UFC FN 140 PBP/Discussion

Grappling is enough to get you by in low level wmma
 
You guys need to stop these circle jerks, where is it getting you?
 
Made these before the weigh-ins.... - minus $110 on Botelho Hedge after weigh-ins.

11/17/2018 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1531 Calvillo wins by submission* +450 vs Any other result V
Risking $25.00 To Win $112.50
11/17/2018 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1531 Calvillo wins by submission* +471 vs Any other result V
Risking $10.00 To Win $47.10
11/17/2018 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1540 Calvillo (scorecards = no action)* +160 vs Botelho (scorecards = no action) V
if fight goes to scorecards all wagers are no action
Risking $65.00 To Win $104.00
 
easy money.. looking bad on scales and being overweight means nothing. people who miss weight rather win
 
2-0 so far tonight

Johnny Walker is up next, Khalil gonna give it up
 
My boy Yoel looked like shit at the weigh ins too and he was dropping Bobby all over the place making juice players sweat. Decision could have gone his way. Win is a win though eh.
 
Welp! Calvillo prepared well, catching Botelho's kicks twice for both takedowns.

Botelho would have been fine off her back since Calvillo's GnP is weak and piddly, but she foolishly gave up her back while not even having her legs free, and apparently, her BJJ hasn't improved an iota since the fights I watched in 2014 and 2015.

Down a solid 8 units tonight!
 
5-0 on WMMA bets for the weekend

<5>


if Walker beats Rountree I will count that as 6-0, avenge Macedo's pussy, Johnny
 
fml...I lost 11u on this UFC, I think I need a break from betting.
 
easy money.. looking bad on scales and being overweight means nothing. people who miss weight rather win

It means something. Calvillo's movement in the stand-up was significantly worse than it was against Pearl Gonzalez and Calderwood. That's the difficulty of the weight cut right there.

However, myself (and presumably others) didn't realize how vulnerable Botelho really was on the ground.
 
Cavillo was huge for me. After I saw her weight in I went to buy out of what I could on her, but I saw how much lamas odds improved so instead of buying out I added to lamas. I might have just dodged a bullet.
 
I had been arguing online with random guys and with my friends about the girl fight on the card. Everybody is confidently picking winners and even worse - betting on this fight. I say avoid this mess! Here me out why:
Cynthia is not good standing up. Too much empty movement and hitting the air. But in women's divisions (and not only) this is often rewarded by the judges. The fights look different live and often judges can not see which hits are connecting and which are not, and often they give the fight to the one fighter who is at least visibly more active. Also, Poliana is chucking those kicks without a care in the world. Calvillo's TD game is almost excluisively catching kicks and single legs. Or if you take her down she scramble and take your back or takes mount. Shitty women fight IQ is a consern for me. Poliana is going to throw a naked kick, like she always do, Calvillo catches it and it is a mess from then on. Even if Calvillo could not take her one time down, who is to say she does not win a sloppy kickboxing fight? Poliana is a mess on the defence, I dare to say a thrash. And she is too easily pinned to the fence. This fight could go either way, this is a fight to stay away for beting! And what if Calvillo looked like she was about to die on the scale? Come one, didn't we learn the lesson with the scale thing. This is not mean anything. All fighters look bad when dehydrated. Some worse than others. When they put back the liquids in their body they are fine. She could lose this fight of course but I won't solely because of the cutting weight issue. I can give you a lot of examples of fighters look bad on the scales and win. Jimmy Rivera comes to mind. He was in very rough shape vs Almeida on the scales and won.

PolarBear was obesessed with Poliana and was giving 20-25% chance to Calvillo to win. I don't wanna say that I predicted that fight because I didn't but I was SURE 100% it is NOT A MISHMATCH like you guys were saying!
 
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