Bellator 189 - Budd vs Blencowe - Oklahoma

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Nov 8, 2017.

  1. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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  2. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

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    pretty sweet card, actually.
     
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  3. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    Lovato Vs Honeycutt whattttt actually?
     
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  4. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

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    about time he had a step up!
     
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  5. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

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    have definitely seen worse cards than this. same night as tuf 26 finale, i guess. gonna be a busy friday/saturday...

    looks like piccolotti vs rickels btw
     
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  6. kenfloshogun Orange Belt

    kenfloshogun
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    Betsafe Odds
     

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  7. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    chidi vs kato is gonna be some crazy shit.
     
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  8. rille31 Brown Belt

    rille31
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    cant remember the first budd/blencowe fight

    one judge had it a draw so I guess it was close?
     
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  9. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Bellator 189: Budd vs. Blencowe
    DECEMBER 1, 2017
    WinStar World Casino & Resort | Thackerville, Oklahoma

    Main Card - Spike TV, 9PM ET

    Women's Featherweight Title

    Arlene Blencowe +400
    Julia Budd -600

    Over 4.5 -160
    Under 4.5 +120
    -

    Rafael Lovato +160
    Chris Honeycutt -210

    Over 1.5 -140
    Under 1.5 +100
    -

    Hisaki Kato +150
    Chidi Njokuani -190

    Over 1.5 -120
    Under 1.5 -120
    -

    David Rickels +140
    Adam Piccolotti -180

    Over 2.5 -130
    Under 2.5 -110
    -
     
    #9
  10. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    it was 30-27 budd, two people on earth were on something that night

    1: the judge who scored it 29-28
    2: jimmy smith who gave blencowe rd 1 and rd 3

    i had it 30-27.
     
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  11. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Totally disagree with EZ here:

    Big 2.5 unit bet on Arlene Blencowe at +400. I just re-watched their first fight and Blencowe arguably won it by edging round 1 on the feet, losing round 2 clearly on her back after getting taken down & smothered and then outstriking Budd very clearly for 2/3rds of round 3 except for a takedown at the end that she stood up from. Even Jimmy Smith thought Blencowe had it in the bag on the scorecards, and Budd only squeaked it out with a majority decision victory that had 10-10 and/or 10-8 rounds putting the scores all over the place. This rematch is a five round title fight now and wrestler Budd most likely has to lay and pray three rounds to win this against a superior striker. I am sure Blencowe will have prepared her anti-wrestling, takedown defense and stand ups. Love the value on Blencowe even if she doesn't end up pulling it off. The fight is on Bellator's YouTube if anyone wants to watch and decide for themselves.
     
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  12. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    i'd say "i'll have to rewatch it" but there's no way i'm gonna do that
     
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  13. Rapidryan88 Green Belt

    Rapidryan88
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    Any other fancies here?
     
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  14. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    I'm familiar with all the other fighters, but going to watch the weigh-ins at 12:15 PM today before doing anything else.
     
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  15. turbozed Red Belt

    turbozed
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    Thanks I just watched the fight and agree that line is a bit out of whack. Budd's striking output is just way too low to be a 4-1 favorite against Blencowe here. -400 should be reserved for fighters that are better in every or most departments than their opponent. Blencowe has a clear striking advantage and, despite being undersized and overpowered, Blencowe was still able to reverse Budd in the 3rd round.

    Blencowe has got some power and KO'd her next two opponents after that Budd fight. One of them was Janay Harding who is pretty tough and pretty much beat Jessy Rose Clark recently (she lost by decision because they have some rule where missing weight is -2 points to the score). Janay Harding is also one of the prettiest MMA fighters (seriously, look her up). Wish I could find tape of how Blencowe finished her.

    Anyway, even -200 would be a bit long for this fight. I'll take the +350.
     
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  16. JimGunn Red Belt

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  17. JimGunn Red Belt

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    American BJJ black belt and world champion Rafael Lovato Jr. towers over former welterweight wrestler Chris Honeycutt in this middleweight matchup. Huge size difference and Honeycutt is mostly a wrestler & grinder with decent boxing. Lovato is one of the very best BJJ & submission artists from the U.S. ever to compete in MMA and has much improved striking as well. 2 units on Lovato at +225. He can win this by KO, sub or maybe even decision.
     
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  18. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    this janay harding gives me a harding in my groin region.
     
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  19. Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Nice. Gonna tail. You reckon lovato can get the takedown? Size difference is pretty big
     
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  20. JimGunn Red Belt

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    Honeycutt will likely be going for the takedowns or trying at least. I can see Lovato keeping it on the feet if he wants to stirke or going down to the ground and subbing Honeycutt of his back or sweeping and reversing the wrestler and getting on top for ground & pound or a submission.
     
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