Will there be voter fatigue this fall?

[Fawlty]

Back in the primaries I was predicting serious voter fatigue. The big turnouts and the giant drama seemed likely to end in election burnout. Now we've had both conventions and neither candidate is going to end up ahead by more than a few points by next week.

Will America get completely sick of this nonsense? Will the distasteful choice rear its head? Will this election set a new mark for (*shudder*) democracy? Or will it end up about average?

 

[Fawlty]

Also if anybody has analysis of how each candidate is likely to be affected by high/low turnout, that would be nice to read.

 

[JudoThrowFiasco]

Fatigue? I think there is an increased fervor for this election -- Trump broke records and has the stronger supporters (not saying the most support but the most die hard) I think the left may get a reduction from the DNC / Bernie backlash or will see a surge do to the anti trump crowd.

But I'm wagering this enthusiasm goes right till November

 

[Peteyandjia]

It will be a big voter turnout, because both sides are motivated by hate this election.

Nothing brings a large group of people together like hate.

Also I think it will be close either way, so that will get more people out on both sides.

 

[Anung Un Rama]

I'm expecting the lowest turnout since '96

 

[Fawlty]

From the ol' wiki:


Year---Voting Age Participation %

1932 52.6%
1936 56.9%
1940 58.8%
1944 56.1%
1948 51.1%
1952 61.6%
1956 59.3%
1960 62.8%
1964 61.4%
1968 60.7%
1972 55.1%
1976 53.6%
1980 52.8%
1984 53.3%
1988 50.3%
1992 55.2%
1996 49.0%
2000 50.3%
2004 55.7%
2008 57.1%
2012 54.9%

Avg since 1932: 55.6%

 

[TeTe]

I think turnout will be good, especially because women playing identity politics will vote for Hill Dog.

Then people like me will be voting for Gary Johnson because libertarian. Others will vote for him to play spoiler. Gary had 1% in 2012, it's going to be much higher this year.