There are two spectrums to factor in the race lucky. Ideaology and Establishment (WR) v. Outsiders (OT/SB/MB). I am not surprised at all how this is shaping up if you saw my 298 BSDATA model in last thread:
TwoNinetyEight Analysis Coverage of PotWR Election
As you can see,
@irish_thug positioned himself away from the far right candidates AND he also has cross appeal between both longtimer WR posters and more casual ones. No other candidate is positioned close to where he is which is why he was in a group by himself and one of the 10 candidates I thought who had a chance to advance. Now you can complain a left leaning candidate isn't doing well but you're point that ideological extremes cater to this are off when you consider Irish is doing well. If you were correct, guys like Space/Colby25 would've beat out irish a bit or Homer/Rational would be receiving way more votes combined.
Oh look, Fawlty decided to come in after two weeks of doing nothing to help a campaign and start complaining about the ones that are doing successful and the election itself. I will note your well thought out criticisms. Here's some useful information for a change. Only 20% of the vote is in. You could actually try to help a campaign/coalition get to the next round. There is definitely enough time for things to turn around for almost any candidate here.
I find this bizarre as well even though I did assume pcp could advance to the main. The race isn't over so it's to early to assume this but from what I've seen, pcp is running the best campaign just by looking at the threads alone. He's got two other posters constantly doing vote pcp posts. He immediately tagged the voters he knew he had locked so they'd vote early to give him a decent lead which is important for primaries. And who knows how deep his PM game is going right now. Its hard to complain why he is winning. He is simply just campaigning better than everyone else.
Split votes is always going to be a con of this system. I don't want certain aspects added that would incentivize people to vote strictly party line. If we do that, we may as well tally the amount of left and right posters and call it each year for who won. The focus of this round is a candidate oriented primary, not an ideological/party one. You almost only need about 10% of the total vote to advance in this round which means if a left, right, outsider poster truly wanted to advance and put a lot of time in to do so, they could. The disadvantage they would have if they truly were just a fringe candidate with only appeal to that 10% is they would lose in the general election. If they win the general election, that would prove us wrong.
@luckyshot @Fawlty @Jack V Savage, this is what you should be doing if you truly want a left candidate to win. 80% of the vote is remaining so to call it over is very pessimistic.
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