mir had better bjj than Gonzaga.He never lost to Rizzo. Their first fight was close but Randy on points all the way. Not to mention, if you want to go the "arguably" route, then Randy arguably should've gotten the win with a first-round TKO from that vicious GNP assault he opened with. And then you also have to factor in Randy being an undersized HW. It makes what he was able to do and who he was able to beat that much more impressive. Off the top of my head, I'm not sure he ever weighed over 230 in HW competition, regularly competing between 220-230 and giving away 15+ pounds to his opponents.
Arlovski would've been a stylistic nightmare for Randy, basically a bigger and stronger Chuck. Arlovski had lots of height on Randy, 20 pounds of lean muscle, incredible quickness, and humungous power, plus in his prime he developed excellent TDD. Randy might get to a couple of clinches and push him to the fence, but I don't see him getting Arlovski down, and on the feet, it'd only be a matter of time before Arlovski found his chin with a bomb.
As for Mir, I think that Randy could've taken him. He was quicker, more athletic, and in better shape. I think he could've outworked Mir on the feet and in the clinch. If they went to the ground, Randy'd need to be extremely careful, because Mir can snatch a submission on literally anyone, but I could've seen Randy Gonzagaing Mir, just getting in his face, tiring him out, and then putting him away after a few rounds.
No way Fedor stops his TDs - he seriously made Randy look like he'd never wrestled before, which nobody else in the history of MMA, not even Kevin Randleman or Mike Van Arsdale, can boast - and Ricco's grappling was beyond Fedor getting an easy armbar off his back. Especially under UFC rules with Ricco being able to use elbows, Fedor would've had his work cut out for him, whereas under PRIDE rules he would've stood a better chance surviving off of his back and getting stand-ups and more opportunities to knock Ricco out on the feet. Because Fedor's Fedor, I'd pick him finding a way to knock Ricco out on his feet, but that's the only way I see him winning, and imagining Ricco repeatedly and aggressively taking Fedor down and beating him up from on top is not all that difficult. That's how good Ricco was, particularly against Randy at UFC 39.
Under PRIDE rules, the decision makes sense, as Ricco wasn't actually doing anything on top. This is why I specified UFC rules: Ricco trained with Tito and he fought like Tito, with elbows being essential to his GNP arsenal. Ricco fighting in PRIDE without being able to elbow to the head on the ground is like when Fedor fought in RINGS and couldn't punch to the head on the ground: You've got these guys essentially fighting with an arm tied behind their back.
As far as Randy v Rizzo. They were both similar in size. Rizzo was not a big HW and agree to disagree on their 1st bout.
For sure cage and ufc rules wpuld favor ricco vs fedor. The cage is a huge weapon for wrestlers who are used to the cage. Fedor had great balance and could explode or jump out of take down attempts but that's not possible in a cage. Also gnp elbows would add up tko cut stoppage losses for fedor and his soft skin.
In a ring I think Fedor beats prime Ricco but it would be fun and interesting