Who has a better chance in winning their next fight - Poatan or Gane?

Who has a better chance in winning their next fight - Poatan or Gane?


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Alex needs to open up more with his hands. He only threw like 11 sig strikes in the first fight. It will risk him getting taken down but he's got too to win.
 
Alex did a good job of stuffing take downs and won 2 rounds. If he comes to this fight to win and not just "fight to not lose" he may pull it off.

Tom has way more to threaten Gane with
 
That’s a tough one.

For Pereira he’s always dangerous and coming off a kind of weird performance. So you wonder whether he was just off or Ank made him off. If it’s the former, could see him fighting his fight and catching Ank, he managed to make it fairly close despite the poor performance. If it’s the latter, we’ve seen close fights that end up not so close in the rematch as the winner gains confidence.

For Gane, we kind of know who he is. But the question falls a bit more on who Aspinall is. Aspinall on paper is a much better grappler and more powerful striker. But he’s never gone deep into a fight. So could we see Gane, a generally safe fighter, drag the fight on and expose a potential weakness?

I think I lean towards Poatan because he made the first relatively close despite putting up arguably his worse performance. And he’s got the ability to land and put somebody away, something we haven’t seen as much from Gane. Tough call, I favor the champ in both but see paths for both challengers.
 
poatan. gane has been a disappointment in every title fight and I don't think he trains his deficiencies as seriously as poatan.
 
Alex needs to open up more with his hands. He only threw like 11 sig strikes in the first fight. It will risk him getting taken down but he's got too to win.
He was afraid of Ank's power after few exchanges - it was pretty obvious. Ank ate all of his shots, and Alex couldn't... Not sure why, but seems Alex's power in hands is not enough against Ank, he is tougher
 
I think Gane has improved since his fight against Jones. He won't be as one dimensional you would think. But we will see soon enough, can't wait.

Based on...getting outgrappled by Volkov?
 
Ank x Alex was a stinker 5 round decision where little action happened throughout. Ank did a lot of wall & stall, got stuffed on a dozen take down attempts, and Alex did very little offensively outside of leg kicks. I think Ank is a rightful favorite here, but there isn't any good reason to imagine its not still reasonably competitive.

Gane x Aspinall features a one-dimensional striker fighting a well rounded opponent who is a freak athlete for the division. Its MMA, anything can happen and particularly at heavyweight, statistically we get more stoppages... but Aspinall should be a comfortable favorite.
 
can you explain
poatan is a 1 dimensional striker who got outstriked
hes also like 38 years old


poatan via armbar?

Ask oddsmakers. They already saw Ank beat Poatan once and they still have Ank as about a 2-1 favorite while Aspinall is about a 4-1 favorite.

Poatan was exceedingly careful and completely lacked aggression in the first fight. Rematches rarely go the same way. I expect Poatan to come out with much more aggression and take his chances. Which quite frankly may mean him getting slept, but also gives him a chance to land something big himself.

With Gane, we can't say he has no chance. We've seen too many weird things happen in MMA. But there's no actual evidence suggesting that Gane has the answers vs Aspinall. The speed advantage that Gane normally has isn't there. Gane hasn't shown big power. He's a HW so obviously he's capable of a KO but that's unlikely. He's clearly an inferior grappler. There just aren't boxes on the Gane side of the ledger to check pre fight.
 
Alex did a good job of stuffing take downs and won 2 rounds. If he comes to this fight to win and not just "fight to not lose" he may pull it off.

Tom has way more to threaten Gane with
Its a bit weird the way people are talking about the Ank Poatan fight

For as much as Ank did definitely win it was, as you say, 3 rounds to 2. With Poatan looking well off his best. If he improves even a little it's easy to see him over turning that small deficit and taking an extra round.

Its infinitely more likely than a Gane win based on the available evidence we have
 
Ank x Alex was a stinker 5 round decision where little action happened throughout. Ank did a lot of wall & stall, got stuffed on a dozen take down attempts, and Alex did very little offensively outside of leg kicks. I think Ank is a rightful favorite here, but there isn't any good reason to imagine its not still reasonably competitive.

Gane x Aspinall features a one-dimensional striker fighting a well rounded opponent who is a freak athlete for the division. Its MMA, anything can happen and particularly at heavyweight, statistically we get more stoppages... but Aspinall should be a comfortable favorite.
Some much needed common sense and ability to rationally analyse fights... at last
 
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Alex for sure. He also hits way harder than Gane, don't get confused that just because he is HW he hits harder, Gane is a point fighter and needs a trillion punches to hurt guys, but usually goes to decision. Alex is much more dangerous. I've never been impressed with Gane as much as a lot of fans are, he is fit for HW and obviously a good athlete, but he is a bit of a powder puff puncher and also panics on the ground.

First Alex vs Ank fight was only a 3-2 decision, not much in it, just Alex needs to throw more head punches and not only leg kicks and he will probably win.
 
I don't see Gane beating Aspinall. Tom is too well rounded.

As for Ankalaev/Pereira goes I believe Ank has Alex's number, but I'll never count out Poatan in a fight & he could land a shot that sleeps Ank.

So my pick is Pereira.
 
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