On paper if I look at the two fighters, AJ brings more to the table, so he looks like the one to bet on. However, when I see their last three fights in the ring, my opinion flips and I expect Wilder to win. Don't misunderstand, I think AJ has shown more 'boxing skills' as one would find in a textbook, but he has shown a tendency lately to fight in a more tepid and skittish manner. His punch selection is down, and if his output has dropped. Wilder, by contrast, has sky high confidence, and in a fight between two men that can punch, confidence can translate to better execution in the ring. Wilder's come back from the brink and not shown a timidity afterward.
I don't know if hitting hard is such an important consideration (please don't laugh), so much as taking a punch better, in the case of this fight.
I see a pick'em fight with an outcome determined by where the fight happens. 50/50 but behaviour in their last three fights tells me Wilder.