Bellator 207 & 208

Invictis said:
I agree, but I just don't see value there.

Chael literally has 1 path to victory, lay on top of Fedor and win a 3 round decision(it's MMA though, obviously Chael could KO him standing but the chance of that happening is slim to none).

Fedor has so many different ways to beat Chael. If Chael was +300 or so, I'd maybe entertain those odds. But at +2xx, it just isn't worth a play.
Click to expand...

i hit chael at +252 which has an implied probability of 28%, personally i think it's more like 40% so i don't mind the stab.
 
For some reason I feel the draw bet on Chael-Fedor is worth a tiny flier.
Round 1: Fedor 10-9, out works the takedown attempts
Round 2: Fedor 10-9, out works the takedowns but gasses
Round 3: Sonnen 10-8 a connecting punch early then on top the whole time
Meh, maybe.
 
Chael's striking looked surprisingly decent last time out. And honestly, I don't trust Fedor's chin at this point in his career. I disagree that Chael's only chance to win is laying on top of Fedor.

Do I expect Chael to outstrike Fedor? No. But the possibility is there now far more than it would have been a few years ago.
 
Anyone on Saad Awad tonight? Seems like a realistic scenario where Benson gets clipped. How is Saad's TDD and dealing with pressure the likes of Benson smothering him
 
MrShady said:
Anyone on Saad Awad tonight? Seems like a realistic scenario where Benson gets clipped. How is Saad's TDD and dealing with pressure the likes of Benson smothering him
Click to expand...

I like Awad. It will be a close fight with a close decision IMO
 
I feel I messed up bigtime by betting on Johnson. Kongo on a god damn 6 win streak and looked damn fine in weight ins. Probably can clinchfuck for whole 3 rounds.
 
LEMONZEST said:
I like Awad. It will be a close fight with a close decision IMO
Click to expand...
Will Brooks dominated him in the second fight. Think benson is just as powerful and has a better ground game. Will Brooks is the better wrestler though.
 
1u Awad +345
1.5u Johnson -125
.5u Johnson itd +320
1.5u Fedor itd -149
1u Tokov -150

Killed it last night looking to keep it going... BL boys.
 
Ugh all of you that keep betting Johnson at these odds are pissing me off. Had to add to Kongo dec +220 and Kongo NSC +140. Gonna be an ugly grindfest, I'll take the + odds but dammit not adding any more no matter how much you mopes keep betting Johnson LOL.
 
mkess101 said:
Ugh all of you that keep betting Johnson at these odds are pissing me off. Had to add to Kongo dec +220 and Kongo NSC +140. Gonna be an ugly grindfest, I'll take the + odds but dammit not adding any more no matter how much you mopes keep betting Johnson LOL.
Click to expand...

I'm with you man. Kongo is old as hell, but the guy continues to perform while Johnson is a non-finisher who ends up in a close decision almost every fight. I feel like this has split decision written all over it with maybe Kongo a hair more likely to finish.

No idea who is in a rush to lay juice on Johnson.
 
I got Timmy at -125, no way I'd touch him at current price, tho..
 
Bellator 208 Risk $325.00

Chael Sonnen (+210) vs Fedor Emelianenko $100.00 for $210.00
Cheick Kongo (-125) vs Timothy Johnson $125.00 for $100.00
Alexander Shlemenko (+120) vs Anatoly Tokov $100.00 for $120.00
 
I have a feeling Kongo/Johnson is gonna have some unexpected crazy moments and somebody's gonna end up unconscious. Added fight ends itd for 1u. They're still both hw's and neither have granite chins exactly. I have a feeling like the black eyed peas for this getting nutty. Wouldn't be surprised if strippers and jelly shots made their way into this one. Fotn!
 
I’ll take that +200 on chael all day. Fedor could easily get koed or just wrestle fucked for 3 rounds.
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
I have a feeling Kongo/Johnson is gonna have some unexpected crazy moments and somebody's gonna end up unconscious. Added fight ends itd for 1u. They're still both hw's and neither have granite chins exactly. I have a feeling like the black eyed peas for this getting nutty. Wouldn't be surprised if strippers and jelly shots made their way into this one. Fotn!
Click to expand...

Ha ha man...this post is the type of thing that make BT a legend around here. Love it.
 
Is big dick johnson a widely recognized nickname for Tim Johnson? I remember talking to EZ and a few other guys when Johnson fought Golm, TJ won round 1 and was +240 live, we were all going crazy cheering for Big dick in the latter 2 rounds. might have been my biggest live win to date.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,283,158
Messages
58,485,129
Members
176,049
Latest member
YouKnowJman

Share this page

Back
Top