UFN 103: Rodriguez vs. Penn - Phoenix

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Nice to see Bookie Beatdown posted in full on YouTube. Downloaded it to watch on the plane to Vegas tomorrow.
 
I for one don't get why people like to shit on fights between unknown fighters. If people know less about them there is a lot more room to find edges with proper research.
 
Guys in a striking match bojan is getting worked. He has no standup he literally throws a lame jab or kick. I watched his last 8 fights he landed nothing significant standing. Even on the mat his tko wins from gnp are just from overwhelming lame opponents. They are so bad he hits a td, mounts them instantly, gnp and ref calls it off.

He got out cage hugged by a bum two fights ago he only won cos of two dodgy point deductions. I will be surprised if he even takess chris down but then im not worried. He will sit in his guard mount no offence and get stood up.
 
Bookie beatdown swaying me towards buying out of Lauzon
I'm saving it to watch tomorrow, but just remember: Held has to fight a completely different style than he did last time by not just going for the leg locks AND he has to not gas like he did last time to be worth his line here.Those are two significant assumptions in my opinion. Maybe he'll do it, but who knows? Lauzon just has to fight like himself to win this.
 
Rodriguez by tko or dec @1.40
I like this... Imo Yair not finish BJ.
 
After seeing the discussion around White/Martins I went back and re-evaluated. I stand by Martins 'should' win but I've cashed out of the parlay including him.

It could be related to the neck injury but his head sits very high and rigid. He took a beating in R1 in the Felipe fight before he began a viable offense on the feet - once he did there was some promise however. He also appears to have very poor timing on his wrestling - but does have some nice trips and tricks on the cage to bring it to the ground. That's the real factor here - it's a blue belt versus a brown belt who wants to use his grappling. The submission is a very likely possibility but no where near the certainty I need for a parlay.

White is a middling kickboxer, but he could be enough to force a pace on Martins that he can't handle. The offence is fairly even despite this and Martins should have a power advantage. Don't forget, we saw White look good against Lobov, you can throw a combination a lot easier when someone has to step into it to counter. With gas issues being apparent, they always look far worse when someone is eating punches. One small point is that if White gets too confident he could start going for ill advised takedowns which might give Martins a saving grace later in a losing fight.

Like I said, there's enough that Martins 'should' win but there isn't the value on him SU. There's also the injuries and you have no clue what's going to come out the other side. White backers may have a better chance than the odds suggest. I'm probably looking at Martins ITD but I'm going to wait a little longer for the odds to settle.
 
After seeing the discussion around White/Martins I went back and re-evaluated. I stand by Martins 'should' win but I've cashed out of the parlay including him.

It could be related to the neck injury but his head sits very high and rigid. He took a beating in R1 in the Felipe fight before he began a viable offense on the feet - once he did there was some promise however. He also appears to have very poor timing on his wrestling - but does have some nice trips and tricks on the cage to bring it to the ground. That's the real factor here - it's a blue belt versus a brown belt who wants to use his grappling. The submission is a very likely possibility but no where near the certainty I need for a parlay.

White is a middling kickboxer, but he could be enough to force a pace on Martins that he can't handle. The offence is fairly even despite this and Martins should have a power advantage. Don't forget, we saw White look good against Lobov, you can throw a combination a lot easier when someone has to step into it to counter. With gas issues being apparent, they always look far worse when someone is eating punches. One small point is that if White gets too confident he could start going for ill advised takedowns which might give Martins a saving grace later in a losing fight.

Like I said, there's enough that Martins 'should' win but there isn't the value on him SU. There's also the injuries and you have no clue what's going to come out the other side. White backers may have a better chance than the odds suggest. I'm probably looking at Martins ITD but I'm going to wait a little longer for the odds to settle.
Yep. You watched the tape. +240 on White is off.
 
Klose looked good on tape but be careful, he only fought bums and altough powel looked pretty meh on tape he is propably the best guy Klose has faced att this point in his career
 
Klose looked good on tape but be careful, he only fought bums and altough powel looked pretty meh on tape he is propably the best guy Klose has faced att this point in his career

Same can be said about Powell though.
 
Zane thinks Powell is worth a small bet
Both think White is worth a small bet

Interesting

lol @ betting Powell.. i can undestand passing but i would not even touch Powell if he was +400
 
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Klose looked good on tape but be careful, he only fought bums and altough powel looked pretty meh on tape he is propably the best guy Klose has faced att this point in his career

true but its obvious his skills are solid and he could be a solid prospect.. he comes from a good camp and been wrestling since he was a little kid.. Powell on the other hand fought even bigger bums, comes from a noname camp and got zero wrestling or striking skills
 
Klose looked good on tape but be careful, he only fought bums and altough powel looked pretty meh on tape he is propably the best guy Klose has faced att this point in his career

Disagree. Joshua Aveles who he drew with is his best opponent to date including Powell. Aveles has 19 KO wins out of 24 wins and has only lost one of his last 12 fights. Hes a dangerous guy. Klose is definitely the best guy Powell has faced. The only decent guy Powell has faced he got an absolute gift decision against when he lost imo 30-27.
 
From Lauzon on his shorts colour - https://www.reddit.com/r/MMA/comments/5nn7aw/ufc_fight_night_phoenix_lauzon_vs_held_episode_1/

I am in the red corner, but wearing blue shorts. Americans can choose from black, white and blue.

Marcin is in the blue corner, but wearing red shorts. Polish fighters can choose from black, white and red.

So I am red corner wearing blue. Marcin is blue corner wearing red. I argue this is confusing for judges. I was told it would not be changing.

In my fight with Jim Miller... I was the red corner wearing blue. Most people thought I won, but Jim got the decision. So when the judges put down BLUE WON, did they mean the blue corner or the blue shorts. Writing down BLUE meant blue corner, but it could be confusing.

------

We switched to black. He will still be red in the blue corner, but that's all we can do.
 
Bojan's penultimate fight before he made his UFC debut:



He lost that fight two dubious point deductions saved him. He got out cage hugged by a bum whos lost 8 of his last 11 lol. His striking is even worse than i thought now i have analysed properly. He ducks his head to throw a telegraphed overhand, and when pushed onto the back foot his chin is sky high. He is very, very awkward striking.

I just rewatched Christiensen against Frank and i think he looked pretty solid. I think he landed the better strikes in r1 and he was handily winning r2. He went for the choke from half guard and it cost him up until then it was his fight. He is going to box Bojan's head off.
 
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