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Your Official UFC Fox 20 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 19, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1.75u herrig-curran O2.5 -175
    0.2u herrig DEC +255

    0.75u elkins-pepey O2.5 -150

    0.8u saenz -160

    0.9u RR (could pay 4u if all four hit)
    barb DEC
    saenz DEC
    elkins DEC
    usman DEC

    and i have a little on melendez-barboza O2.5, open parlay
     
  3. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    6u on Ngannou + Barboza at -136.


    Probably just gonna leave it as is. Looking to do most of my bets through LB.
     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2016
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Ferg (cashed) + Barboza £666 @ -118

    Barboza + Ngannou £1k @ -144

    (Feel square playing Ngannou no HW should be -600 bar the likes of Cain but as i only need Barboza to close the first parlay i therefore in my head see these two bets combined @ approx -131 which i can live with if that makes sense).
     
  5. robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    0.5u Mihajlovic +450. LMAO at low level heavyweights being -705. Coin flip.
     
  6. null Gold Belt

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    I'm top heavy on this card, Holly better not disappoint.

    Holly Holm (-300) vs Valentina Shevchenko $600.00 for $200.00
    Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
    Holly Holm wins by 5 round decision (+120) $200.00 for $240.00
    Valentina Shevchenko wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00

    Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-175) $175.00 for $100.00
    Kailin Curran wins by 3 round decision (+190) $100.00 for $190.00

    Kamaru Usman wins by 3 round decision (+119)$100.00 for $119.00
     
  7. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Lima + Holm - $130 to win $115

    Probably it for me. Other than seeing if Edson continues to evolve I really don't have much interest in this card.

    Good luck all.
     
  8. The MM Analyst Blue Belt

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    2 units Valentina Shevchenko (got her at +340)
    8 units Frankie Saenz
    12 units Darren Elkins
    2 units Curran/Herrig >2.5
    4 units on a parlay of Barboza/Usman
     
  9. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Now added Ngannou + Barboza £330 @ -136 plus Shevchenko dec £60 @ +695.
     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2016
  10. piglord Black Belt

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    James Moontasri @ 9/5
    Jim Alers @ 4/9
    Darren Elkins @ 1/2
    Eddie Wineland @ 7/5
    Alexander Yakovlev @ 9/5
    Edson Barboza @ 5/11
    Kailin Curran @ 4/5
    Francis Ngannou @ 1/6
    Valentina Shevchenko @ 5/2
    9 Folds, 1 bet * £10.00
     
  11. robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    Alright I have done my research. Knight is the best bet on the card.

    5 units on Knight @ +190.

    Last bet was 5 units on Casey @ +150, everyone doubted me and it cashed in one round. Don't make the same mistake again.
     
  12. Ruthless_RL Banned Banned

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    Valentina +275
    Herring +100
     
  13. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Starting off in a deficit due to Bellator. I did not mean to bet Field over D. Johnson twice in my parlays. Hope that works out.

    Singles
    Herrig: $8.75 to win $7.95 $16.70
    Weichel: $8.75 to win $4.61: $13.61
    Pepey (no scorecards): $7.50 to win $4.69 $7.50
    Guillard: $6.25 to win $7.50 $13.75
    Melendez (+3.5): $6.25 to win $4.17 Loss

    Knight: $5 to win $9.50 $14.50
    Wineland: $5 to win $7 $12
    Ware: $3.75 to win $2.88 $6.63

    Risk of $51.25 $84.69

    Parlays

    Field over Johnson (Canadian Open) + Usman: $7.50 to win $4.61 $12.11
    Field over Johnson (Canadian Open) + Holm: $6.25 to win $4.14 Loss

    Drysdale + Dern + Caldwell/Taimanglo ITD: $3.75 to win $3.37 $7.12
    Henrique/Smol starts 2 + Moontsari/Oliv ITD: $2.50 to win $4.71 Loss

    Prazeres + Ngannou: $2.50 to win $3.03 $5.53
    Gallagher + Field over Mickelson (British Open): $2.50 to win $1.88 $4.43
    Quayhagen + Johnson (Canadian Open): $1.25 to win $3.40 $19.19

    Sklavos: $1.25 to win $3.13 Loss
    Vargas + Quayhagen: $1.25 to win $1.50 Loss

    Risk of $28.75 $29.19

    Bellator Losses
    $7.50 Loss

    Risk of $87.50 $113.88

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $231.25 Running Profit = $66.24 (Approximate ROI for year 3.851%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2780.53 Total Profit = $2761.53 (Approximate ROI: 12.1106%)
     
    Last edited: Jul 26, 2016
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1u urbina +170
    0.1u urbina rd 3 +1400

    1u shevchenko +240

    0.2u ELkins rd 3 +1150
    0.22u pepey rd 1 +450

    And a 1u RR on overs:
    shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
     
  15. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Lima + Holm - $130 to win $115
    Usman + Barboza - $100 to win $106


    Good luck, all.
     
  16. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    1u on Herrig dec at +275
    1u on Pepey ITD at +300 (Playing it safe, wins by sub most likely if he does win)
    6u on Barboza + Ngannou at -136
    1u Prazares ITD at +225

    Waiting on people to bring the Holm line down so I can parlay with Ngannou + Barboza for small.

    Probably it for me. LB all the way.
    Good luck guys.
     
    Last edited: Jul 21, 2016
  17. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Holm dec $83.33 to win $100
    Barboza dec $71 to win $100
    Ngannou + o2.5 Herrig/Curran $65 to win $50
    Wineland/Saenz o2.5 + Brazilian Cowboy $115 to win $119
    Elkins dec $87 to win $100
    Pepey No SC $75 to win $65
    Sullivan (cancelled) + Alers $115 to win $116 (think its now maybe $50)
    Prazeres dec $15 to win $20
    Smolyakov/Henrique starts round 2 $14.40 to win $10

    Round Robin in 2s and 3s at $1.80 each -- Holm dec, Barb dec, Ngannou round 1, Herrig dec, Elkins dec, Usman dec, Prazeres dec, Oliveira itd, Alers dec. Comes out to maybe $208 to win $1400ish?

    Also, random parlay I like

    Not Shev itd + Not Herrig itd + Not Wineland itd + Not Elkins itd + Not Moontasri itd = $65 to win $115
     
  18. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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  19. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Ferg (cashed) + Barboza £666 @ -118

    Barboza + Ngannou £1k @ -144

    Ngannou + Barboza £330 @ -136 plus

    Shevchenko dec £60 @ +695

    Pepey sub £50 @ +500

    Henrique + Knight + Sullivan + Cowboy + Prazeres + Pepey + Herrig + Barboza + Shevchenko £30 for £1216 (Sullivan voided so payout now slightly less)
     
  20. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Whats up guys. I didn't post any bets for the last 4 events since I was away for all of them but to summarize: IT WENT TERRIBLE. After UFC 200 I was down 12u over those 3 events. Luckily I won 5.3u on the Lineker card but still down a lot.

    8u Barboza -161
    4u Holm/Shevchenko O4.5 -133
    2u Herrig/Curran O2.5 -172
    1u Pepey +170
    0.75u Yakovlev +200

    0.5u Pepey ITD +300
    0,37u Herrig Dec +275

    2u NOT Elkins ITD + NOT Herrig ITD -178

    Im huge on Barboza. I knew that line would get worse so kind of a line movement play but im gonna ride with it. I feel very confident. Maybe I shouldn't considering that most of my big plays has failed me recently but yeah.
     

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