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^^^Woooo didn't even know Sephiroth had all those credentials. Confidence increase
UFN 102 - Lewis vs Abdurakhimov - Albany
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I like that someone also hasnt totally given up on Brown
Yea he looked like shit in his last performance but I truly think he had an off day and will bounce back against someone as young and raw in the sport like Camozzi. I played with decision line at +200, do you like that? My reasoning is down below-Brown hasn't shown much killer instinct in his ufc fights and is fighting someone who clearly has a tricky submission game to avoid being submitted and has shown a decent chin in the few fights I've watched. Also if he's anything like his brother (IK IK HORRIBLE LOGIC BY ME) hes going to be tough as nails and so far nobody has been able to put him away.
Brown was clearly disappointed after his last loss and I think he looks to outpoint Camozzi at range here and play if safe to get the win. Brown has shown flashes on great potential and slickness which will be enough for Camozzi. I cant play him at -175 given his nerves in his last fight but think this is a good enough to still get action on this fight and capitalize on him possibly being gun shy even if he does manage to hurt Camozzi but use his superior athleticism and footwork to frustrate him en route to a hard fought but clear decision victory.
EDIT- I accidentally said referred to Camozzi when talking about Brown. *Fixed
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I like that someone also hasnt totally given up on Brown
Camozzi hasn't shown much killer instinct in his ufc fights and is fighting someone who clearly has a tricky submission game to avoid being submitted and has shown a decent chin in the few fights I've watched. Also if he's anything like his brother (IK IK HORRIBLE LOGIC BY ME) hes going to be tough as nails and so far nobody has been able to put him away.
Brown was clearly disappointed after his last loss and I think he looks to outpoint Camozzi at range here and play if safe to get the win. Brown has shown flashes on great potential and slickness which will be enough for Camozzi. I cant play him at -175 given his nerves in his last fight but think this is a good enough to still get action on this fight and capitalize on him possibly being gun shy even if he does manage to hurt Camozzi but use his superior athleticism and footwork to frustrate him en route to a hard fought but clear decision victory.
I'm confused by the first sentence of the second paragraph. Camozzi doesn't have any UFC fights and he's finished all 7 of his wins. I agree with most of the rest though. I was really hoping Brown would be a bigger fav here. I wanted to play Camozzi but I think the line is just about right.
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I like that someone also hasnt totally given up on Brown
Camozzi hasn't shown much killer instinct in his ufc fights and is fighting someone who clearly has a tricky submission game to avoid being submitted and has shown a decent chin in the few fights I've watched. Also if he's anything like his brother (IK IK HORRIBLE LOGIC BY ME) hes going to be tough as nails and so far nobody has been able to put him away.
Brown was clearly disappointed after his last loss and I think he looks to outpoint Camozzi at range here and play if safe to get the win. Brown has shown flashes on great potential and slickness which will be enough for Camozzi. I cant play him at -175 given his nerves in his last fight but think this is a good enough to still get action on this fight and capitalize on him possibly being gun shy even if he does manage to hurt Camozzi but use his superior athleticism and footwork to frustrate him en route to a hard fought but clear decision victory.
Yikes. Wrong Camozzi dude.
Absolutely not. Andrew Sanchez has beaten some decent opposition that includes dangerous strikers like Clinton Williams, Khali Rountree, and Myron Dennis as well as great grapplers like John Poppie, Phil Hawes (someone with much better wrestling that couldn't get Sanchez down), and Eric Spicely. Ive been waiting to fade Trevor Smith for awhile now (actually on him against Joe since he had large size advantage) and this is the perfect time to do it. Andrew Sanchez trains out of K-Dojo which routinely gets top talent circulating through and is a great grappler himself being a 4-time all American wrestler as well as having great success and winning multiple BJJ tournaments.
I think the wrestling is a wash in this fight and becomes a stand-up affair where Sanchez in MUCH more active. Trevor looks so bad on his feet to the point where it makes me uncomfortable even watching him try to put together any semblance of strikes together. He is plodding, slow and has an awful stance. He spams the overhand right left hook combination over and over with the occasional leg kick. He also looks like he gasses early on but can grapple for days,
Overall Sanchez has been steadily been improving his striking and mixes together alot of spinning attacks into his repertoire. He's a better athlete and looks fairly fluid with his footwork and moves around quite a bit which will make it extremely hard for Smith to land. Sanchez can get a tad sloppy with his defense but I dont think Smith can take advantage of that. Outside of a looping lucky overhand right I dont see a clear path to victory for Smith, making Sanchez at -130, and later at -200 one of my biggest bets in the next two days for 10 units.
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Was looking at Perez sub. His jits is legit, snatched some nasty subs on regionals. Even as early as his second fight that gulliotine he grabbed was really nice . Some grappling vid on YouTube too where he looks pretty good
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Okay, Ngannou KO -220. Yeah umm, he's gonna blast Hamilton. I'd already bet him itd and that's come WAY down too. So...there was some Hamilton $ out there...I guess?
Ngannou KO+Cerrone at -104. 1.5u.
Yeah, so I'm already over-invested in Cerrone. Who the F needs BR management anyway, right?
Ngannou KO+Cerrone at -104. 1.5u.
Yeah, so I'm already over-invested in Cerrone. Who the F needs BR management anyway, right?
sorry I messed up a couple words. Fixed now
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Phil hawes fight is a big reason this has been tough for me to pick tbh. You could be right about Sanchez having that experience vs more athletic and accomplished wrestler, but Hawes is so raw and didn't have anything else. Smith knows how to do what he's good at pretty well at this point.
So torn here.
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I think I saw a video of Diakase on YouTube where he was doing sacrifice throws and landed on his ass. That's some U.K. level wrestling right there.
He's got a far higher ceiling than Perez tho.
I'm looking to blindly throw my pocket change at most of the dogs tomorrow let's see if this works.
Hawes has as much as trevor smith....I mean i dont know if I even trust Smith to beat Hawes at this point but I think that's besides the point. Trevor Smith is good at grappling..thats it. He couldn't even finish a super undersized Gigliotti who was making his debut and was in FULL BACK MOUNT. I guarantee you he wont take down Sanchez and if by some miracle he does Sanchez has MUCH more grappling experience than Gigliotti and will stand right back up. While I think Sanchez could hold his own on the floor, it would be silly to give Smith the fight he wants.
Sanchez isnt even raw! I can see Smith being a veteran and maybe outsmarting some young guns but Sanchez is 28 years old, a TUF winner, former RFA champ, and has already fought in the UFC.
This fight will take place on the feet where Sanchez has a clear advantage which is why i think he should be much more than a 2-1 favorite. Convince me otherwise
Yea if I had any balls i'd play Perez. I usually don't play dogs tho unless they really stand out to me. Not my betting style. I dont count my small bets on certain dogs just for action lol. I know its pocket change but which dogs are you playing?
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I'm on the dogs in the first 3 fights...
Aldrich... She has good movement-based TDD, and Lima has no movement. Her only problem against Suarez was that she didn't angle off on her sprawls, which I think she's pretty likely to have corrected by now. She's super dedicated and she should have the edge on the feet. Brazilian style muay thai strikers usually suck against south paws. I'm also playing the over.
Berish... so much unknown. I just don't see why a guy who is a submission wrestling specialist should be this much of a dog against a BJJ guy with poor striking. He's the hometown boy and I expect a decision (also playing the over).
Perez... He's a good fighter. I forgive him for the Case fight. I actually have a lot of respect for Case. It should be close everywhere, might as well take the dog.
I would be surprised if at least one of these doesn't come through.
Aldrich... She has good movement-based TDD, and Lima has no movement. Her only problem against Suarez was that she didn't angle off on her sprawls, which I think she's pretty likely to have corrected by now. She's super dedicated and she should have the edge on the feet. Brazilian style muay thai strikers usually suck against south paws. I'm also playing the over.
Berish... so much unknown. I just don't see why a guy who is a submission wrestling specialist should be this much of a dog against a BJJ guy with poor striking. He's the hometown boy and I expect a decision (also playing the over).
Perez... He's a good fighter. I forgive him for the Case fight. I actually have a lot of respect for Case. It should be close everywhere, might as well take the dog.
I would be surprised if at least one of these doesn't come through.
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Just some retarded stuff that I have no reasoning for.
Berish/Janes dec, Shamil dec, Perez, Real OC 3rd round finish, Trator, trev smith and and a bunch of other random sh*t.
Dude I have no basis on any of these I'm just closing my eyes. I wish to never hear any of these bum names again in 2017z
I also have one hundo on Aldrich by decision. Juliana is a big strong lay n prayer but Aldrich is more active on the feet and has a better tank. Not really expecting for it to cash though.
I haven't pulled the trigger on Berish or Perez yet. Its just hard to lay down money on bottom of the barrel guys who may not even be UFC level fighting other non ufc level guys. Berish is coming off a real nasty knee injury so ill probably pass on him and Perez clearly isn't in love with fighting if he retired recently. However I do agree the odds should be closer than what they are and should warrant a bet but since there are a bunch of other fights ill pass and save if for something without as many question marks.
Hahah I plan to not hear of them either!
But I hope your pocket change gets lost in the Smith and Trator fights
Berish/Janes dec, Shamil dec, Perez all seem like decent fliers. I just hope to end up in the green on this card and go into Saturday with chip on my shoulder and a stress free attitude.
I agree, these are all dog or pass and with pretty good lines, they're all worth a stab.
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Hawes has as much as trevor smith....I mean i dont know if I even trust Smith to beat Hawes at this point but I think that's besides the point. Trevor Smith is good at grappling..thats it. He couldn't even finish a super undersized Gigliotti who was making his debut and was in FULL BACK MOUNT. I guarantee you he wont take down Sanchez and if by some miracle he does Sanchez has MUCH more grappling experience than Gigliotti and will stand right back up. While I think Sanchez could hold his own on the floor, it would be silly to give Smith the fight he wants.
Sanchez isnt even raw! I can see Smith being a veteran and maybe outsmarting some young guns but Sanchez is 28 years old, a TUF winner, former RFA champ, and has already fought in the UFC.
This fight will take place on the feet where Sanchez has a clear advantage which is why i think he should be much more than a 2-1 favorite. Convince me otherwise
Smith is a guy on my complete fade list i think he's terrible. Sanchez by KO worth a play? He seems to have power and Smith is chinny as hell.
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liking Aldrich +235 "reduced odds" or Aldrich DEC +350
we have seen a ton of wmma dogs hit this last year and i think we might see another here.. Aldrich is 10 years younger and have better hands + cardio she could get outwrestled like against Tatiana but i think Tatiana is on another level compared to Lima Aldrich actually showed good timing on her sprawls and solid getups but Tatiana was just too stong in the end
if she can stuff some of Lima's early td attempts i think Aldrich have a very good chance here
fight goes to decision looks like solid parlay fooder too Lima is durable and only have 2 finishes in her career against 0-1 fighters hwo never fought again
we have seen a ton of wmma dogs hit this last year and i think we might see another here.. Aldrich is 10 years younger and have better hands + cardio she could get outwrestled like against Tatiana but i think Tatiana is on another level compared to Lima Aldrich actually showed good timing on her sprawls and solid getups but Tatiana was just too stong in the end
if she can stuff some of Lima's early td attempts i think Aldrich have a very good chance here
fight goes to decision looks like solid parlay fooder too Lima is durable and only have 2 finishes in her career against 0-1 fighters hwo never fought again
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