£30 Khabilov dec, Breese ITD, Jotko dec and Mousasi dec @ +1050
Forgot about my two £500 parlays containing Breese when I placed my 1k Breese bet as I placed them a while ago, so I am a little heavy on Breese but oh well I cannot see him losing.
Biggest plays = 2 team parlays
Anderson + Park/Khabilov o2.5
Leites/Moose o2.5 + Jotko/Scott o2.5
EDIT Also threw a nice chunk of change on this UK parlay
Allen + Askham + Breese itd
parlays treated me very well for the Pittsburgh event, hoping that run continues here
Gegard by dec
Breese itd
Pickett +3.5
MakGOAT, MakGOAT by dec
Grant, and a dumb play on Vera by dec
Askham by KO, but this is the only play not set in stone with money on it as of yet
Allen, Allen by dec
Jotko
Parke by dec
Omielanczuk
Packalen by dec
Teymur
Probably won't have time to make anymore bets tomorrow or Saturday so I'm probably finalised on these unless I can get good 3G coverage in the o2 Arena and drunken betting kicks in.
Can't see me adding much else. First time putting my bets on before weigh ins, hopefully there's no issues there.. Hoping it's an ace event. Best of luck everyone!
Jotko 4 units @ -158
Rivera 2 units @ -180
Teymur 2 units @ -129
Omeilanczuk 2 units @-105
O2.5 Khabilov 3 units @ -252
02.5 Mousasi 3 units @-189
O2.5 Rivera 1 unit @ +110
Vera 0.5 units @ +160
Wilkinson 0.5 units @ +160
Still considering small Bisping and Leites plays, but on the fence. Also hit a few props and a long-shot parlay, but nothing significant.
Post Weigh-ins
That size discrepancy re: Breese/Nakamura is just too much to ignore
U1.5 Breese 4 units @ -165
O2.5 Silva 1 unit @ -142
I honestly have too many plays on this card. I'm not even gonna watch it LOL. This one time I'm not going through and listing them all but let's just say if Breese wins by KO/TKO (preferably in rd 1) and Mousasi wins by dec I will be happy.
Other bets (combinations of SU, parlays, props) I have include Jotko, Parke by dec, Teymur SU and itd, Daniel Omie, Rivera SU and itd, Ashkam SU and itd, Wilkinson.
Also have over under bets, the big one being Mousasi/Leites over 2.5. Bunch of others incl Teymur/Svensson under 2.5, Daniel/Jarjis over 2.5, Parke/Rustan over 2.5.
I think I got too aggressive with this card honestly. I've been on a sick hot streak so got carried away a bit. Hope I don't get burned.
Singles
Teymur: $5 to win $3.85 $8.85
Not Allen ITD: $5 to win $3.23 $8.23
Pickett (+3.5): $3.75 to win $3.94 $7.69
Kongo/Vini over 1.5: $3.75 to win $3.57 $7.32
Ruth: $2.50 to win $4 $6.50
Scott: $2.50 to win $3.63 Loss
France: $2.50 to win $3.38 Loss
Grant: $2.50 to win $1.35 $3.85
Leites: $1.25 to win $3.56 Loss
Dempsey (+3.5): $1.25 to win $2.13 Loss
Wilkinson: $1.25 to win $2 Loss
Gouti (-3.5): $1.25 to win $2 Loss
Omi (-3.5): $1.25 to win $1.56 Loss
Risk of $33.75 $42.44
Parlays
Field over Rory (Honda) + Not Silva Dec: $7.50 to win $3.33 $10.88
Breese + Parke/Khabilov over 2.5: $5 to win $2.47 $7.47
Field over Fowler (Honda) + Rickels + Breese (-3.5): $2.50 to win $1.66 $4.16
Field over Fowler (Honda) + Bisping/Silva starts 2: $1.25 to win $1.28 $2.53
Risk of $16.25 $25.04
TOTAL RISK OF $50 $67.48
TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $210.73 Running Profit = $45.73(Approximate ROI for year 8.47%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2759.91 Total Profit = $2740.92 (Approximate ROI: 12.7462%)
My theory is one will hit one day i see it no different to people playing the lottery except im far more likely to hit albeit payout clearly a fraction. Last week 8/10 hit! This is basically my lottery ticket each week.
UFC Fight Night 73 +5.2
UFC190/WSOF22 +.26u
UFC on Fox 16 -0.80u
UFC Fight Night 74 -5.25u
UFC Fight Night 81 -0.25
Bellator 148 +1.95u
UFC on Fox 18 +4.2u
UFC Fight Night 82 +0.82u
UFC Fight Night 83 -12.87u
-6.74u
Just annihilated last time out in what will(hopefully) be my worst card of the year, erasing this years MMA profits. Feel a lot better about this card FWIW, and looking to get back on track
UFC Fight Night 84 Michael Bisping +240 3u to win 7.2u Brad Pickett +140 2u to win 2.8u
Makwan Amirkhani -165 3.3u to win 2u
Chris Dempsey +312 1u to win 3.12u Norman Parke +210 1.5u to win 3.15u Daniel Omielanczuk -115 2.88u to win 2.5u Thibault Gouti -123 2.46u to win 2u
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