With only 2 ranked wins right now, #15 and #7, I think a title eliminator is too quick, but at the same time, he has already been fairly slow-played for a popular fighter and is 7-0 in the UFC already.
I guess it depends on what the division is going to look like very soon. It is currently a division kinda barren for a next contender right now, but with: Ilia coming up, not sure if Max is sticking to his promise to move up which would be another person arguably in the line in front of Paddy, Ortega maybe moving up (which I wouldn't put in front of Paddy, but could be depending on who his first fight at LW is, and if he wins it).
If we have something like Justin moving out of line by taking Poirier's retirement fight, and Charles vs Ilia title eliminator, and Hooker is still recovering from injury, then Paddy fighting Arman next makes a lot of sense. But seeing all the names that could be up there, I think Paddy gets at least 2 more wins before a shot.
Him vs Hooker is, I think, the closest fight in terms of positioning + ranked win momentum, but it might be the option I'm least interested in.
Him vs LW Ortega is very interesting to me from a grappling perspective, but Ortega's featherweight status and downturn does nothing to help out the perception that Paddy is getting layup fights.
Maybe Paddy vs Holloway? Max at last carries value at LW unlike Ortega. But like Hooker, it's a stylistic matchup I'm not super interested in.
The big questions are: what's the current title eliminator and does DP's last fight pull anyone?
I assume Ilia vs Charles is happening, but if it isn't, either of them would be a great fight, but then Paddy could be at the title in one shot, depending if Arman does anything else. There's just too much to balance out there.
I think the best guy with a chance of being the odd man out of those 2 questions is Gaethje. If it's not an eliminator or the Dustin trilogy, then Justin is both a great name and has great current meritous value. It would be a fantastic opportunity for Paddy, and still give him room for an eliminator after. And it would give Justin a chance to put a win streak back together, over the hottest streaking contender atm