UFN 104 - Bermudez vs Korean Zombie - Houston

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MMA Gambling Expert said:
Andrade doesn't deserve to be such a big favourite, Hill is live. A higher percentage of underdogs cash in WMMA. There have been two WMMA fights this year in the UFC and favourites won both times. And I doubt five WMMA favourites cash in a row, a dog is due, Hill is that dog. I'm not picking her because of probability though.
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1. Find a roulette table where past last 15 spins have been red
2. Bet networth on black
3. High five everyone as you easily double your life's savings

Of course that's what a successful plan would look like in the imaginary world you live in. In current world you're just a complete fuckwit. Good luck
 
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And 5 favourites cashin don't affect "probabilities" (probably a fancy word when used at the trailer park) of the 6th fight.
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
Yeah I'm well aware of that argument, as I already said it's not the reason I'm picking Hill but it is something to note (already said that twice lol).

But when the last time five female favourites cashed in a row though? I never base picks on probability but I do pay attention to it.
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No, its not something to note. The fact that you "pay attention to it" means that it has some influence on your capping. It could be a microscopic amount but its still incorrect to think that way. Arguing for Hill is one thing, and i agree that she's the right side according to the odds, but keep the analysis to how a fight will play out and not to how many wmma favorites can win before a dog needs to hit
 
LOL just realized my post is super condescending. My bad @MMA Gambling Expert didnt mean for it to come out that way. but i cant stand illogical arguments
 
iGnP said:
LOL just realized my post is super condescending. My bad @MMA Gambling Expert didnt mean for it to come out that way. but i cant stand illogical arguments
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It's cool, maybe I shouldn't have said "a dog is due". When I say that I mean a dog is expected to come through sooner or later, there is no certainty though. I do pay attention to statistics like that but they never influence my bets. I can't remember the last time 5 WMMA favourites came through in a row though and I think it is worthy to note that a higher percentage of dogs cash in WMMA.
 
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DevilsAvocado said:
1. Find a roulette table where past last 15 spins have been red
2. Bet networth on black
3. High five everyone as you easily double your life's savings

Of course that's what a succesful plan would look like in the imaginary world you live in. In current world you're just a complete fuckwit. Good luck
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LOL why you so mad though? You must of bet on Cerrone

And you clearly don't understand what I said. Stop being so salty man cmon.
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
It's cool, maybe I shouldn't have said "a dog is due". When I say that I mean a dog is expected to come through sooner or later, there is no certainty though. I do pay attention to statistics like that but they never influence my bets. I can't remember the last time 5 WMMA favourites came through in a row though and I think it is worthy to note that a higher percentage of dogs cash in WMMA.
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It's all variance, don't overthink it
 
" Remember ring rust is nothing more than mental weakness " - Cruz
Lookin at Korean Zombie shape, that he trains from months, Benson support is there and the odds are fantastic. I know it's 3.5 y but imo that legend is worth to stab with couple of $

Never was impressed with Bermudez and Zombie is super important UFC asset, just thinking why they would decide to put him at me if there would be obvious chance of loosing - well...
 
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