UFC Charlotte: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida, May 13

[DabanggData]

UFC Charlotte

UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
is the new main event....

Under 1.5 rounds opened -175 for the main event, 63.6%




The co-main event is Anthony Smith vs Johnny Walker

https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCCharlotte?src=hashtag_click&f=live

UFC Charlotte

• Saturday 05.13.2023 at 11:30 AM ET
• U.S. Broadcast: ABC | Prelims: ESPN

Venue: Spectrum Center
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina, United States

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/98223-ufc-fight-night
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/71990

The UFC made it official Jairzinho vs Jailton as the main event of the card on May 13th, in Charlotte

The original main event was Smith vs Walker, that is now the co-main event

 

[Captain Chesapeake]

Lionheart vs no heart. Interesting matchup

 

[Tebowned]

Lionheart vs no heart. Interesting matchup

How can you say NO heart? lol. Maybe no chin but dude got koed 3+ times in a fight and was still fighting.
Save that pettiness for the heavyweights haha.

 

[Captain Chesapeake]

How can you say NO heart? lol. Maybe no chin but dude got koed 3+ times in a fight and was still fighting.
Save that pettiness for the heavyweights haha.

you get the gist

 

[DabanggData]

UFC May 13:

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-fight-night-smith-vs-walker-2850
https://fightodds.io/odds/4615/ufc-on-abc-4-rozenstruik-vs-almeida

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/98223-ufc-fight-night
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/71990

Brian Battle +110 opened -125, trains in Charlotte, fight is in Charlotte

4 inch reach advantage, 3 inches taller

Battle is the late replacement on 45 days notice, got the fight on March 29, replacing Jake Matthews

Current odds:

Jailton Almeida -600 -550 -560 -590 -552 -549 -550
Jairzinho Rozenstruik +425 +400 +410 +390 +400 +350 +400

Angela Hill +150 +155 +143 +144 +150 +140 +155
Mackenzie Dern -185 -180 -180 -186 -175 -188 -180

Anthony Smith -105 -105 -107 -106 -110 -110 -106
Johnny Walker -115 -115 -117 -120 -110 -120 -114

Daniel Rodriguez +200 +200 +188 +200 +200 +200 +205
Ian Machado Garry -250 -240 -240 -265 -250 -275 -240

Alex Morono -250 -230 -240 -250 -250 -275 -200
Tim Means +190 +190 +188 +190 +200 +200 +170

Bryan Battle +102 -105 +110
Gabe Green -127 -125 -130

Court McGee -175 -180 -186 -186 -175 -188 -185
Matt Brown +145 +155 +150 +144 +150 +140 +160

Chase Sherman +310 +320 +310 +300 +300 +275 +316
Karl Williams -400 -420 -420 -430 -400 -400 -416

Cody Stamann -120 -125 -132 -140 -138 -125 -122
Douglas Silva de Andrade +100 +105 +107 +110 +110 -105 +102

Carlos Ulberg -300 -300 -295 -310 -275 -275 -325
Ihor Potieria +240 +245 +225 +230 +225 +200 +275

Ji Yeon Kim -275 -250 -250 -265 -250 -275 -251
Mandy Bohm +210 +205 +200 +200 +200 +200 +211

Jessica-Rose Clark -145 -150 -155 -166 -175 -150 -142
Tainara Lisboa +120 +125 +123 +130 +150 +115 +122

Natan Levy -300 -280 -295 -295 -275 -285
Pete Rodriguez +240 +230 +225 +220 +225 +245

 

[jnes]

Drod at +200 seems wide? Pretty big step up for Garry, who also got hurt last fight.

 

[Marko Atanasovik]

jessica rose clark to win
bryan battle to win

 

[Stat_Collector]

Ulberg ko
Jailton sub
Williams ITD

worst fear is Williams going to a decision since he has low ko ratio.

everyone else is inconsistent, too closely matched, old , chinny.

 

[ctelooming]

I like Smith, don't understand why this is a pick em. Does Smith lose to fighters like Walker? His 11-6 record in the UFC points towards no. Walker has the obvious size advantage and has power, but that's about it. He's the definition of a glass cannon and is a very unrefined fighter. I think Smith finds that chin early and often

 

[Jinx_AA]

Williams is as close to a lock as is possible in fist fighting

I expect Williams will close close to -600 ….. I quickly hammered him in soem parlays before his line skyrockets

pretty confident green will fuck up Bryan battle … battles pretty bad

Angela hill by decision will be an interesting prop to watch out for …. She’s already plus 200 … she ain’t gunna tko dern or sub dern …. If she gets to plus 400 by decision I’d take a stab

I like stamann but that’s a close fight !

at first glance I liked Levy a lot …. But rosrigues has a 100% tdd thus far and rosrigues 100% of his wins comjng via first round knockout …. So it’ll be scary for levy at the beginning …

Almeida Vs Roz fight doesn’t go distnace is conservative as hell …. Or Almeida to finish for better value

Brown Vs McGee = pass - who the hell knows

lisboa can crack and Clark loses a lot - it’s dog or pass for me …

pretty ok fight night card to be honest …. Not the best card for betting though - all the dogs seem live here

 

[UFCIsNOTRigged]

at first glance I liked Levy a lot …. But rosrigues has a 100% tdd thus far and rosrigues 100% of his wins comjng via first round knockout …. So it’ll be scary for levy at the beginning /QUOTE]

He defended one takedown and that was against Mike Jackson, a photojournalist, not a fighter.

His "100% TD Defense" effectively means nothing.

 

[Jinx_AA]

He defended one takedown and that was against Mike Jackson, a photojournalist, not a fighter.

His "100% TD Defense" effectively means nothing.

Oh I agree - most ufc stats are straight gibberish

but 5-1 with 5 first round knockouts …. And being the bigger guy Moving down in weight …. Against Levy who has pretty bad standup …. Makes it interesting

 

['Suga Daddy']

Oh I agree - most ufc stats are straight gibberish

but 5-1 with 5 first round knockouts …. And being the bigger guy Moving down in weight …. Against Levy who has pretty bad standup …. Makes it interesting

How does Levy have bad standup? I’ve heard this take a lot and feel like I must be missing something

 

[Georges Hefner]

Oh I agree - most ufc stats are straight gibberish

but 5-1 with 5 first round knockouts …. And being the bigger guy Moving down in weight …. Against Levy who has pretty bad standup …. Makes it interesting

Which dogs do you think are live? Because I was thinking about doing a parlay with Garry/Morono/Ulberg (+152). Ian Garry is legit right? The next McGregor or something? Surely UFC matchmakers think he’s gonna win

 

[Jinx_AA]

How does Levy have bad standup? I’ve heard this take a lot and feel like I must be missing something

He gets hit a lot - his defense leaves lots to be desired

10 fights and zero knockouts or stoppages due to strikes …. He relies on grappling to win

i don’t think he’s going to want to stand very long with a bigger guy with a 100% knockout win ratio

 

[Jinx_AA]

Which dogs do you think are live? Because I was thinking about doing a parlay with Garry/Morono/Ulberg (+152). Ian Garry is legit right? The next McGregor or something? Surely UFC matchmakers think he’s gonna win

garry is a Connor wannabe - not the next Conor lol …. He is good though - he’s huge for the division and has nice straight punches and good kicks - he’s good for sure

d-rod is live in the first 2 rounds then he fades … Garry should be able to kick and move for a round or 2 then really take over second half

your parlay looks pretty safe to me

I smash ppvs …. These fight nights featuring lower level fighters leaves more intangibles and inexperience which leads to more upsets than normal …. So I try and bet more conservative on these lower level cards

 

[Jasper_RB81]

D-Rod getting disrespected here. +200 seems wide. Garry is good, but he is not that good. He probably wins though, but certainly not betting him at these odds.

I put 1 unit on Walker at -110. I feel that they are on completely different career trajectories. Walker is on the up again after a rough stretch. I think he is motivated to continue this momentum and perhaps make somewhat of a run.
Smith on the other hand has that nice desk job lined up and is probably focusing on that now. Also he looked pretty bad against Ankalaev last time if I remember correctly. I know it was an injury as well, but even before that he looked bad.
The fight against Spann was such a wild one that i feel that it could have gone either way almost.

Lastly, Walker has been a bit chinny in the past, but Smith is not a knockout artist so I think the chin should hold up pretty well.

At pickems odds i think Walker has a lot of value.

 

[Stat_Collector]

garry is a Connor wannabe - not the next Conor lol …. He is good though - he’s huge for the division and has nice straight punches and good kicks - he’s good for sure

d-rod is live in the first 2 rounds then he fades … Garry should be able to kick and move for a round or 2 then really take over second half

your parlay looks pretty safe to me

I smash ppvs …. These fight nights featuring lower level fighters leaves more intangibles and inexperience which leads to more upsets than normal …. So I try and bet more conservative on these lower level cards

Agreed, If you compare both performances with Gabe Green , Ian did far better than Rodriguez. Ian beats Nicolas Dalby convincingly as well.

I like DRod but he's another Dustin Jacoby:

A guy that looks like a killer some nights, and then has average performances, follow by winning just barely on a split decision score cards. Ian can get caught sure, but he should win this as a younger prospect should.

 

[UFCIsNOTRigged]

i don’t think he’s going to want to stand very long with a bigger guy with a 100% knockout win ratio

I don't know how much bigger Rodriguez is, if at all, than Levy.

Levy is jacked at 155 and looks sub 8% body fat. Rodriguez in contrast looks 20-25% body fat as a 170er. Rodriguez isn't fat but he looks like a blown up LW. I think they should be pretty similar strength wise.

 

[Funny9527]

Where can I find TAINARA LISBOA's previous combat videos?