War Room OT Discussion v2

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Lead said:
@Jack V Savage , I wanted to hear your thoughts on the three title fight betting lines.
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Sort of implied from my comments on Bisping/GSP. Bovada has it dead even know (-115) for both. I lean very, very slightly toward Bisping, but I'm out on that one.

Implied odds have Garbrandt at 65% and TJD at 40%. I like Dillashaw a very tiny bit at those odds. I underestimated Cody against Cruz, really because I hadn't yet seen him show the skills he'd need to beat Cruz. I've seen them now, and fuck, he's impressive. Love the subtle footwork, putting himself in position to counter when Cruz thought he was safe. I also didn't think he could pace himself that well, but he looked great through five rounds. At this point, he really hasn't shown much vulnerability, but Dillashaw's a smart, versatile fighter who could figure something out. Maybe he can take Garbrandt down (he hasn't shown any vulnerability there, but he hasn't really been tested either). I think he has more than a 40% chance, but I'm not picking him to win. Helluva a matchup. About as good as it gets.

Not getting into it, but JJ is at -600, and I still like her a little at those odds, though it might not be worth it.
 
Jack V Savage said:
Sort of implied from my comments on Bisping/GSP. Bovada has it dead even know (-115) for both. I lean very, very slightly toward Bisping, but I'm out on that one.

Implied odds have Garbrandt at 65% and TJD at 40%. I like Dillashaw a very tiny bit at those odds. I underestimated Cody against Cruz, really because I hadn't yet seen him show the skills he'd need to beat Cruz. I've seen them now, and fuck, he's impressive. Love the subtle footwork, putting himself in position to counter when Cruz thought he was safe. I also didn't think he could pace himself that well, but he looked great through five rounds. At this point, he really hasn't shown much vulnerability, but Dillashaw's a smart, versatile fighter who could figure something out. Maybe he can take Garbrandt down (he hasn't shown any vulnerability there, but he hasn't really been tested either). I think he has more than a 40% chance, but I'm not picking him to win. Helluva a matchup. About as good as it gets.

Not getting into it, but JJ is at -600, and I still like her a little at those odds, though it might not be worth it.
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I don't know why but I like the odds for Rose for an underdog. I can see JJ throwing a lot of kicks and easily controlling it but I think JJ has been prone to getting rocked with the right shot and I question her ground game a bit as well. Call me crazy though cause I usually have the worst calls when it comes to the women's divisions.
 
Jack V Savage said:
Implied odds have Garbrandt at 65% and TJD at 40%. I like Dillashaw a very tiny bit at those odds. I underestimated Cody against Cruz, really because I hadn't yet seen him show the skills he'd need to beat Cruz. I've seen them now, and fuck, he's impressive. Love the subtle footwork, putting himself in position to counter when Cruz thought he was safe. I also didn't think he could pace himself that well, but he looked great through five rounds. At this point, he really hasn't shown much vulnerability, but Dillashaw's a smart, versatile fighter who could figure something out. Maybe he can take Garbrandt down (he hasn't shown any vulnerability there, but he hasn't really been tested either). I think he has more than a 40% chance, but I'm not picking him to win. Helluva a matchup. About as good as it gets.
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Seems spot on to me. I like TJ a little around +150. 170 and I'm sold, hopefully it gets there late.
 
Lead said:
I don't know why but I like the odds for Rose for an underdog. I can see JJ throwing a lot of kicks and easily controlling it but I think JJ has been prone to getting rocked with the right shot and I question her ground game a bit as well. Call me crazy though cause I usually have the worst calls when it comes to the women's divisions.
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It's possible. To me, they look like they're on different planets (look at how Rose A) willingly engaged Karolina in the clinch despite doing well from distance and B) got shredded in the clinch by Karolina), but I also don't have as tight a handle on the women's divisions.
 
Jack V Savage said:
It's possible. To me, they look like they're on different planets (look at how Rose A) willingly engaged Karolina in the clinch despite doing well from distance and B) got shredded in the clinch by Karolina), but I also don't have as tight a handle on the women's divisions.
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Yea, if JJ throws knees in the clinch, it could be a shit show. But I haven't seen that be a strength. She prefers the distance too which is where Rose excels as well.
 
Lead said:
Yea, if JJ throws knees in the clinch, it could be a shit show. But I haven't seen that be a strength. She prefers the distance too which is where Rose excels as well.
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You could be right, but I'm thinking JJ can wreck Rose at her range, and Rose has no escape.
 
I was going to post this in the WR "open discussion" thread, but it got locked by savagely liberal fascist nazi green party mods. So I will post it here. Just...pretend it's in there, for context.




@HomerThompson glared across the dim room, standing, erect, his bulbous shoulders golden in the lamplight, like the tops of brass bedposts.

"How do you want it?" he asked, wryly.

"Do me like a liberal!" begged Ehtheist, the corners of her mouth moist with anticipation.

In moments her feet were bouncing off the ceiling- repeatedly- her body contorted into strange and fantastic new poses, receiving all the raw male determination of Homer. She nearly fainted. Twice. Huffing, puffing, heaving, she asked for another. "Do me like a conservative!" she squealed, eyes shot red with passion. Homer frowned, and laid on top her, nearly motionless, possibly weeping. Ehtheist was well-used to this, and while it brought her no pleasure, it served as a palate cleanser for her desire.

"Do me like a Libertarian!" she cried at last. Homer frowned again, and reached across her slippery form to retrieve his wallet. "You can swipe your Visa right here" said Ehtheist, parting her thighs slightly. Homer, a savvy politician himself, knew she wasn't lying. But he was short on cash, and replied, as was customary, "How about my daughter's mountain bike in exchange for 17.5 minutes of moderate sex?"

Eighteen minutes later, both of them nearly spent, lying on their backs next to one another and staring at the ceiling- with occasional white popcorn ceiling stuff falling into their eyes- she had one last request of her broad-and-boldly-shouldered lover. At a near whisper she asked, "Homer, will you please, please, do me like an Independent?" He began to honor her request. But then, he hesitated. At the taint. He hesitainted, unsure which direction to go...
 
Fawlty said:
I was going to post this in the WR "open discussion" thread, but it got locked by savagely liberal fascist nazi green party mods. So I will post it here. Just...pretend it's in there, for context.




@HomerThompson glared across the dim room, standing, erect, his bulbous shoulders golden in the lamplight, like the tops of brass bedposts.

"How do you want it?" he asked, wryly.

"Do me like a liberal!" begged Ehtheist, the corners of her mouth moist with anticipation.

In moments her feet were bouncing off the ceiling- repeatedly- her body contorted into strange and fantastic new poses, receiving all the raw male determination of Homer. She nearly fainted. Twice. Huffing, puffing, heaving, she asked for another. "Do me like a conservative!" she squealed, eyes shot red with passion. Homer frowned, and laid on top her, nearly motionless, possibly weeping. Ehtheist was well-used to this, and while it brought her no pleasure, it served as a palate cleanser for her desire.

"Do me like a Libertarian!" she cried at last. Homer frowned again, and reached across her slippery form to retrieve his wallet. "You can swipe your Visa right here" said Ehtheist, parting her thighs slightly. Homer, a savvy politician himself, knew she wasn't lying. But he was short on cash, and replied, as was customary, "How about my daughter's mountain bike in exchange for 17.5 minutes of moderate sex?"

Eighteen minutes later, both of them nearly spent, lying on their backs next to one another and staring at the ceiling- with occasional white popcorn ceiling stuff falling into their eyes- she had one last request of her broad-and-boldly-shouldered lover. At a near whisper she asked, "Homer, will you please, please, do me like an Independent?" He began to honor her request. But then, he hesitated. At the taint. He hesitainted, unsure which direction to go...
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I thought you were channeling Senri for a second there.

Then it got weird.
 
Fawlty said:
I was going to post this in the WR "open discussion" thread, but it got locked by savagely liberal fascist nazi green party mods. So I will post it here. Just...pretend it's in there, for context.


@HomerThompson glared across the dim room, standing, erect, his bulbous shoulders golden in the lamplight, like the tops of brass bedposts.

"How do you want it?" he asked, wryly.

"Do me like a liberal!" begged Ehtheist, the corners of her mouth moist with anticipation.

In moments her feet were bouncing off the ceiling- repeatedly- her body contorted into strange and fantastic new poses, receiving all the raw male determination of Homer. She nearly fainted. Twice. Huffing, puffing, heaving, she asked for another. "Do me like a conservative!" she squealed, eyes shot red with passion. Homer frowned, and laid on top her, nearly motionless, possibly weeping. Ehtheist was well-used to this, and while it brought her no pleasure, it served as a palate cleanser for her desire.

"Do me like a Libertarian!" she cried at last. Homer frowned again, and reached across her slippery form to retrieve his wallet. "You can swipe your Visa right here" said Ehtheist, parting her thighs slightly. Homer, a savvy politician himself, knew she wasn't lying. But he was short on cash, and replied, as was customary, "How about my daughter's mountain bike in exchange for 17.5 minutes of moderate sex?"

Eighteen minutes later, both of them nearly spent, lying on their backs next to one another and staring at the ceiling- with occasional white popcorn ceiling stuff falling into their eyes- she had one last request of her broad-and-boldly-shouldered lover. At a near whisper she asked, "Homer, will you please, please, do me like an Independent?" He began to honor her request. But then, he hesitated. At the taint. He hesitainted, unsure which direction to go...
Click to expand...

Sorry, not believable, no toes.
 
Ok
Lead said:
We intend on stating something soon.
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wait.gif~original

Wadtucket said:
You should write a bit about it bruv
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Lol people keep asking me to write a sherdog bit. I'll start working on one next week.
 
Jack V Savage said:
You could be right, but I'm thinking JJ can wreck Rose at her range, and Rose has no escape.
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If i was a gambler i really think rose is locked in and tight for this fight and shes gonna armbar or choke something on JJ and early (1st 2nd rd)
im also rooting for TJ simply because i cannot stand cody and his "dude bro" mentality
 
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