Your Official UFC 201 Bets

PLEASE KEEP THIS THREAD TO BET POSTS ONLY.

discuss the fights of UFC Fox 20 here: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufc-201-lawler-vs-woodley-atlanta.3292053/

 

First round of bets, will do the second in the end of the week. I might be a bit too heavy on the ME ITD, but I have such a hard time seeing it going the distance. Will LB if round 3 starts.

 

3u McCall/Scoggings O2.5 -200
3u Lawler/Woodley O2.5 -149
2.5u Rivera/Perez O1.5 -175
1.5u Karolina +200

 

1.2u perez -120

1u velickovic +176

3.75u pearson-masvidal O2.5 -188

0.33u ellenberger DEC +480

0.55u krylov-herman U1.5 -110

 

Lawler to win in r3 @ 11 = £2 returns £22
Lawler to win by r4 KO/TKO/DQ @ 17 = £1.50 returns £25.50
Lawler to win by r5 KO/TKO/DQ @ 23 = £1.50 returns £34.50
Pearson to win by decision @ 5.00 = £5.50 returns £27.50
Matt Brown by submission @ 13.00 = £1.50 returns £19.50

 

Graves + Brown 5.7 units @ approx +100

Woodley KO r1 0.05 units @ +1000

Woodley KO r1 0.08 units @ +900

Lawler KO r4 0.14 units @ +1400

Lawler KO r5 0.14 units @ +2000

 

brown/graves £550 returns £1100.

karolina £50 returns £160.

will definitely be playing lawler after round 1.

 

UFC 201 Risk: 893
Twood-Lawler: idk
Namajunas ITD: 30 for 63.90 / namajunas SUB: 20 for 56 / KK
Brown RD2: 33 for 156.75 / brown RD3: 17 for 161.50 / ellenberger DEC: 33 for 158.40
perez -120: 180 for 150 / rivera
mccall-scoggins: idk
krylov-herman U1.5: 55 for 50
pearson-masvidal O2.5: 375 for 200
hamilton-grabowski: idk
reis-sandoval: idk
velickovic +182: 150 for 273 / graves
serrano-benoit: idk
arzamendia-brown: idk
props
parlays
---

Might just end it there. At this point it feels likeanything else that I would do would be a forced play

 

• Karolina Kowalkiewicz @ 19/10 (To Win the Bout - Match)
• Nikita Krylov to win in Round 1 @ 2/1 (Round Betting - Match)
• Anthony Hamilton - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 4/1 (Method of Victory - Match)
• Robbie Lawler - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 6/5 (Method of Victory - Match)
• Jorge Masvidal - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 10/11 (Method of Victory - Match)
• Matt Brown @ 2/7 (To Win the Bout - Match)
• Mike Graves @ 4/9 (To Win the Bout - Match)

Multiple Type: 7 fold Stake: 5.00 Possible Return: 1696.50

 

3u on Brown + Graves at +102
0.5u on Scoggins + Graves + Reis + Karolina + Brown

Playing small after a bad last week, need to get some mojo back.

Thats it for me guys.

 

Next 5 unit bet

Ryan Benoit +110. Should be around - 200

GL all

 

2.5u KK +200
2u Pearson/Masvidal O 2,5 + Brown -110

not much action so far.. will be on Lawler for sure in some way but still waiting to see how the line moves

 

I have family in this weekend and will likely miss a few fights. I definitely won't be watching most live, so I'm playing small.

Singles
Caros Fodor: $6.25 to win $3.57 $9.82
Benoit: $5 to win $5.25 $10.25
Hawes/Taylor under 2.5: $5 to win $4 $9
Herman: $3.75 to win $5.06 Loss
Grabowski: $3.75 to win $4.13 Loss
Pearson: $2.50 to win $4.75 Loss
Rivera: $2.50 to win $3.88 Loss
Giles: $2.50 to win $1.86 $4.36
Velckovic: $1.25 to win $2.65 Loss
Duke: $1.25 to win $1.88 Loss
Arzamendia: $1.25 to win $1.25 Loss

Risk of $35 $33.43

Parlays
Field over Johnson/Mcilroy (PGA Championship) + Woodley/Lawler ITD: $6.25 to win $5.01 $11.26
Field over Day/Stenson (PGA Championship) + Brown ITD: $5 to win $4.03 Loss
Reis + Moraes: $5 to win $3.34 $8.34
Inoue + Palmer: $3.75 to win $4.44 $8.19
Rose + Anderson: $3.75 to win $3.44 Loss
Field over Fowler/Walker (PGA Championship) + Grasso + Lawler: $2.50 to win $3.88 Loss

Risk of $26.25 $27.79

TOTAL RISK OF $61.25 $61.22

Spoiler

TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $231.21 Running Profit = $66.21 (Approximate ROI for year 3.717%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2780.50Total Profit = $2761.50 (Approximate ROI: 12.0781%)

 

Woodley 2u +185
Woddley RD1 1.5u +650
Woodley KO 2u +405
Woodley NSC 1u +170
Lawler RD5 .15u +1625

KK 3u +210

Brown/Ellenberger o1.5 1u +130

Rivera 2u -105

McCall 1u +205

Krylov 3u -150
Krylov/Herman u1.5 1u -115

Pearson 1u +190

Hamilton 2u -110
Hamilton DEC 1u +280

Reis DEC 1u +145

Benoit 2u +115

Parlay: Pearson/Masival o2.5 + Graves 2u

And as always, some small hail mary parlays. Also going to be adding more prop bets once the undercard full props release.

 

2.5u KK +200
2u Pearson/Masvidal O 2,5 + Brown -110
0.5u Rivera +155
0.5u Rivera Dec +400
0.5u Herman +175
0.5u Herman ITD +426

Lawler+KK+Rivera Dec+Herman ITD+Hamilton/Grabowski Dec
Risking $10.00 To Win $3,485.71

 

Tyrone Nurse+ Masvidal Dec+Leo Santa Cruz+ Lawler ko 40$ to win 320

Masvidal Dec+ Leo Santa Cruz+ Woodley 40$ to win 500

 

My only bet this week

 

100 dollar parlay

I got Woodley, Matt, and KK

to win a little over 750.

 

Wilson Reis @ 3/10
Nikita Krylov @ 5/11
Jorge Masvidal @ 4/9
Damian Grabowski @ 11/10
Michael Graves @ 4/9
Cesar Arzamendia @ 1/1
Francisco Rivera @ 6/4
Matt Brown @ 4/11
Karolina Kowalkiewicz @ 15/8
Fredy Serrano @ 4/5
Robbie Lawler @ 8/13
11 Folds, 1 bet * £5.00

 

brown, over.2.5 masvidal/ross, reis +137 .7 to win 1 unit

brown, pearson dec, hamilton dec, rivera dec, lawler itd, benoit itd +106471 .1 to win 100 units lol