up and down on the first four days of the aussie open so far, hehe. +1, -5u, +7u -3u.. pretty sure that's accurate.. and i'm dead even on the tourney, so that makes sense. lol.
anyway. i'm liking some favorites today.. so that's a scary thing.
i like tomic -131, seppi -142, m.zverev -135. quite frankly, they are the more talented guys with better resumes in all three matchups. they are also the taller players in all three matchups. i really think two if not three win. playing them to win 1.5u each.
querrey's covered the over with murray in three of their last four matchups.. even won outright a few years ago.. O30.5.. man do i wish it was 29.5.. but i'll take it with 30.5. querrey could easily win a set outright, i think a decent alternative to O30.5 is +2.5 sets +200 on BM, but i played it conservatively here. to win 1.02u O30.5 -102. (this is my weakest lean of the things i'm betting today)
---
the two most intriguing matchups are both no-bets for me as of now.
fed-berdych & tsonga-sock.
i WANT to stab at both dogs (sock and berdych are both in the +140 range)... but maaaaaaaan. idk. i almost think i HAVE to bet berdych with fed's lackluster start to 2017 after the long layoff... berdych was able to beat fed SEVERAL times outright when fed was healthy.. he can just power thru him... but betting against Roger is like betting against the flyers... i just really have a hard time doing it.
sock is just playing awesome. won the warmup tourney before the aussie, had a strong second half to 2016.. he's been competitive with tsonga both times they've played.. this shit probably goes O41, too... it's going 4+ sets almost assuredly and we're gonna have at least 1-2 7-6's.. ya know what? yea. just talked myself into it. 1.02u O41.0 -102.
------
if anyone bet berdych or sock i'd prolly agree w/that, too. just haven't done it yet, myself.
and i like SJ -129 in NHL today, btw.
