UFN 136 PBP/Discussion

The fight should be be 2-1 for Kuchenko, id even lean towards 3-0 more so than 2-1 Alves imo regardless of location. Alves is still competing though, hope the oddsmakers keep putting out odds like this on him. We saw that value come through on Diego and Miller last week.
 
So even though Shamil is Russian, I think the crowd will be cheering for Arlovksi, cancelling out the bias. Arlovski should win a decision.
 
The fight should be be 2-1 for Kuchenko, id even lean towards 3-0 more so than 2-1 Alves imo regardless of location. Alves is still competing though, hope the oddsmakers keep putting out odds like this on him. We saw that value come through on Diego and Miller last week.
R2 was clear Alves and R1 was a pure coin flip imo Alves landed a bit more in R1 but Kunch did push the pace
 
I think Alves would have lost either way, agree about Kajan though.
I kind of like Kajan, wish he had won here, but we'll probably going to have to watch him in Bellator from now as this was his last fight on his contract and they want to get rid of him
 
Hunto -114 on Pinnacle, need Arlovski or Blachowicz to win so I got some funds there to bet more on him
 
On Hunt, Arlovski, Blachowicz. Not feeling good about it either.
 
bad card to go value hunting, fucking hell was on kajan and alves (albeit small).
 
Keep going, Arlovski, Blachowicz and Hunto left to end this night

I don't trust fading fighters as a personal rule, but Arlovski is a definite value bet at these odds. Blachowicz is a definite maybe, maybe worth 2U at these odds. I'll see how my fancy tickles me!
 
I kind of like Kajan, wish he had won here, but we'll probably going to have to watch him in Bellator from now as this was his last fight on his contract and they want to get rid of him

He's lucky uncle Dana didn't put a hit out on him.

ezgif.com-resize-93.gif
 
Stylistically I get it, but it's still a HW fight. I have to play FDNGD at +130 here.
 
I don't trust fading fighters a personal rule, but Arlovski is a definite value bet at these odds. Blachowicz is a definite maybe, maybe worth 2U at these odds. I'll see how my fancy tickles me!
I'd feel safer betting more on Blachowicz than Arlovski, he is tough af and hard to finish and Krylov never been to a decision. With 40 year olds HWs you never know how it will go (I know I'm contradicting myself as I'm going big on Hunt lol)
 
bad card to go value hunting, fucking hell was on kajan and alves (albeit small).
its hard to predict the level of bias when we never had ufc in russia.. but the value was massive on both Alves and Kajan imo so we should not be too sad even though we lost those bets
 
Back
Top