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What do you guys think about this bet

MitMcl

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i bey my friend that Tony Ferguson would become lightweight champion within the year (365 days from now). What do you guys think my chances are?

I think he beats Chiesa and is then next in line for a title shot, along with Khabib. RDA and Khabib are both difficult matches but I still like his chances in both fights.
 
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I like it. It's not happening, but...

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What odds did you get? I would've placed a lil something on 12 to 1 odds. I think Conor and Khabib get a shot first though.
 
What did you bet? Loser has to give the other a reach around.
 
Whether he can ever win at all, or not. You're not leaving yourself alot of time. Injuries, etc. 365 days can go by in a hurry.
 
It's just a $50 bet between friends. Not a big loss if I lose. Was just curious what people thought my chances were.
 
Whether he can ever win at all, or not. You're not leaving yourself alot of time. Injuries, etc. 365 days can go by in a hurry.

Yeah I'm most concerned about injuries. Also hoping RDA doesn't lose to Alvarez and get an immediate rematch as that would take up even more time.
 
Chances are good, but not great. 75% to beat Chiesa and 40% in a title fight. But there's always a chance title fight won't happen within 365 days even if he wins his next fight. Overall 20% at best.
 
i bey my friend that Tony Ferguson would become lightweight champion within the year (365 days from now). What do you guys think my chances are?

I think he beats Chiesa and is then next in line for a title shot, along with Khabib. RDA and Khabib are both difficult matches but I still like his chances in both fights.

You're gonna be pissed.

He won't loose, and he won't be granted a shot.
 
It's just a $50 bet between friends. Not a big loss if I lose. Was just curious what people thought my chances were.

Around 20-25% imo, so it was a very bad bet, but I hope you get lucky.
 
i bey my friend that Tony Ferguson would become lightweight champion within the year (365 days from now). What do you guys think my chances are?

I think he beats Chiesa and is then next in line for a title shot, along with Khabib. RDA and Khabib are both difficult matches but I still like his chances in both fights.
you're burning money unless the odds are ridiculous in your favour
 

I think Ferguson is champion material, my friend doesn't. I placed the bet to make a point more than anything, knowing full well it was risky.

I think he KO's Chiesa in impressive fashion in his next fight, asks for a title shot in his post fight interview and I'm hoping he's awarded one. In a title fight I think his chances are around 50/50.
 
I think Ferguson is champion material, my friend doesn't. I placed the bet to make a point more than anything, knowing full well it was risky.

I think he KO's Chiesa in impressive fashion in his next fight, asks for a title shot in his post fight interview and I'm hoping he's awarded one. In a title fight I think his chances are around 50/50.
He might beat Chiesa, but when it comes to the likes of Khabib, Alvarez, Melendez, Pettis, Barboza, Nate, RDA , Cerrone, I don't think he does well.
 
If he can circumvent Khabib on his way to the title shot then, IMO, he has a slight chance of beating RDA. If Khabib stands between him and the belt he's not getting the belt.
 
What odds did you get? I would've placed a lil something on 12 to 1 odds. I think Conor and Khabib get a shot first though.


This was my issue. The bet doesn't happen because the timeframe was too ambitious.
 
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