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The amount of "chance" that he has is so small it is basically irrelevant. If you want to be that guy and say he has a 1% chance or a 0.254% chance or whatever ridiculously specific number you want to pick then go ahead. In realistic terms though, he has no chance.
Its like saying you have a chance at winning the lottery. Sure its true, but it means virtually nothing.
Besides, If you convert Holly-Ronda odds to percentage, the result is probably something like 0.5%-1%.
You talking about being "realistic", lmao
Just because Floyd has a very high chance of winning, doesn't mean its guaranteed. Thats realism right there