UFN 103: Rodriguez vs. Penn - Phoenix

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Sham5916910 said:
5 units?
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H h h h heeeellllssssss no

No fighter on this card is 5 units worthy. It'll be 2 units max.

I'm really hoping for good live bet opportunities. I need to load up my Paddy account and hope they do business as usual
 
Oblivian said:
I was waiting on Held to get better than +120. Maybe that was a mistake.
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just got him at +125, only for £80 but i figure the line is going to move and held is being undervalued because he gassed at altitude against a cardio machine.
 
Joseph Budden said:
Your confidence level is high for this parlay? Man I want to revert to my old ways and play those fights with the same two teamer, and so far from what i've seen it seems like the prices are right, i'm just nervous af about all parties involved being low level
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Those are my concerns.

If Lauzon was on the prelims of a normal card at even money against Held, would I bet him? Yes.

If Joachim Christensen was on the fight pass prelims of a normal UFC card, would I bet on him against anyone, even Stephen Hawking? Hells no, so I'm not going to just because he's on this bum card.

I'm not putting my money on and trusting shitty low level fighters anymore.
 
Joseph Budden said:
Your confidence level is high for this parlay? Man I want to revert to my old ways and play those fights with the same two teamer, and so far from what i've seen it seems like the prices are right, i'm just nervous af about all parties involved being low level
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i've analysed that parlay to death, i think it only fails if klose gasses or bojan gets his lay and pray on.
 
piglord said:
i've analysed that parlay to death, i think it only fails if klose gasses or bojan gets his lay and pray on.
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Yeah that's the conclusion I've been coming to too. I actually think this bum Bojan might score a td in the first round, I'm just hoping Christensens cardio doesn't look as shit as the last fight.
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
I'm a Multi-sports parlay specialist
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This is cringeworthy. You must be really popular. It is such a low number of people that can actually do this for a living, and someone who plays alot of parlays in alot of different sports is just in the top 1 percent of sportsbettors. Do you mind I ask , what kind of sports you play? Do you have a public database with your bets?
 
Joseph Budden said:
Your confidence level is high for this parlay? Man I want to revert to my old ways and play those fights with the same two teamer, and so far from what i've seen it seems like the prices are right, i'm just nervous af about all parties involved being low level
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I think Bojan and Powell are two of the worst fighters on the roster. Are Klose and Chris world beaters? No. But i think they both deal with these bums. Go watch Bojan and Powell fight and bear in mind the quality of opposition they are fighting it's cringe worthy.

Bojan will try and cage hug or if he gets a takedown just sit in Chris's guard. You ain't winning a decision doing that under the new judging criteria. Bojan is all about lnp Chris just needs to mount some meaningful offence standing to win the decision. That's how i see that fight going worst case scenario. Powell is terrible standing i see Klose smashing him up on the fence or worst case grinding a win with takedowns as Powell has no ability to get back to his feet from the bottom.
 
like sham said, bojan's style is straight outta the 1990s. hook, hook, hug, lay and pray. that might work against cans in the "serban battle championship" league but anyone decent is going to be able to handle that approach.
 
Chris is still a 38 yo can. Don't be surprised if he gasses after 1 round again and loses the last 2 via hugging
 
I've decided i'm hitting Saunders moneyline. Saunders will kick the fuck out of him at range, if Court comes in the pocket Saunders will work him over in the clinch, and if Court scores tds I trust Saunders guard enough to outwork Court or possibly even sub him. A lot less paths to victory for Court the more I think about this one.
 
Buddy Brown said:
Chris is still a 38 yo can. Don't be surprised if he gasses after 1 round again and loses the last 2 via hugging
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Hes beaten some legit comp Bojan has faced awful comp. And Chris was easily winning r2 including dropping Frank.
 
piglord said:
like sham said, bojan's style is straight outta the 1990s. hook, hook, hug, lay and pray. that might work against cans in the "serban battle championship" league but anyone decent is going to be able to handle that approach.
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lol @ serbian battle championship!
 
Joseph Budden said:
I've decided i'm hitting Saunders moneyline. Saunders will kick the fuck out of him at range, if Court comes in the pocket Saunders will work him over in the clinch, and if Court scores tds I trust Saunders guard enough to outwork Court or possibly even sub him. A lot less paths to victory for Court the more I think about this one.
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I like Saunders too but will probably put a bit in his DEC line as well at +225.
 
No matter how bad Bojan is there's still going to be a point in the fight where you're worried about your bet on Chris. I don't think he's going to look like a -300 or whatever it is
 
Just been watching some tape on Christensen. Believe me I'd love to fade Bojan as much as anybody, but I'm with Robbie on this one, you just can't trust a guy like this to get it done. He looks old and slow in all the footage I've seen and he hasn't got any younger since then. He throws with aggression but doesn't seem to have a lot of power. Looks weak in the clinch. Also has poor top control when he gets guys in good positions.

This could easily be a 3 round humping contest and who knows what the judges will do so I'm shitting out of this one.
 
4 units staked on chris and klose. Reminds me of betting on bum fights in school i was good at that
 
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