UFC on ESPN+ 25 Anderson vs Blachowicz II Official Bets

[carolinagrapple]

I have several $2 parlays with $10k payouts with Lando draw + Diego draw plus prop x...

 

[HeadsUpPoker]

Bought out of Jim miller:

2u on Scott Holtzman at 1.72

Last bets added for the day:

0.5u on Nathaniel woods at 1.65
0.5u on Nathaniel woods DEC at 2.15

1u on Paiva NSC at 1.57

1u on Bontorin at 2.25

Considered Borella also.

 

[null]

UFC on ESPN+ 25 Risk $1,810.08

Corey Anderson vs Jan Błachowicz: No Bet

Michel Pereira/Diego Sanchez Under 1½ (+127) $100.00 for $127.00

Mara Romero Borella (+160) vs Montana De La Rosa $100.00 for $160.00

Brok Weaver (-280) vs Kazula Vargas $280.00 for $100.00

Ray Borg (-139) vs Rogerio Bontorin $276.00 for $200.00

Lando Vannata (-120) vs Yancy Medeiros $120.00 for $100.00
Lando Vannata (-120) vs Yancy Medeiros $120.00 for $100.00

Tim Means vs Daniel Rodriguez : No Bet

John Dodson vs Nathaniel Wood: No Bet

Scott Holtzman (-140) vs Jim Miller $280.00 for $200.00

Devin Clark vs Dequan Townsend: No Bet

Merab Dvalishvili (-165) vs Casey Kenney $330.00 for $200.00

Macy Chiasson/Shanna Young Under 1½ (-102) $204.08 for $200.00

Mark De La Rosa vs Raulian Paiva: No Bet

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Rough outing last weekend but my degen senses tell me this will go better

Corey by dec
Pereira
Lando
Borg
Montana
Jim Miller
Wood
Merab
Brok/Means
Mark De La Rosa
Clark/Macy

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Only taped 4 fights this week due to various reasons, including being annoyed at being the victim of 2 robberies last weekend. Borella-MDLR is a no-bet although I might play a prop later, and Wood-Dodson is also a no-bet, although I'm eyeing a live-bet.

4u on Anderson at -190
2u on Holtzman at -140

 

[Deleted member 316645]

Yancy 3u
Miller 2u
Sanchez 2u
Miller + Sanchez 1u for 5u
.6u Sanchez ITD +550ish

Posting this right before the Miller fight. I think I'm on the wrong end of this one.

 

[2020Tracked]

Cashed out on Borg

 

[2020Tracked]

Cashed out on Borg

But shouldn't have, dominant here

 

[HeadsUpPoker]

1u on Lando Vannata at 2.45 = +1.45

1u on Jim Miller at 2.45 = -1u

1u on Raulian Paiva at 1.80 = +0.8u

Hitting openers is not good long-term know, but very rarely am i online to capitalize on it.

Bought out of Jim miller:

2u on Scott Holtzman at 1.72 = +1.44u

Last bets added for the day:

0.5u on Nathaniel woods at 1.65 = -0.5
0.5u on Nathaniel woods DEC at 2.15 = -0.5u

1u on Paiva NSC at 1.57 = +0.57u

1u on Bontorin at 2.25 = -1u

Considered Borella also.

Fine event. Total loss/profit: +1.26u
Bontorin was a bad bet i guess. Got dominated during the whole fight. I am glad i switched on the Miller fight, so i dont really count that as a bad bet. Nathaniel woods getting caught was surprising. Only regret is the Bontorin bet. As long as the pre-bets are in the positive, small or big, i am happy.

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

Not much I like on this card.

Lando + Holtzman: 1u for 1.5u WIN
1u Chiasson under 2.5 rounds LOSE
1u Sanchez @ +140 WIN
1u Sanchez @ +450 WIN

+7u

 

[2020Tracked]

Paiva at 1.57 for 2 units
Weaver at 1.55 for 1 units
Ray Borg at 2.00 for 1.5 units
Davisiville 1.60 for 2 units
Pereira at 1.80 for 1 units

Looking at possibly playing Jim Miller also.

Everything but Pereira hits, but obviously Pereira was the right call.

 

[Sono07]

Still recovering from that shit show last week. Careful guys these fellows are still wild in the west.

●Jan +5 1\2 points 2u for 1.5u
I think Jan "John" can make this close
●Pereira 3u for 2u
Gonna feel real dumb if Sanchez grapple fucks him but this seems easy
●Montana DLR 5u for 4u
her opponent is a smaller late replacement vs a grappler and she looked spent on the scale.
●Weaver 2.5u for 1u
He should have a grappling advantage here
●Holtzman 2u for 1.5u
He seems to be the faster better prepared fighter here

Props and Parlays
.75u for 7.5u
Clark -3 1/2 points
Holtzman DEC
Yan +5 1/2 points

2.5u for 16.5u
Pereira+Clark+MontanaDLR+Weaver+
Holtzman

2u for 53u
Holtzman+Wood+Means+Vannata+
Weaver+Montana+Clark+Pereira

Weird night but I'll take it my big calls paid off. Fucking sanchez though.
●Jan +5 1\2 points +1.5u
●Pereira -2u
●Montana +4u
●Weaver +1u
●Holtzman +1.5u

Clark -3 1/2 points
Holtzman DEC
Yan +5 1/2 points
+7.5U

-4.5u in parlays mainly shitted by that last knee. I'll take it though. Almost forgot
-1u live on Bontorin or what his name was

+8U I believe. I was hoping for more but I'll take it after last week.

 

[2020Tracked]

Added

Jim Miller 2.20 for 0.5 unit

And a couple of props for fun

John Dodson ITD at 6.00 for 0.25 unit
Rodriguez ITD at 4.50 for 0.25
Townsend ITD at 4.50 for 0.25

8.75 unit risk in total, fairly big on this card in the end, don't expect to add much of anything else unless some over/unders appeal to me.

Miller let me down, 2 out of 3 fun props hit, I also got more on Rodriguez after round 1 at 3.30 which was crazy.

And I just missed on this...

 

[Sadistics]

Anderson -140 $1400
Anderson DEC +175 $250

Borella/DLR O2.5 -285 $600

Weaver -180 $3800
Weaver/Vargas U2.5 +185 $195

Borg -104 $900

Means -235 $1680

Miller +153 $400
Miller/Holtzman O2.5 -123 $200

Clark -225 $800
Clark/Townsend O2.5 -163 $2000

Dvalishvili -133 $800

Chiasson -407 $2040
Chiasson/Young U1.5 +123 $600

Paiva -147 $2000

I believe this is my biggest card ever, hate that it's in NM. May add to Merab and a couple props. Btw I always list my consolidated prices, post arbs etc

+$4280. Was nervous going into this after last week with near 20k risked, happy with the results, though it's hard to appreciate profit after losing on the last fight. Feel like I dodged a bullet with Weaver.

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Only taped 4 fights this week due to various reasons, including being annoyed at being the victim of 2 robberies last weekend. Borella-MDLR is a no-bet although I might play a prop later, and Wood-Dodson is also a no-bet, although I'm eyeing a live-bet.

4u on Anderson at -190
2u on Holtzman at -140

Added

0.4u on Mark de la Rosa at +325 after round 1 (miss)
1.4u on Chiasson at -710 (hit)

So overall, -2.8u for the night. Honestly, very happy with my reads and decision-making throughout. I thought Blach's only chance to win (which I rated as around 20%) was to hit the perfect flush counter or hit a series of hard, flush connects...and the former is exactly what he did.

I still think Anderson wins this fight 8 times out of 10, but meh, that's what happens with big guys wearing 4 ounce gloves.

 

[2020Tracked]

+$4280. Was nervous going into this after last week with near 20k risked, happy with the results, though it's hard to appreciate profit after losing on the last fight. Feel like I dodged a bullet with Weaver.

I never even once looked at Jan all week, my head was just saying Corey, but I didn't like the price. Wish I had looked into it

 

[Sadistics]

I never even once looked at Jan all week, my head was just saying Corey, but I didn't like the price. Wish I had looked into it

If you had looked it into it I'm pretty confident you would've bet Corey

 

[2020Tracked]

If you had looked it into it I'm pretty confident you would've bet Corey

Yeah probably, but I feel like I've had an eye for a dog the past few events, who knows. No big deal.

Congratulations on your night, we had a lot of similar picks.

 

[grndzro]

Had 250 on Daniel Rodriguez. Made 650 profit

 

[BigSteve]

+3u, was looking at breaking 10u first time ever with Corey to go. Got greedy and added him by points too. Can't be too greedy profit is profit after all.

Live betting was gold this event. Just over 1u on Rodriguez after rd1. Borg 0.5u and Holzman just under a unit after Rd 1.