Your Official UFN 86 bets

[EzFlyer]

PLEASE KEEP THIS THREAD TO BET POSTS ONLY.

discuss the fights of UFN 85 here: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/official-ufn-86-thread-croatia-jds-vs-big-ben.3196145/

 

[EzFlyer]

1.02u rothwell -102

1u ngannou +100

0.6u blachowicz-pokrajac o1.5 -120

0 for 0.1u o1.5 perez-entwistle

1.35u velickovic -135

1u whiteford +110

0.5u asker +140
0.5u asker-cannonier O1.5 -125

 

[Agent Mulder]

1.3u Lewis -154

1u Blachowicz/Pokrajac O1.5 -139

1u Blaydes +110

 

[TNT10]

I've only got 2 on so far:

Gonzaga
Rothwell

There's so many guys on this card I'm still clueless about.

 

[Oblivian]

Singles
Dos Santos: $7.50 to win $7.14 $14.64
Araujo: $3.75 to win $3.26 $6.01
Stanciu/Moroz under 1.5: $2.50 to win $3.88 Loss
Schnell: $2.50 to win $3.63 $6.13
Vitkay: $2.50 to win $2.88 $5.38
Burrell: $2.50 to win $3.50 $6
Lima: $2.50 to win $3.38 $5.88
Connonier: $2.50 to win $1.72 $4.22
Foster: $1.25 to win $4.06 Loss
Heun: $1.25 to win $3.44 Loss
Davis: $1.25 to win $3.74 Loss

Risk of $30 $48.26

Parlays
Field over Gomez (Group 7 Dell) + Rothwell/Dos Santos doesn't start 5: $7.50 to win $3.50 Loss
Field over Watson/Scott/Fowler (Masters) + Taisumov: $5 to win $3.08 $8.08
Spieth makes cut (Masters) + Martin: $3.75 to win $3.29 $7.04
Dos Santos/Rothwell ITD + Soriano: $3.75 to win $2.48 Loss
Field over Spieth (Masters) + Pokrajac/Blachowicz: $3.75 to win $3.11 $6.86
Field over Spieth (Houston) + Fitch + Branch: $3.75 to win $3.85 $7.60
Field over Mcilroy (Masters) + Enwhstle: $3.75 to win $3.31 Loss
Field over Day (Dell) + Rothwell/Dos Santos ITD: $3.75 to win $2.58 Loss
Field over Day (Masters) + Cummings: $2.50 to win $4.64 $7.14
Field over Johnson (Houston) + Gonzaga: $2.50 to win $5.70 Loss
Mickelson makes cut (Masters) + Blaydes: $2.50 to win $3.64 Loss
Stenson Makes Cut (Masters) + Velickovic: $2.50 to win $2.43 $4.93
Nurmagomedov + Branch/Starks ITD: $2.50 to win $1.64 Loss
Field over Spieth (Dell) + Dos Santos/Rothwell doesn't start 3: $2.50 to win $2.47 Loss
Field over Day/Rose (Masters) + Tybura: $2.50 to win $2.39 Loss
Spieth under 71.5 (Final Round) + Statsiak/Pejic starts 3 + Rothwell/JDS starts 2: $1.25 to win $3.10 Loss
Field over Johnson (Houston) + Fitch/Zeferino ITD: $1.25 to win $1.57 Loss
Field over Mcilroy/Spieth + Blaydes/Ngannou ITD: $1.25 to win $1.72 $2.97

Risk of $56.25 $44.62

TOTAL RISK OF $86.25 $92.88

Spoiler

TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $202.06 Running Profit = $37.06 (Approximate ROI for year 4.554%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2751.24 Total Profit = $2732.25 (Approximate ROI: 12.4602%)

 

[Sham5916910]

JDS dec +600 £50

Gonzaga sub +400 £50

Thats all for me will be lb.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Degenerate time baby

Rothwell
Leaning Lewis, but nothing yet. Last min decision on this one.
Blaydes
Johnson by dec
Jan
Moroz by dec
Dalby by dec
Mairbek
Perez by dec
Pejic by dec
Martins
Asker
Bojan

 

[Shoulder]

I went aboard the JDS-train a while back which I regret a bit now, but hey, thats life. Avslut = ITD in Swedish



UPDATE: WOW! I absolutly killed it and had an amazing event. I missjudged Blades and I didnt realize Entwistle was SUCH a one trick pony.

Total up 26U. I still just play with pocket money to see if I am able to judge which bets to go heavy on and the overall feeling for betting, but so far I'm doing really well with a ROI of +21%. The parlays worked out fine here, a big difference to earlier events.

 

[Soccer Steve]

$100 baby limit because Croatia.

Blaydes ML - $25 to win $26.25
Velikovic ML - $35 to win $20.00
Velikovic + Moroz - $25 to win $34.95
T. Johnson + Rothwell - $7.50 to win $27.00
Blachowicz + Rothwell - $7.50 to win $11.61

Kind of wish I just put my full $100 on Blaydes when I had him at 2.05 but oh well. Good luck all and thanks for the info/help/banter in the other thread.

 

[piglord]

Taisumov, Mairbeck @1/3

Mairbek.Taisumov v Damir.Hadzovic

To Win Fight

Blachowicz, Jan @2/7

Igor.Pokrajac v Jan.Blachowicz

To Win Fight

Dos Santos, Junior @5/6

Ben Rothwell v Junior Dos Santos

To Win Fight

Total Stake £100.00
Potential Return £314.29

 

[themmagambler]

Bet 1 : 3 Units Ben Rothwell 2.10 (+110)

Bet 2: 2.5 Units Derrick Lewis 1.73 (-136)

Bet 3: 2 Units Velickovic + Blahcowicz 2.08 (+108)

Bet 4: 2.5 Units Blaydes 1.70 (-141)

Total units risked: 10 Units

Potential Return: 19.03 Units

Potential Profit: 9.03 Units

 

[fluskacio]

Di chirico
Asker
Whiteford
Pejic
Entwistle
Taisumov
Dalby
Derrik lewis
Nganou
Rothwelll
jan blanchovik

 

[mkess101]

Cannot watch any of this one. Leaving town for one night and driving back tomorrow so will be on the road. If there was a card I'm gonna miss, glad it's this one. So small action.

Rothwell +110
Rothwell/JDS over 1.5
Rothwell rds 3 and 4
Rothwell/JDS does not go distance
Rothwell KO/TKO
Rothwell itd
Jan -315
Jan/Igor o1.5


That's it. I would have hit Blaydes at opener but now just passing at these odds. Not much time to research the other fighters and no need to degen since can't watch anyway.

 

[EzFlyer]

ufn 86 Risk: 1,497
Rothwell -102: 102 for 100 / DEC: 25 for 100 / JDS
lewis RD3: 10 for 100 / DEC: 25 for 81.25 / GG
ngannou +100: 100 for 100 / blaydes
johnson +3.5: 140 for 100 / tybura DEC: 25 for 78.75
blachowicz -3.5: 185 for 100 / O1.5: 0 for 6.20 / pokrajac
moroz-stanciu DEC: 50 for 57.50
dalby-cummings: idk
perez DEC: 35 for 148.75 / O1.5: 0 for 10 / entwistle
hadzovic +315: 50 for 157.50 / hadzovic DEC: 40 for 182 / hadzovic +3.5: 190 for 298 / taisumov
pejic +113: 100 for 112.50 / stasiak
whiteford +110: 100 for 110 / martins DEC: 25 for 97.50
asker +140: 25 for 35 / asker DEC: 20 for 125 / O1.5: 50 for 40 / cannonier
velickovic -135: 135 for 100 / velickovic SUB: 40 for 182 / dichirico DEC: 25 for 66.25
props
parlays
---

this isn't gonna be a big ufc for me, prolly about set (unless i add some stupid props etc... besides the dumb HW dec props i stabbed already)

 

[TNT10]

I think I'm done:

Rothwell
Gonzaga
Entwistle R1
Blaydes
Pejic
Johnson
Cummings Dec
Martins

And a couple of small silly parlays.

 

[AmazingGebi]

I'm done also:

Big Ben
Gonzaga
Ant Whistle
Bosnian Rocky (Damir)

I hope I wake up tomorrow and broke even at least.

 

[piglord]

UFC Matches Junior Dos Santos v Ben Rothwell
10-04-2016 21:30
Match Betting
Junior Dos Santos @ 4/5

UFC Matches Gabriel Gonzaga v Derrick Lewis
10-04-2016 21:00
Match Betting
Gabriel Gonzaga @ 5/4

UFC Matches Francis Ngannou v Curtis Blaydes
10-04-2016 20:30
Match Betting
Francis Ngannou @ 11/10

UFC Matches Timothy Johnson v Marcin Tybura
10-04-2016 20:00
Match Betting
Timothy Johnson @ 5/4

UFC Matches Igor Pokrajac v Jan Blachowicz
10-04-2016 19:30
Match Betting
Jan Blachowicz @ 3/10

UFC Matches Maryna Moroz v Cristina Stanciu
10-04-2016 19:00
Match Betting
Maryna Moroz @ 1/2

UFC Matches Nicolas Dalby v Zak Cummings
10-04-2016 18:30
Match Betting
Zak Cummings @ 11/10

UFC Matches Ian Entwistle v Alejandro Perez
10-04-2016 18:00
Match Betting
Alejandro Perez @ 11/10

UFC Matches Mairbek Taisumov v Damir Hadzovic
10-04-2016 17:30
Match Betting
Mairbek Taisumov @ 3/10

UFC Matches Filip Pejic v Damian Stasiak
10-04-2016 17:00
Match Betting
Filip Pejic @ 11/10

UFC Matches Robert Whiteford v Lucas Martins
10-04-2016 16:30
Match Betting
Robert Whiteford @ evens

UFC Matches Jared Cannonier v Cyril Asker
10-04-2016 16:00
Match Betting
Jared Cannonier @ 4/7

UFC Matches Alessio Di Chirico v Bojan Velickovic
10-04-2016 15:30
Match Betting
Bojan Velickovic @ 8/13

Your Bets
Accumulator (13)
1 line at £5.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £5.00
Potential returns: £11,404.16

 

[BluntTrauma21]

1.5u JDS
2u Martins
2u Blachowicz itd
1u Lewis
1.5u Dalby

Keeping it small didn't do my due diligence in studying up on some of the guys I don't know and trying to stay a bit more conservative than usual anyway so that's it, at least for now. GL boys.

 

[EzFlyer]

ufn 86 Risk: 2,047.80
Rothwell +104: 200 for 207.80 / roth RD2: 7.50 parlays / DEC: 25 for 100 / O3.0: 15 parlays / O2.0: 20 parlays / JDS
lewis RD3: 15 for 150 / DEC: 25 for 81.25 / GG
ngannou +100: 100 for 100 / ngannou KO: 7.50 parlays / ngannou NSC: 20 parlays / blaydes
johnson +3.5: 140 for 100 / johnson NSC: 20 parlays / DEC: 15 parlays / tybura DEC: 25 for 78.75
blachowicz -3.5: 185 for 100 / O1.5: 0 for 6.20 / pokrajac
moroz SUB: 15 parlays / moroz RD2: 7.50 parlays / DEC: 50 for 57.50 / stanciu
dalby -115: 115 for 100 / dalby DEC: 15 parlays / cummings NSC: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays
perez DEC: 35 for 148.75 / O1.5: 0 for 10 / entwistle RD1: 15 parlays
hadzovic +315: 50 for 157.50 / hadzovic DEC: 40 for 182 - 7.50 parlays / hadzovic +3.5: 190 for 298 / O2.5: 20 parlays / taisumov
pejic +113: 100 for 112.50 / pejic RD3: 10 for 122.50 / pejic ITD: 15 parlays / stasiak
whiteford +110: 100 for 110 / whiteford ITD: 7.50 parlays / martins DEC: 25 for 97.50
asker +140: 25 for 35 / asker DEC: 20 for 125 - 7.50 parlays / DEC: 15 parlays / O1.5: 62.80 for 50 / cannonier
velickovic -135: 135 for 100 / velickovic RD3: 10 for 147.50 / velickovic SUB: 40 for 182 / velickovic ITD: 7.50 parlays / velickovic NSC: 20 parlays / dichirico DEC: 25 for 66.25
props
DEC O5.5: 50 for 61
DEC O6.5: 12 for 37.92
DEC O7.5: 5 for 40.15
DEC O8.5: 2 for 49.48
DEC O9.5: 1 for 93.75
FOTN: stanciu-moroz: 15 for 120
FOTN: whiteford-martins: 10 for 100
parlays
100 RR for 599.53: rothJDS O2.0/ ngannou NSC/ johnson NSC/ cummings NSC/ hadztais O2.5/ velickovic NSC
35 RR for 885.25: rothJDS O3.0/ johntybura DEC/ moroz SUB/ dalby DEC/ entwistle RD1/ pejic ITD/ askercannon DEC
17.50 RR for 2,625.95 RR: rothRD2/ ngannouKO/ morozRD2/ hadzDEC/ whiteITD/ askerDEC/ velickITD
---

someone must've hacked my account, cause apparently there are some RETARDED parlays mucking up any semblance of strategy on this card!

 

[KT4]

$5.00 $8.25 Pending 4/10/16 10:30am MMA Props Fighting 2242 Velickovic points handicap -3½ +165* vs Chirico points handicap
$5.00 $6.50 Pending 4/10/16 4:00pm UFC Fighting 1101 Gabriel Gonzaga +130* vs Derrick Lewis
$5.00 $6.75 Pending 4/10/16 4:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Rothwell wins inside distance +135* vs Not Rothwell inside distance
$6.00 $15.90 Pending 4/10/16 3:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1233 Ngannou wins by TKO/KO +265* vs Any other result
$6.00 $6.60 Pending 4/10/16 3:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1241 Blaydes points handicap -3½ +110* vs Ngannou points handicap
$2.00 $5.70 Pending 4/10/16 3:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1331 Tybura wins by submission +285* vs Any other result
$2.00 $2.50 Pending 4/10/16 3:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1342 Tybura points handicap -3½ +125* vs Johnson points handicap
$5.00 $4.55 Pending 4/10/16 1:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1639 Cummings (scorecards = no action) -110* vs Dalby (scorecards = no action)
$30.00 $26.09 Pending 4/10/16 11:00am MMA Props Fighting 2142 Cannonier points handicap -3½ -115* vs Asker points handicap
Totals: $66.00 $82.84