Which of the following TUF winners has the highest ceiling?

[EndlessCritic]

Not even going to count Tony Ferguson and Michael Chiesa since they're both already considered elite. But with Yair and Whittaker looking fantastic last night, I thought I'd ask, among these 4 TUF winners, who's going to go the furthest?

Robert Whittaker (TUF Australia winner, 5-0 at 185 in UFC, presently ranked #7 by UFC)
Yair Rodriguez (TUF Mexico winner, 4-0 UFC)
Warlley Alves (TUF Brazil 3 winner, 4-0 UFC)
Leonardo Santos (TUF Brazil 2 winner, 4-0-1 UFC)

Seems to me Alves has a very easy fight up next against Barbarena, at least compared to Covington. Santos will likely lose to Dunham. Whittaker and Yair are likely to get pretty big steps up next.

 

[IndyCovaHart]

Efrain Escudero.

 

[Forever Young]

Lmao did you say Santos will likely lose to Dunham? Dude Dunham is nowhere near as good as he used to be. I think Santos will totally outclass him.

 

[Dick]

Lmao did you say Santos will likely lose to Dunham? Dude Dunham is nowhere near as good as he used to be. I think Santos will totally outclass him.

Nah you're wrong. Dunham is still a sleeper. He got written off after 3 losses to RDA, Cerrone and Barboza, but has looked impressive since. I wouldn't count him out at all.

 

[Forever Young]

Well, maybe. I guess we'll see. But of those four, whittaker has the highest ceiling, because middleweight is the shallowest division. As long as he keeps getting matched against guys that don't offer much in the way of takedowns, he will keep winning. In theory, that could take him to the top five for some time.

Alves is a similar story at WW. I don't think he has the skills to beat many top fives, but he is more likely to get to that level there than Yair or Santos at 45 and 55.