ufc fight night 127

IMO Stevie is the better fighter overall, Kajan is Just dancing around and Got lucky last time..
I thought it was two low volume fighters going against each other and Kajan possibly stole round two, so Martins got frustrated and tried to put a stamp on fight in third and got ko’d. Ray is pretty good at keeping the score favouring him and staying out of trouble as long as there’s no grappling involved.
 
Pail Craig +425 against someone who hasn’t fought in the ufc before
 
Pail Craig +425 against someone who hasn’t fought in the ufc before
The odds are tempting but I think it's a very bad stylistic match up for Craig. Ankalaev has some heavy ground and pound (watch his last two fights) and Craig likes to be on his back. In the stand up Craig isn't really a threat. I just think that his game isn't suited to the top level whilst Ankalaev seems like a very promising prospect.
 
Blachowicz NSC +230??
NOT Manuwa itd -150??

Both of these in play FOR SURE imo.

Jan has 1 TKO loss in 28 pro fights, and it was a leg injury. He ate punches from Jimi the first time they fought and was never even remotely affected.

Jimi is coming off a KO loss, and has been KO'd 3 times in his last 6 fights (Yeah, Gus, Rumble and Oezdemir, but still).

Not understanding why the books think the most likely outcome of this fight is Jimi winning by KO. I don't see it that way AT ALL.
 
Blachowicz NSC +230??
NOT Manuwa itd -150??

Both of these in play FOR SURE imo.

Jan has 1 TKO loss in 28 pro fights, and it was a leg injury. He ate punches from Jimi the first time they fought and was never even remotely affected.

Jimi is coming off a KO loss, and has been KO'd 3 times in his last 6 fights (Yeah, Gus, Rumble and Oezdemir, but still).

Not understanding why the books think the most likely outcome of this fight is Jimi winning by KO. I don't see it that way AT ALL.
I like them both also to risk 1u and to win 1u respectively.
 
Going pretty heavy on Stevie Ray -151. Kajan is not UFC level imo, last fight was a huge fluke.
 
kajan gonna have some success wrestling imo

ray's tdd is suspect and he looks hilariously bad on the mat. kajan must know this as he remembers his sparring sessions with him at tristar.

ray should dominate standing but i don't trust the guy.
 
I am still not done with the tape, but i think i like Sobotta at this odds. His ground game is on a very high level and his striking is not bad either. Edwards has many holes in his ground game and i think Peter can use them, Luque almost did this but he was not persistent enough to win the fight. I think the odds should be a little bit closer.
 
I am still not done with the tape, but i think i like Sobotta at this odds. His ground game is on a very high level and his striking is not bad either. Edwards has many holes in his ground game and i think Peter can use them, Luque almost did this but he was not persistent enough to win the fight. I think the odds should be a little bit closer.

agreed. hope the favs hit on the prelims and the dogs are barking on the main card.
 
ray's tdd is suspect and he looks hilariously bad on the mat. kajan must know this as he remembers his sparring sessions with him at tristar.

ray should dominate standing but i don't trust the guy.
I dont think Stevie has a bad ground game, He didnt get submited by polish bjj expert Marcin Bandel and he held his own against Lauzon.
 
Not really. Pimblett sucks.
Neither looked great in that fight and Narimani seemed stiff against Requeio too with bad balance and scrambles. He’s lost some speed since 2015. Maybe he can fix some of those problems with proper training at TAM, but Haqparast has been training at Tristar, so he’s not been slacking either and has better athletic base. His confidence was borderline reckless against Held, but as steep underdog that was a good attitude and training at Tristar could balance that too.
 
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