- Joined
- Dec 10, 2016
- Messages
- 1,620
- Reaction score
- 69
Added 0.5U Moreno by points @ $4.33.
1.5U on Perry @ $1.80
0.5U on Lauzon sub @ $7.00
Added 2U on Dodson/Wineland O2.5 @ $2.85.
Added 0.5U Moreno by points @ $4.33.
1.5U on Perry @ $1.80
0.5U on Lauzon sub @ $7.00
1U Alvey beats Leites @ 2.00 = $40 to profit $40.
.9U Lauzon beats Ray @ 2.60 = $35.50 to profit $56.80.
Added 0.5U Moreno by points @ $4.33.
1.5U on Perry @ $1.80
0.5U on Lauzon sub @ $7.00
Added 2U on Dodson/Wineland O2.5 @ $2.85.
+9.15uSwanson DEC (+255) risk: 0.5u +1.3u
Iaquinta TKO (+170) risk: 3u +5.1u
Wineland DEC (+1253) risk: 0.1u -0.1u
Ray DEC (+165) risk: 0.5u +1.65u *this was actually risking one unit, not half a unit. I made a mistake while transferring bets over. check my spreadsheet for confirmation
Perry (-130) risk: 1.3u +1u
Leites DEC (+165) risk: 1u +1.65u
Schnell (+100) risk: 1u -1u
Schnell ITD (+400) risk: 0.25u -0.25u
Ortiz DEC (+110) risk: 1u -1u
Taylor DEC (+159) risk: 0.5u +0.8u
Decent night, I'll take it. Would have been really nice if the main event didn't go the distance. Oh well.
I know it hit, I just never understood the OSP by SUB bet. Obviously im missing something. What made you make that bet when he's had like one legit submission his entire career?![]()
Had a shit Bellator where I lost every bet, including big-ish on Strauss. Had a HORRIBLE start to this event, including a 7.5u loss on o2.5 Moreno vs ortiz. But I #persevere. OSP sub saved me, Cub dec helped including 2ulivebet on fight goes the distance after round 1. Still only one losing weekend all year. Learned a lot from this UFC, hated the way I approached it. Ready to rest and come back more #elite than ever #neverlose #alwayswin #cantbestopped
Pezao is a quitter with shitty sub and td defense who can't win a fight after a round (also lb OSP +105) and I was confident if OSP got him on the mat hed go for a choke. Edgy Brah is high on his jits and hes active with sub attempts. +900 and +650 were batshit linesI know it hit, I just never understood the OSP by SUB bet. Obviously im missing something. What made you make that bet when he's had like one legit submission his entire career?
Yea i guess it makes sense when you put it that way. Good betPezao is a quitter with shitty sub and td defense who can't win a fight after a round (also lb OSP +105) and I was confident if OSP got him on the mat hed go for a choke. Edgy Brah is high on his jits and hes active with sub attempts. +900 and +650 were batshit lines
Iaquinta ITD (+159) to win 2U.
Lima (+155) to win 1U.
Lima/Vince under 1.5 (-135) to win 1U.
Artem/Cub ITD (-245) to win 1U.
Leites (-125) to win 1U.
Leites Decision (+165) to win .5U.
Moreno ITD (+1250) to win 3U.
Taylor Decision (+140) to win 1U.
Warriors win NBA Finals (-185) + Capitals win Stanley Cup (+700) + Iaquinta ITD (+159) (+3100) .5U to win 15.46U
My expert picks DONE and ready to HIT!!!!!!!!
Sandoval 300 to win 550
Ortiz 300 to win 500
Leites 300 to win 540
Ellenberger 300 to win 720
Lauzon 300 to win 765
OSP 300 to win 450
Cub/Artem U3,5 300 to win 500
Wineland 300 to win 1300
Cub/Artem U3,5 + Leites + Holtz + Sandoval 300 to win 2100
Cub + Ellenberger + Lauzon 300 to win 2300
Cub/Artem U3,5 + Lauzon/Ray O2,5 + Holtz + Davis 300 to win 1400
Cub + OSP + Ortiz + Taylor 300 to win 1650
Barberena + Al + Cub 4 units @ -110
Schnell 0.8 units +105
2u Leites @ +105
1u Leites + Perry + OSP @ + 400 ish
Third card I'm betting seriously and by far most polished lineup I've done. I have tried to keep it slick and bet only on lines I see some serious value in. No toss-up bets just in hope that my favourite would do well.
Wineland 0.5 u 4.0
0.5 u dec 7.5
Wineland - Dodson 1 u O2.5 2.45
Lauzon 1 u 2.8
0.5 u dec 5.0
Schnell 1 u 2.05
Schnell - Sandoval 0.5 u U2.5 2.75
Moreno 1 u 2.72
Perry - Ellenberg 1 u U1.5 2.0
Perry 0.5 u 1.65
OSP -Lima 0.5 u U1.5 1.78
I also made kind of experimental lineup of 0.1 u bets based just on weigh in and face off impressions: Schnell, Lauzon, Leites, Wineland, Perry, Taylor, Proctor. Curious to see how this plays out.
Edit./Added
Dodson dec 0.5 u 3.8
Dodson - Wineland O2.5 0.5 u 2.67
Alves ko rd3 0.1 17.0 (hedging risk for possible live betting scheem)
Nice livebetting move on Ray! I was so pumped after first round that it didin't even cross my mind, that the fight might go any other way than it had started.Good event... I needed it after losing a bit last event
Schnell >> odds 2.00
U1.5 Ellenberger - Perry >> odds 2.10 (I was too big, panicked and hedged a bit before the fight)
U1,5 OSP- Lima + Barberena >> odds 2.10
Brandon Moreno >> odds 2.70
Smile'N >> odds 2.00
Lauzon >> odds 2.75
O2.5 Wineland-Dodson >> odds 2.40
Livebets and props:
Lauzon-Ray Draw >> odds 21.00
Stevie Ray >> odds 5.00
OSP >> odds 1.72
Holtzman ITD >> odds 2.87
Schnell r3 >> odds 34.00