General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - March, 2018

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by kenfloshogun, Feb 28, 2018.

  1. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Orange Belt

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    Bamma odds
     

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  2. sdy

    sdy Blue Belt

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    There is no info about injuries or retirement. May be usa visa issues or bellator contract dispute.
     
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  3. Karmello

    Karmello Blue Belt

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    Ok thanks
     
  4. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

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    carlos eduardo is a terrible blanket.

    sarafian is no world beater but he's pretty well rounded and levels above this guy. training with dollaway and bader he should be well equipped to deal with the sloppy grappling attack of eduardo.

    mattos is vastly more technical than his opponent, but he's smaller and has suspect cardio. still at near pick 'em odds he's the right side here.
     
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  5. vkram

    vkram Brown Belt

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    Rhys McKee might be worth a bet. Apparently he was couldn't rehydrate properly after the weigh ins before their first fight. He said he knew he only had a minute of energy in that fight.
     
  6. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I don't buy into those excuses but the first fight was back and forth until he got hurt to the body at the end of the first round. Lohore is way over juiced imo but Brazier isn't good. I'm defo looking to fade Lohore in a big way as a win here makes him 15-1 but this is probably not the spot not that i will touch Lohore at his odds.
     
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  7. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Degen bet fabian + barnett
     
  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  9. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Green Belt

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    where did you get odds? and what odds was fabian? I wanted to bet Kent :(
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2018
  10. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Green Belt

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    Anybody got some ACB leans?
     
  11. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Betfred. Fabian -450 was -350.
     
  12. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Machida now -225.

    That didn't take long. FIght 2 months away still too. Jeez he might hit -300 at some point.
     
  13. Roads55

    Roads55 Brown Belt

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    smashed 1.57 at betonline yesterday, this line is way to generous on chida. very confident money will push it down further.
     
  14. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

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    i like sarafian and mattos.
     
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  15. vkram

    vkram Brown Belt

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    McKee looked amazing. Absolutely dismantled Barnett.
     
  16. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Yeah I crushed -150 (1.67) before it dropped. No clue why they opened it there. They screwed up with that opener.
     
  17. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    You can argue Machida hasn't won a fight since 2014. If you can get good enough odds to free roll, I'd 100% do it. There's no reason to be risking a lot of money on a near 40 year old w a seemingly fading chin
     
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  18. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    It actually opened -120
     
  19. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    I'll probably just make small bets on Vitor rd 1 and 2. Aside from the dec win over Nate (which Vitor was kinda gifted), the last time he won a fight that went past round 2 was...wait for it...2007! 11 years and 20-something fights. If it goes past round 2, I'm pretty confident Machida wins (scratch that, more than pretty confident). He's just as old as Machida, more mileage, and a worse chin. And he's proven he has 3-5 minutes worth of cardio at this point, tops. I mean yeah, the Anders fight was close, but that's a young up and coming guy who'd been blasting everyone. He clipped Lyoto a few times and Machida didn't crumble. He fought a great tactical fight given his opponent, and got the win. Kelvin hit Vitor with one decent punch and Vitor looked like he'd been hit with a wrecking ball.

    And the 3 fights prior to Anders were Brunson, Rockhold, Jacare. I mean, yeah, they all stopped Machida but that's not exactly scrubs he's fighting. Those guys would have done the same thing to Vitor, probably just more quickly.

    I cap Lyoto around -250 or so, maybe up to -300 range. Vitor's chance to win imo is to blitz Lyoto early and catch him. Otherwise, he's gonna slow down and get lit up (or at least clearly outpointed).
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2018
  20. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Wow, that's just crazy. I thought I had the best line at -150. Bonkers.
     

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