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Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Nov 8, 2017.
pretty sweet card, actually.
Lovato Vs Honeycutt whattttt actually?
about time he had a step up!
have definitely seen worse cards than this. same night as tuf 26 finale, i guess. gonna be a busy friday/saturday...
looks like piccolotti vs rickels btw
chidi vs kato is gonna be some crazy shit.
cant remember the first budd/blencowe fight
one judge had it a draw so I guess it was close?
Bellator 189: Budd vs. Blencowe
DECEMBER 1, 2017
WinStar World Casino & Resort | Thackerville, Oklahoma
Main Card - Spike TV, 9PM ET
Women's Featherweight Title
Arlene Blencowe +400
Julia Budd -600
Over 4.5 -160
Under 4.5 +120
Rafael Lovato +160
Chris Honeycutt -210
Over 1.5 -140
Under 1.5 +100
Hisaki Kato +150
Chidi Njokuani -190
Over 1.5 -120
Under 1.5 -120
David Rickels +140
Adam Piccolotti -180
Over 2.5 -130
Under 2.5 -110
it was 30-27 budd, two people on earth were on something that night
1: the judge who scored it 29-28
2: jimmy smith who gave blencowe rd 1 and rd 3
i had it 30-27.
Totally disagree with EZ here:
Big 2.5 unit bet on Arlene Blencowe at +400. I just re-watched their first fight and Blencowe arguably won it by edging round 1 on the feet, losing round 2 clearly on her back after getting taken down & smothered and then outstriking Budd very clearly for 2/3rds of round 3 except for a takedown at the end that she stood up from. Even Jimmy Smith thought Blencowe had it in the bag on the scorecards, and Budd only squeaked it out with a majority decision victory that had 10-10 and/or 10-8 rounds putting the scores all over the place. This rematch is a five round title fight now and wrestler Budd most likely has to lay and pray three rounds to win this against a superior striker. I am sure Blencowe will have prepared her anti-wrestling, takedown defense and stand ups. Love the value on Blencowe even if she doesn't end up pulling it off. The fight is on Bellator's YouTube if anyone wants to watch and decide for themselves.
i'd say "i'll have to rewatch it" but there's no way i'm gonna do that
Any other fancies here?
I'm familiar with all the other fighters, but going to watch the weigh-ins at 12:15 PM today before doing anything else.
Thanks I just watched the fight and agree that line is a bit out of whack. Budd's striking output is just way too low to be a 4-1 favorite against Blencowe here. -400 should be reserved for fighters that are better in every or most departments than their opponent. Blencowe has a clear striking advantage and, despite being undersized and overpowered, Blencowe was still able to reverse Budd in the 3rd round.
Blencowe has got some power and KO'd her next two opponents after that Budd fight. One of them was Janay Harding who is pretty tough and pretty much beat Jessy Rose Clark recently (she lost by decision because they have some rule where missing weight is -2 points to the score). Janay Harding is also one of the prettiest MMA fighters (seriously, look her up). Wish I could find tape of how Blencowe finished her.
Anyway, even -200 would be a bit long for this fight. I'll take the +350.
American BJJ black belt and world champion Rafael Lovato Jr. towers over former welterweight wrestler Chris Honeycutt in this middleweight matchup. Huge size difference and Honeycutt is mostly a wrestler & grinder with decent boxing. Lovato is one of the very best BJJ & submission artists from the U.S. ever to compete in MMA and has much improved striking as well. 2 units on Lovato at +225. He can win this by KO, sub or maybe even decision.
this janay harding gives me a harding in my groin region.
Nice. Gonna tail. You reckon lovato can get the takedown? Size difference is pretty big
Honeycutt will likely be going for the takedowns or trying at least. I can see Lovato keeping it on the feet if he wants to stirke or going down to the ground and subbing Honeycutt of his back or sweeping and reversing the wrestler and getting on top for ground & pound or a submission.