Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - May, 2017

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by iGnP, Apr 30, 2017.

  1. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    MLB MONDAY

    Marlins (-130) risk: 1.3u



    Will have NBA plays tomorrow
     
  2. barrygood1

    barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    It's Monday and it's not a fun day. Grinding NHL and NBA while doing everything in my power to prevent my heart from turning black. Ex-gf woes and that's all I'm disclosing so don't poke or provoke me (not in the mood gentlemen!)

    Not a props kinda guy unless I see value. I am always doing my due diligence, while craftily analyzing lines in the laboratory studying my butt off. As they say "hard work pays off" and my monthly wire deposits is a testament to this cause I'm Mr.Money in the bank. Man, I feel like Kanye's song "through the wire" is a perfect representation of my early life as a gambler -- who fell down, got up, only to persevere his way to success. No matter what, external forces cannot keep the kidd down. Not that "Jason with a knife" and not "the coach of the Milwaukee Bucks" whose team is now down and out! I don't know whether or not you should call me a great white shark for relentlessly hammering the bookies. Forget it. Oh crikey, just call me a hammerhead shark it's way more apropos my dudes.

    Kevin Love Under 17.5 Points +105 5 Units - V.A.L.U.E enough said. end of discussion. GG

    A freebie to start off the week in the green
    Lets get it. There's too much money to be made and it's ripe and there for pickin'

    - Barry
     
    Ken Fresno, Sadistics and trucido like this.
  3. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    One more MLB play

    Houston Astros (-215) risk: 1u
     
  4. Dingaling

    Dingaling Green Belt

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    2U Blue Jays @ +150
    1U White Sox @ +150

    Also contemplating the Rays, haven't locked that bet in yet.
     
  5. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Severino has been throwing very well this year, why are u on the Jays if you dont mind me asking? Yankees in general are playing great
     
  6. Dingaling

    Dingaling Green Belt

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    It's really just a system play on my end. I have Estrada rated very good for this game and Severino not highly rated due to a number of factors including his FIP against the current Blue Jay bats.

    I should also note, I am only 37-27 this season in baseball, however I am only 4-7 in my 2u plays. Nonetheless, I am up 17u total for the season.
     
  7. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    I was just asking for my own knowledge, wasn't a criticism of the play.

    Do you think that Severino's past FIP needs to be taken w a grain of salt because of the improvements this season? If you look at last season as a whole, his FIP was 4.48 while his xFIP this season is a staggering 2.19 (albeit, small sample size). He is a highly touted prospect too so it's hard to not be excited by this jump in performance rather than to look at it as a small sample size anomaly
     
  8. Dingaling

    Dingaling Green Belt

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    I didn't take it as criticism, I understand everyone is here to make as much money as possible and the more discussion about picks and view points, the better we're all able to satisfy that goal.

    It is quite possible to take Severino's past FIP with a grain of salt, however, I believe that sample size is a lot larger than the small sample size that we've been given this season. Neither Estrada or Severino has been getting a ton of run support, however that's when I factor in past matchups with current hitters both guys will be facing today.
     
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  9. Dingaling

    Dingaling Green Belt

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    Adding the 1u Rays @ +125
     
  10. Capn Morgan

    Capn Morgan Blue Belt

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    anyone else like the Braves toinight? mets have ba few key players injured in cespdes/wright/duda, and imo have a the pitching advantage as well with julio on the mound at -117 someone talk me out of it haha
     
  11. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Red Sox (-138) risk: 1.38u
     
  12. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Odds are probably right where it should be. No value either side. For what it's worth, I agree that the Braves have a pitching advantage
     
  13. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Passing on NBA today. Gun to head, best bet is prob Spurs -5.5
     
  14. Antagonist88

    Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    On Red Sox -1.5 +155 for a unit
     
  15. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Playing some MLB dogs tonight. Maybe I should stick to props since I'm 4-0-1 in my last 5 prop bets in MLB but 2-4 in my last 6 ML plays.

    Phillies +162
    Brewers +148
    Blue Jays +175
    Mia/TB o8 at +100
     
  16. Dingaling

    Dingaling Green Belt

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    Last MLB play for today

    1.05u Giants/Dodgers under 6 @ -105
     
  17. Antagonist88

    Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    Really need UFC 211 to get here. Outside of playoff props I'm losing money on everything that isn't MMA or NCAAB. Marlins and Astros still have a shot, but ugly inning from Boston. Bad game offensively
     
  18. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Live bet Spurs +145 for 1u.
     
  19. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Regarding Boston/Baltimore:

    Pitcher A: 4 walks and 2 Ks
    Pitcher B: 0 walks and 7Ks

    Pitcher B was only -130. I'd take that for 5u every time if you could guarantee me those numbers. Unfortunately for us, wasn't happening today
     
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  20. Antagonist88

    Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    Agreed. Not gonna bank on Boston making 4 errors in that spot, on top of some bad baserunning. Plus Baltimore made a ton of great plays in the field tonight
     
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