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Your Official UFN 108 Bets

2u Ray - 1.73
2u Leites - 1.95
1.5u Holtzman + Barbarena - 1.91

1u Leites/Alvey o2.5 + Swanson/Lobov u3.5 - 2.55
0.5u Lauzon/Ray o2.5 - 1.75
0.5u Dodson/Wineland o.2.5 - 2.75
0.5u Ellenberger/Perry u1.5 - 2.10

0.25u OSP/De Lima Any fighter by KO - 1.76
0.25u OSP/De Lima u1.5 - 1.72
0.1u Alvey R3 - 23.00

EDIT: Forgot 0,5u Iaquinta/Sanchez o2.5 - 1.70

And a small donation to the bookie retirement fund:

0.1u - Barbarena DEC + Schnell DEC + Ortiz DEC + Ray DEC + Perry ITD + OSP ITD + Davis ITD + Leites DEC - 1250

+ Late additions or live bets:

0.5u Ortiz DEC - 2.00
0.25u Moreno ITD - 6.50

Total: +5,88u
 
Went from up 10 units with potential to be 30, to finishing up less than 1u after the last two fights. Oh well, not a loss I guess
 
i got a bit reckless towards the end but glad my main plays hit, even though i rode my luck with stevie ray. it would have been a huge night with ellenberger.

WIN

Ray, iaquinta, swanson £425 returns £929

barb, holtzman, iaquinta, swanson £100 returns £252

Taylor £25 returns £52

Moreno £20 returns £64

LOSS

iaquinta itd, swanson itd £20 returns £72

osp/de lima o1.5 £7 returns £20

de lima £30 returns £63

Barb r3, alvey r3, ray r3, iaquinta r3 £5 RR

wineland dec £30 returns £270

Barb, dandois sub, alvey, Ellenberger, Dodson ko, ray dec, iaquinta ko, swanson ko £5 returns £10415

alvey £20 returns £100

Barb, Ellenberger £65 returns £219

Barbarena, taylor, ellenberger, ray, iaquinta, swanson/lobov itd £25 (free bet) returns £356

TOTAL INVESTMENT: £752

PROFIT: £545
 
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0.5u Lobov KO +1303 -0.5u

1u Lauzon +180 -1u

1.35u Perry -135 +1u
0.75u Perry KO +130 +0.975u

1u Dodson-Wineland o2.5 +150 +1.5u
0.5u Wineland DEC +1242 -0.5u

1.41u Penne NSC -141 +0u

1u Moreno NSC +230 +2.3u
1u Cummings/Ortiz-Moreno o2.5 -107 -1u
0.1u Moreno ITD +1224 +1.224u

1u Schnell +100 -1u

0.1u Penne/Ortiz-Moreno o2.5/Perry/Lima-OSP u1.5/Sanchez-Iaquinta o2.5 +1008 -0.1u
0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Ortiz DEC +140/Wineland-Dodson GTD +250/Lauzon NSC +111/NOT Swanson KO +120 +0.51u

Late Adds:
0.5u McBride +400 -0.5u
0.2u Ray +600 +1.2u
0.1u Hail mary parlay -0.1u
0.5u Swanson-Lobov u3.5/NOT Iaquinta KO/Lima-OSP u1.0 +331 -0.5u
1u OSP +105 +1.05u
0.3u Sanchez +355 -0.3u
1.8u Swanson-Lobov ITD -120 -1.8u

NET: +2.459u

Decent night, I'll take it. Would have been really nice if the main event didn't go the distance. Oh well.
 
1U Alvey beats Leites @ 2.00 = $40 to profit $40.
.9U Lauzon beats Ray @ 2.60 = $35.50 to profit $56.80.

Added 0.5U Moreno by points @ $4.33.
1.5U on Perry @ $1.80
0.5U on Lauzon sub @ $7.00

Added 2U on Dodson/Wineland O2.5 @ $2.85.

Hits:

1.5U on Perry @ 1.80 = $48 profit
2U on Dodson/Wineland O2.5 @ $2.85 = $148

Misses:
1U Alvey = -$40
.9U Lauzon = -$35.5
0.5U Moreno by points = -$20
0.5U on Lauzon sub = -$20

Total profit = $80 (2U)
 
Swanson DEC (+255) risk: 0.5u +1.3u
Iaquinta TKO (+170) risk: 3u +5.1u
Wineland DEC (+1253) risk: 0.1u -0.1u
Ray DEC (+165) risk: 0.5u +1.65u *this was actually risking one unit, not half a unit. I made a mistake while transferring bets over. check my spreadsheet for confirmation
Perry (-130) risk: 1.3u +1u
Leites DEC (+165) risk: 1u +1.65u
Schnell (+100) risk: 1u -1u
Schnell ITD (+400) risk: 0.25u -0.25u
Ortiz DEC (+110) risk: 1u -1u
Taylor DEC (+159) risk: 0.5u +0.8u
+9.15u
 

Decent night, I'll take it. Would have been really nice if the main event didn't go the distance. Oh well.

yea i thought we had that, oh well

back in win column for ya at least
 
Screen_Shot_2017-04-23_at_1.50.02_AM.png


Had a shit Bellator where I lost every bet, including big-ish on Strauss. Had a HORRIBLE start to this event, including a 7.5u loss on o2.5 Moreno vs ortiz. But I #persevere. OSP sub saved me, Cub dec helped including 2ulivebet on fight goes the distance after round 1. Still only one losing weekend all year. Learned a lot from this UFC, hated the way I approached it. Ready to rest and come back more #elite than ever #neverlose #alwayswin #cantbestopped
 
Screen_Shot_2017-04-23_at_1.50.02_AM.png


Had a shit Bellator where I lost every bet, including big-ish on Strauss. Had a HORRIBLE start to this event, including a 7.5u loss on o2.5 Moreno vs ortiz. But I #persevere. OSP sub saved me, Cub dec helped including 2ulivebet on fight goes the distance after round 1. Still only one losing weekend all year. Learned a lot from this UFC, hated the way I approached it. Ready to rest and come back more #elite than ever #neverlose #alwayswin #cantbestopped
I know it hit, I just never understood the OSP by SUB bet. Obviously im missing something. What made you make that bet when he's had like one legit submission his entire career?
 
I know it hit, I just never understood the OSP by SUB bet. Obviously im missing something. What made you make that bet when he's had like one legit submission his entire career?
Pezao is a quitter with shitty sub and td defense who can't win a fight after a round (also lb OSP +105) and I was confident if OSP got him on the mat hed go for a choke. Edgy Brah is high on his jits and hes active with sub attempts. +900 and +650 were batshit lines
 
Pezao is a quitter with shitty sub and td defense who can't win a fight after a round (also lb OSP +105) and I was confident if OSP got him on the mat hed go for a choke. Edgy Brah is high on his jits and hes active with sub attempts. +900 and +650 were batshit lines
Yea i guess it makes sense when you put it that way. Good bet
 
UFN 108 Net: +2,602.44
swanson DEC: 30 for 89.10 - 10 parlays / swanson RD5: 6 parlays / NOT swanson ITD: 20 for 35.70 - 15 parlays / O3.5: 50 for 70 - 25 parlays / ITD: 149 for 167.50 / lobov +600: 50 for 300
sanchez: 10 parlays / sanchez SUB: 25 for 326.85 - 6 parlays / sanchez RD3: 8 for 206 / sanchez +3.5: 100 for 160 - 25 parlays / O2.5: 99 for 66

OSP DEC: 6 parlays / OSP ITD: 55 for 50 / OSP SUB: 33 for 297 / OSP RD2: 10 for 57.50 / U1.5: 200 for 150
wineland +443: 75 for 332.50 - 10 parlays / wineland DEC: 33 for 419.49 / wineland ITD: 6 parlays / O2.5: 200 for 374.55 - 25 parlays / dodson DEC: 50 for 218.50 / NOT dodson ITD: 15 parlays
ray: 0 for 170 / DEC: 100 for 205
/ lauzon: 0 for 140.50 / lauzon DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 10 parlays / lauzon NSC: 50 for 81 - 25 parlays
perry -114: 284.50 for 250 / perry RD1: 15 parlays
alvey: 0 for 140 / alvey RD3: 10 for 195
/ O2.5: 98.50 for 50 - 50 parlay / leites: 0 for 10 / leites DEC: 15 parlays
moreno +193: 150 for 290 / moreno ITD: 50 for 612 - 6 parlays / moreno SUB: 15 for 104.25 / moreno NSC: 150 for 352.50 - 40 parlays
/ O2.5: 150 parlays / ortiz RD3: 10 for 230
holtzman RD2: 25 for 136.25 / holtzman RD3: 25 for 232.50 - 6 parlays
/ holtzman -3.5: 15 parlays / mcbride SUB: 20 for 200
penne +219: 200 for 418 / penne ITD: 10 parlays / penne SUB: 30 for 196.50
/ penne NSC: 223.50 for 150 / O2.5: 100 parlay
davis RD3: 10 for 80 / DEC: 25 parlays
proctor +265: 40 for 106 / barberena RD3: 10 for 92.50 - 6 parlays
schnell +133: 45 for 60 / schnell ITD: 10 parlays / schnell NSC: 137 for 100

props
FOTN: swanson-lobov: 10 for 65
parlays
100 for 98.29 ortiz-moreno O2.5 -245 & penne-taylor O2.5 -245
50 for 57.47 ortiz-moreno O2.5 -245
& leites-alvey O2.5 -190
21 RR for 2,970.41: swansonRD5/ sanchezSUB/ OSPDEC/ winelandITD/ morenoITD/ holtzmanRD3/ barberenaRD3
20 RR for 2,020.40: swansonDEC/ sanchez/ wineland/ jlauDEC/ penneITD/ schnellITD[/i]
50 RR for (paid +275.36) 792.39: swansonlobovO3.5/ sanchez+3.5/ winelanddodsonO2.5/ jlauNSC/ morenoNSC/ dandoisdavisDEC
30 RR for (paid +197.98) 481.33: NOTswansonITD/ NOTdodsonITD/ perryRD1/ leitesDEC/ morenoNSC/ holtzman-3.5

---

fuck. yes.

p.s. penne losing decision was BS
 
Iaquinta ITD (+159) to win 2U.
Lima (+155) to win 1U.
Lima/Vince under 1.5 (-135) to win 1U.
Artem/Cub ITD (-245) to win 1U.
Leites (-125) to win 1U.
Leites Decision (+165) to win .5U.
Moreno ITD (+1250) to win 3U.
Taylor Decision (+140) to win 1U.


Warriors win NBA Finals (-185) + Capitals win Stanley Cup (+700) + Iaquinta ITD (+159) (+3100) .5U to win 15.46U

Added Lauzon Sub (+475) to win 1U.

+5.32U overall. Happy with it. Probably should've had more on Al.
 
My expert picks DONE and ready to HIT!!!!!!!!

Sandoval 300 to win 550
Ortiz 300 to win 500
Leites 300 to win 540
Ellenberger 300 to win 720
Lauzon 300 to win 765
OSP 300 to win 450
Cub/Artem U3,5 300 to win 500
Wineland 300 to win 1300

Cub/Artem U3,5 + Leites + Holtz + Sandoval 300 to win 2100
Cub + Ellenberger + Lauzon 300 to win 2300
Cub/Artem U3,5 + Lauzon/Ray O2,5 + Holtz + Davis 300 to win 1400
Cub + OSP + Ortiz + Taylor 300 to win 1650

Not to rub it in or anything but my god how are your plays so bad ?

You always claim EXPERT PICKS so i make sure to check after the events

Youre really quite bad, and consistently bad too .....
 
Barberena + Al + Cub 4 units @ -110

Schnell 0.8 units +105

Boom! Won schnell loss back from lb and boxing but that was it lb wise just recouped schnell loss. However treble hits which is the main one. 10-1 this year 13-2 last 15 events with my big double/treble
 
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2u Leites @ +105
1u Leites + Perry + OSP @ + 400 ish

2u Leites @ +105 - WIN
1u Leites + Perry + OSP @ + 400 ish - WIN

LB - 1U SANDOVAL - WIN
1.5 PENNE - LOSS
2U LAUZON - LOSS
1U RAY @ + 400 - WIN
1U ELLENBERGER - LOSS
1U ORTIZ + HOLTZMANN + ELLENBERGER - LOSS
0.5 DODSON DECISION @ + 325 - WIN
1U OSP/DE LIMA O1.5 - LOSS
1U SWANSON/LOBOV O3.5 @ +175 - WIN
0.5U SWANSON SUB - LOSS


BOXING - LOSS OF 1U

About 5.5U up for the night. Got a bit convoluted with my LB plays, but Ray +400 justified it at the end.
 
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Third card I'm betting seriously and by far most polished lineup I've done. I have tried to keep it slick and bet only on lines I see some serious value in. No toss-up bets just in hope that my favourite would do well.

Wineland 0.5 u 4.0
0.5 u dec 7.5
Wineland - Dodson 1 u O2.5 2.45
Lauzon 1 u 2.8
0.5 u dec 5.0
Schnell 1 u 2.05
Schnell - Sandoval 0.5 u U2.5 2.75
Moreno 1 u 2.72
Perry - Ellenberg 1 u U1.5 2.0
Perry 0.5 u 1.65
OSP -Lima 0.5 u U1.5 1.78


I also made kind of experimental lineup of 0.1 u bets based just on weigh in and face off impressions: Schnell, Lauzon, Leites, Wineland, Perry, Taylor, Proctor. Curious to see how this plays out.

Edit./Added

Dodson dec 0.5 u 3.8
Dodson - Wineland O2.5 0.5 u 2.67
Alves ko rd3 0.1 17.0 (hedging risk for possible live betting scheem)

I got + 3 u from these bets and another 3 u from live bets and another Dodson - Wineman U2.5 bet I had forgotten about, so + 6 u total and +50% value on money risked. Lost money mainly on Louzon, who was my main pick and favourite fighter on the card, which kind of sucks.
 
Good event... I needed it after losing a bit last event

Schnell >> odds 2.00

U1.5 Ellenberger - Perry >> odds 2.10 (I was too big, panicked and hedged a bit before the fight)
U1,5 OSP- Lima + Barberena >> odds 2.10
Brandon Moreno >> odds 2.70
Smile'N >> odds 2.00
Lauzon >> odds 2.75

O2.5 Wineland-Dodson >> odds 2.40

Livebets and props:
Lauzon-Ray Draw >> odds 21.00
Stevie Ray >> odds 5.00
OSP >> odds 1.72

Holtzman ITD >> odds 2.87
Schnell r3 >> odds 34.00
 
Good event... I needed it after losing a bit last event

Schnell >> odds 2.00

U1.5 Ellenberger - Perry >> odds 2.10 (I was too big, panicked and hedged a bit before the fight)
U1,5 OSP- Lima + Barberena >> odds 2.10
Brandon Moreno >> odds 2.70

Smile'N >> odds 2.00
Lauzon >> odds 2.75

O2.5 Wineland-Dodson >> odds 2.40

Livebets and props:
Lauzon-Ray Draw >> odds 21.00
Stevie Ray >> odds 5.00
OSP >> odds 1.72

Holtzman ITD >> odds 2.87
Schnell r3 >> odds 34.00
Nice livebetting move on Ray! I was so pumped after first round that it didin't even cross my mind, that the fight might go any other way than it had started.
 
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