Umar Nurmagomedov is a -700 favorite over Mario Bautista (+450)

lsa said:
I could eat
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I am kinda hungry today

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WoozyFailGuy said:
Umar is good, but damn, those odds on Mario scream "pick me" for a fight I saw as a stiff test for a returning Umar.
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What do you guys think? Is this one of the more "value" bets of recent times?
Am I highly overrating Mario's ability to sneak two rounds?
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Isn't this fight in Abu Dhabi? Check the record of Dagistani guys and Muslims in general in that region of the world. How often do they lose?
 
At Betonline last night Nurmagomedov was -550 and now it's already -625. Was thinking about parlaying Mumagomedov and Aspinall at like -205 but I'm just going to ride my bets with Aspinall.
 
Jackonfire said:
Umar gassed halfway through the 2nd round in his last fight. This one only being 3 rounds favors him
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Merab vs Umar was made on under 2 months notice, I believe it was announced it December last year. I wouldn't say Umar had a full camp to be at 100%. No excuses of course, Merab beat him fair and square. But I definitely don't think Umar has cardio problems overall.
 
I'm gonna throw some money on Mario. That guy just seems like he's an incredibly hard worker that also has some talent.

He easily outstrikes Umar, and he can wrestle. If Umar can't get the takedowns, it's lights out for him.
 
Alpha_T83 said:
I'm gonna throw some money on Mario. That guy just seems like he's an incredibly hard worker that also has some talent.

He easily outstrikes Umar, and he can wrestle. If Umar can't get the takedowns, it's lights out for him.
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"Easily outstrikes Umar" lol what? Umar is a pretty solid striker. He spent plenty of time on the feet vs Sandhagen with little difficulty.
 
svmr_db said:
"Easily outstrikes Umar" lol what? Umar is a pretty solid striker. He spent plenty of time on the feet vs Sandhagen with little difficulty.
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He is. But I think Mario is a better striker.
 
WoozyFailGuy said:
Umar is good, but damn, those odds on Mario scream "pick me" for a fight I saw as a stiff test for a returning Umar.
View attachment 1117418

What do you guys think? Is this one of the more "value" bets of recent times?
Am I highly overrating Mario's ability to sneak two rounds?
Click to expand...
Sir, I had Umar winning aginst Merab.. fight me.
 
It would seem tempting but I don’t think Mario is really on his level especially when you take there last couple of performances into account. Umar although he lost to merab gave a good account of himself, and dominated Sandhagen prior to that.

Bautista got a robbery over an old Jose Aldo and an ok win over Mix. Umar should have no problem taking Bautista down and holding him there. Bautista really has to level up here to get a win and judging by his last two performances he’s hit his ceiling as a fighter.
 
svmr_db said:
Merab vs Umar was made on under 2 months notice, I believe it was announced it December last year. I wouldn't say Umar had a full camp to be at 100%. No excuses of course, Merab beat him fair and square. But I definitely don't think Umar has cardio problems overall.
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Regardless of when it was booked Umar hadn't fought in 6 months while knowing his next opponent was guaranteed to be merab for 5 of those months. If he didn't get a full camp in preparation team Khabib is garbage.
 
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