General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - March, 2018

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by kenfloshogun, Feb 28, 2018.

  1. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 24, 2012
    Messages:
    455
    Likes Received:
    260
    Bamma odds
     

    Attached Files:

    vkram likes this.
  2. sdy

    sdy Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2010
    Messages:
    529
    Likes Received:
    82
    Location:
    Rostov-on-Don, Russia
    There is no info about injuries or retirement. May be usa visa issues or bellator contract dispute.
     
    Karmello likes this.
  3. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 7, 2017
    Messages:
    1,696
    Likes Received:
    1,032
    Ok thanks
     
  4. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,204
    Likes Received:
    5,456
    Location:
    Sewers
    carlos eduardo is a terrible blanket.

    sarafian is no world beater but he's pretty well rounded and levels above this guy. training with dollaway and bader he should be well equipped to deal with the sloppy grappling attack of eduardo.

    mattos is vastly more technical than his opponent, but he's smaller and has suspect cardio. still at near pick 'em odds he's the right side here.
     
    ChoKuRei, Karmello and Rapidryan88 like this.
  5. vkram

    vkram Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    4,501
    Likes Received:
    1,975
    Rhys McKee might be worth a bet. Apparently he was couldn't rehydrate properly after the weigh ins before their first fight. He said he knew he only had a minute of energy in that fight.
     
  6. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,202
    Likes Received:
    9,235
    I don't buy into those excuses but the first fight was back and forth until he got hurt to the body at the end of the first round. Lohore is way over juiced imo but Brazier isn't good. I'm defo looking to fade Lohore in a big way as a win here makes him 15-1 but this is probably not the spot not that i will touch Lohore at his odds.
     
    vkram likes this.
  7. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,202
    Likes Received:
    9,235
    Degen bet fabian + barnett
     
  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    11,770
    Likes Received:
    6,889
     
    vkram likes this.
  9. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,528
    Likes Received:
    915
    where did you get odds? and what odds was fabian? I wanted to bet Kent :(
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2018
  10. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,528
    Likes Received:
    915
    Anybody got some ACB leans?
     
  11. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,202
    Likes Received:
    9,235
    Betfred. Fabian -450 was -350.
     
  12. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    23,684
    Likes Received:
    8,556
    Machida now -225.

    That didn't take long. FIght 2 months away still too. Jeez he might hit -300 at some point.
     
  13. Roads55

    Roads55 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 4, 2010
    Messages:
    3,861
    Likes Received:
    1,418
    Location:
    up A mountain in Wales
    smashed 1.57 at betonline yesterday, this line is way to generous on chida. very confident money will push it down further.
     
  14. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,204
    Likes Received:
    5,456
    Location:
    Sewers
    i like sarafian and mattos.
     
    ChoKuRei and stretcharmstrong like this.
  15. vkram

    vkram Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    4,501
    Likes Received:
    1,975
    McKee looked amazing. Absolutely dismantled Barnett.
     
  16. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    23,684
    Likes Received:
    8,556
    Yeah I crushed -150 (1.67) before it dropped. No clue why they opened it there. They screwed up with that opener.
     
  17. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    11,524
    Likes Received:
    5,178
    You can argue Machida hasn't won a fight since 2014. If you can get good enough odds to free roll, I'd 100% do it. There's no reason to be risking a lot of money on a near 40 year old w a seemingly fading chin
     
    t6p and Sadistics like this.
  18. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,425
    Likes Received:
    3,140
    It actually opened -120
     
  19. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    23,684
    Likes Received:
    8,556
    I'll probably just make small bets on Vitor rd 1 and 2. Aside from the dec win over Nate (which Vitor was kinda gifted), the last time he won a fight that went past round 2 was...wait for it...2007! 11 years and 20-something fights. If it goes past round 2, I'm pretty confident Machida wins (scratch that, more than pretty confident). He's just as old as Machida, more mileage, and a worse chin. And he's proven he has 3-5 minutes worth of cardio at this point, tops. I mean yeah, the Anders fight was close, but that's a young up and coming guy who'd been blasting everyone. He clipped Lyoto a few times and Machida didn't crumble. He fought a great tactical fight given his opponent, and got the win. Kelvin hit Vitor with one decent punch and Vitor looked like he'd been hit with a wrecking ball.

    And the 3 fights prior to Anders were Brunson, Rockhold, Jacare. I mean, yeah, they all stopped Machida but that's not exactly scrubs he's fighting. Those guys would have done the same thing to Vitor, probably just more quickly.

    I cap Lyoto around -250 or so, maybe up to -300 range. Vitor's chance to win imo is to blitz Lyoto early and catch him. Otherwise, he's gonna slow down and get lit up (or at least clearly outpointed).
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2018
  20. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    23,684
    Likes Received:
    8,556
    Wow, that's just crazy. I thought I had the best line at -150. Bonkers.
     

Share This Page