I'm completely on the opposite end here. Like someone else said, head and arm throws. Also trips will play a major factor here. You're right in the sense that the fight will take place largely at a distance, the problem is Hill will slow down as the fight progresses. Her fight style is one in which it just happens naturally - what woman outside of maybe Joanna or Zhang can keep that up for 5 rounds at 115 (unsure at the time of writing this whether it's still 3 or 5 rounds). If at some point or another when Hill slows down, I trust Waterson to still be smart enough to know what she needs to do to win rounds. Hill has never been great on the ground and she gives up takedowns easily, especially the ones Waterson will be looking for. If this is really 5 rounds, I'm throwing it out there now - I like Waterson by submission here.